5:11 Tramore
This 5:11 at Tramore is a Bar 1 Betting Rated Novice Steeplechase over 1m7f120y on good ground, featuring a compact but competitive field of six. The KTB Fit scores range from 61 down to 48, pointing to a race with a few live contenders but also several with questions to answer on recent form or at the track. Tell Us This tops the KTB rankings and is the selection, though the pace shape suggests an uncontested lead could make things interesting for those coming from off the pace.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is a lone leader with high confidence, meaning one horse is expected to get an uncontested lead with little pressure from the others. Killeemore Lad is the only front-runner in the field and should be able to dictate terms from the outset. The remaining five runners, including the selection, are all held-up types who produce their effort late, so the key question is whether any of them can close the gap on a horse given an easy time up front on this good ground.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Tell Us This KTB Selection61/100Smart performer who has won over course and distance at Tramore and arrives in decent nick with three placed efforts from his last four starts.
- 2Playtime53/100Has placed on three of his last six starts and showed his best effort when third over this trip at Down Royal in May.
- 3Missus Beeton51/100Missus Beeton has shown some ability on good ground with three placed efforts from eight starts but is now winless in her last ten runs and has been well held o…
- 4Cappa Hill50/100Cappa Hill has shown mixed form this year with a win and two placed efforts from limited starts but has been well beaten on his last two outings.
- 5Killeemore Lad48/100Killeemore Lad has placed in three of his last four completed starts and won over today's trip in the past, though he drops back from 2m last time.
- 6Luker's Tipple48/100Luker's Tipple arrives in decent form having won two of its last three starts.
The contenders
Tell Us This KTB Fit 61/100
Tell Us This is a smart performer who has won over course and distance at Tramore. He arrives in decent nick with three placed efforts from his last four starts and now drops back in trip after failing to land a blow at 2m2f last time out. First-time headgear is now fitted as he bids to capitalise on his Tramore record of one win from two starts. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at the track from 48 runs while the jockey is 0-4 here, though their combined record reads 3/10 with a strong A/E of 3.35 and LSP of +£19.00. He has three wins from eight starts on good ground and his run-style sees him usually held up, producing his effort late.
Playtime KTB Fit 53/100
Playtime has placed on three of his last six starts and showed his best effort when third over this trip at Down Royal in May. He drops back from 2m today having already won at this distance, though he was only a modest third on his one previous run at Tramore. Gordon Elliott's 15% strike-rate at the track from a big sample of 502 runs is respectable while Danny Gilligan has a solid 21% strike rate at Tramore from 29 rides. He has one win from seven starts on good ground with two places to his name. Like most of his rivals he is usually held up and produces his effort late.
Missus Beeton KTB Fit 51/100
Missus Beeton has shown some ability on good ground with three placed efforts from eight starts but is now winless in her last ten runs and has been well held on both outings this season. She has never won or placed in three runs at Tramore and drops back in trip today having been out of the frame over further last time. First-time headgear is now tried on a horse with a modest overall profile. The trainer has a 13% strike rate at Tramore from 55 runs while the jockey is 8% from 161 rides here. She is another who is usually held up and produces her effort late.
Cappa Hill KTB Fit 50/100
Cappa Hill has shown mixed form this year with a win and two placed efforts from limited starts but has been well beaten on his last two outings. He drops back in trip to a distance at which he has won once from two starts and handles good ground. First-time headgear is now fitted on his first run at Tramore for a trainer with too small a sample to judge here. The jockey has a 14% strike rate at the track from 42 rides. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
The rest of the field
Killeemore LadKTB Fit 48/100
Killeemore Lad has placed in three of his last four completed starts and won over today's trip in the past, though he drops back from 2m last time. He has only modest form at this track and the trainer's 6% strike-rate from 128 runs at Tramore is below average. On good ground he has one win and three places from eight runs. He is the sole front-runner and should get an uncontested lead.
Luker's TippleKTB Fit 48/100
Luker's Tipple arrives in decent form having won two of its last three starts. It drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance previously, while its record on good ground reads a solid two wins and four places from six starts. The trainer holds a 12% strike rate at Tramore from 182 runs and the jockey is 11% from 168 rides here. He is usually held up and produces his effort late.
KTB verdict
Tell Us This is the KTB Selection. He has already won over course and distance at Tramore, arrives in decent nick with three placed efforts from his last four starts, and now drops back to his optimum trip in first-time headgear. The combination of his proven ability at this venue, the trainer and jockey's positive figures together, and his record on good ground all point to him being the one to beat. His main dangers are likely to be Luker's Tipple, who arrives in decent form with two wins from his last three starts and a solid record on good ground, and Playtime, who has placed on three of his last six starts and shown his best form over this trip.
KTB Selection Tell Us This
This is the narrative read of the 5:11 Tramore. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Tramore racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to get the uncontested lead?
Killeemore Lad, as the only front-runner in a race with a lone leader pace shape.
How many of the runners are making their first appearance in headgear?
Three: Tell Us This, Missus Beeton and Cappa Hill are all in first-time headgear.
Which horse has the strongest combined trainer-jockey record at Tramore?
Tell Us This, with trainer and jockey recording 3/10 (30%) with an A/E of 3.35 and +£19.00 LSP.
Which runner has won over the course and distance?
Tell Us This, who has won here from two starts at Tramore over this trip.
How many of this field have no previous form at Tramore?
Two: Cappa Hill and Luker's Tipple have no course form on record.
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