5:35 Uttoxeter
This Class 4 mares' NH Flat race at Uttoxeter over 1m7f168y on good ground features a field of 14 largely unexposed types, several of whom are making their second or third starts. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Thetype Istitle heading the numbers on 61, followed closely by Petite Poet on 58 and Sparkling Water on 54. Small samples of form dominate the story, meaning pedigree, trainer form at the track and the application of first-time headgear will all play their part in a race where improvement is expected from several runners.
How the race shapes up
With a mixture of run-styles in a field this size, the pace shape points to a truly-run contest in which those with the ability to race prominently should be advantaged. Several debutants and lightly-raced types mean the early fractions could be steady before the tempo lifts in the straight. The key question is whether any of the previous winners or placed horses can assert from the front or whether the race will be decided by a strong-finishing type coming from off the pace.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Thetype Istitle KTB Selection61/100Recent form of 54-21 shows promise but the small sample of just four career runs and one in the last year means this remains largely unexposed.
- 2Petite Poet58/100Petite Poet showed only modest form when fifth on debut over 2m1f.
- 3Sparkling Water54/100Sparkling Water has shown fair form on just two completed starts and was placed over today's trip on the second of them.
- 4Mouth Watering53/100Mouth Watering is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on.
- 5Eagles Promise51/100Eagles Promise showed little on debut when finishing seventh.
- 6Lucy Glitters50/100Lucy Glitters showed ability when runner-up on debut over this trip and returns in first-time headgear.
- 7Dreaming Of The Dr49/100Lightly raced with just two runs this year and a modest 7-4 profile that leaves plenty to prove.
- 8La Moon48/100Henry Daly has a solid 11% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a large sample.
- 9Glancing Betty48/100Glancing Betty is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on.
- 10Upton Fern48/100Upton Fern showed only modest form when fifth on debut over 2m.
- 11Georgie's Lady46/100Georgie's Lady was well beaten on her only start so far and has very little to recommend her on that bare form.
- 12Ebarayna44/100Henry Oliver has a solid 10% strike-rate at Uttoxeter from 128 runs.
- 13Guerdale41/100Guerdale has shown little in two starts so far, finishing well beaten on both occasions.
- 14Frankie's Flame41/100Frankie's Flame showed fair promise when fourth on debut over 2m at this track.
The contenders
Thetype Istitle KTB Fit 61/100
Thetype Istitle brings the best recent form in the shape of 54-21 and is taken to follow up her latest success. Only four career starts in total and just one in the last year leave her largely unexposed, while the drop back in trip today poses a fresh question. David Pipe holds a 16% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 545 runs and the combination with Rian Corcoran, who is 33% from nine rides here, adds to the appeal. They boast an excellent trainer-jockey record of 21/76 with a positive A/E of 1.43 and LSP of +£34.93. Stepping up in class is another new factor but her profile suggests she can cope.
Petite Poet KTB Fit 58/100
Petite Poet showed only modest form when finishing fifth on debut over 2m1f. She now drops back in trip to a distance she has never tried, which asks a fresh question of her. The yard has a 20% strike rate at Uttoxeter from five runs, though the jockey is hard to assess from his limited data at the track. With just a single run on the board she remains very much an unknown quantity, and her KTB Fit of 58 reflects that mixture of modest debut form and the trainer's local record.
Sparkling Water KTB Fit 54/100
Sparkling Water has shown fair form on just two completed starts and was placed over today's trip on the second of them. The first-time headgear is an unknown and the small overall sample means there is not much to go on. Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton both have strong records at Uttoxeter, the trainer at 23% from 624 runs and the jockey at 28% from 488 rides, backed by their overall combination figures of 1377/6260 with an A/E of 0.90. Stepping up in class is another factor for this five-year-old.
Mouth Watering KTB Fit 53/100
Mouth Watering is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The yard has a solid 13% strike-rate at Uttoxeter from 23 runs while James Bowen matches that figure from a much bigger sample of 192 rides, and their trainer-jockey record reads 3/10 with a positive A/E of 1.59 and LSP of +£7.50. By Honolulu, whose progeny have an 8% overall win rate from 320 runners, she must be judged entirely on pedigree and sales background given the complete lack of other data. Her KTB Fit of 53 places her firmly in the mix among the unknowns.
Eagles Promise KTB Fit 51/100
Eagles Promise showed little on debut when finishing seventh. The yard has a solid 14% strike rate here from a big sample of 350 runs while Jonathan Burke is operating at 18% from 228 rides at the track. Their overall trainer-jockey record stands at 94/719 with an A/E of 0.93. With only that one run on the board everything else is guesswork on such limited evidence, though stepping up in class and one previous run on good ground without success add further layers of uncertainty to her KTB Fit of 51.
The rest of the field
Lucy GlittersKTB Fit 50/100
Lucy Glitters showed ability when runner-up on debut over this trip and returns in first-time headgear. The yard has a solid 14% strike rate from 350 runs at Uttoxeter while the claiming jockey is operating at a similar level from his small sample of rides here. With only one run on the board overall the form has to be treated with caution despite her placed effort on good ground.
Dreaming Of The DrKTB Fit 49/100
Lightly raced with just two runs this year and a modest 7-4 profile that leaves plenty to prove. Finished fourth on this track last time without threatening, and the first-time headgear is now applied in a race where the small sample makes improvement hard to gauge. Trainer has a 12% strike rate here from 34 runs while the jockey is operating at 18% from a similar number of rides.
La MoonKTB Fit 48/100
Henry Daly has a solid 11% strike rate at Uttoxeter from a large sample. La Moon is a debutant so the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background, with no racecourse evidence available. Sam Twiston-Davies takes the ride.
Glancing BettyKTB Fit 48/100
Glancing Betty is a debutant with no racecourse form to go on. The pedigree and sales background offer the only pointers and the trainer's modest 5% strike-rate at Uttoxeter from 40 runs adds little encouragement. Jockey Danny McMenamin has a solid 13% strike-rate here from 69 rides but that is the only positive in an otherwise unknown profile.
Upton FernKTB Fit 48/100
Upton Fern showed only modest form when fifth on debut over 2m. Dropping back in trip is a fresh question while first-time headgear is another unknown. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Uttoxeter but this remains a very lightly-raced horse with limited data overall.
Georgie's LadyKTB Fit 46/100
Georgie's Lady was well beaten on her only start so far and has very little to recommend her on that bare form. The yard's modest 8% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 87 runs offers no obvious encouragement, while Charlie Todd's similar 8% record from 93 rides at the track is equally uninspiring. With only one run on record the trip and ground remain unknowns.
EbaraynaKTB Fit 44/100
Henry Oliver has a solid 10% strike-rate at Uttoxeter from 128 runs. Lee Edwards is less prolific here with a 7% record from 325 rides. As a 4-year-old newcomer, Ebarayna brings no racecourse form and the assessment rests entirely on pedigree and sales background.
GuerdaleKTB Fit 41/100
Guerdale has shown little in two starts so far, finishing well beaten on both occasions. The drop back in trip today asks a fresh question while the small sample makes it impossible to judge whether the track or ground will suit. Jockey David Bass has a 10% strike rate from 223 rides at Uttoxeter.
Frankie's FlameKTB Fit 41/100
Frankie's Flame showed fair promise when fourth on debut over 2m at this track. The drop back in trip poses a fresh question while the small sample means both going suitability and overall ability remain unclear. Trainer has only four runs here so is hard to weigh up, though the jockey operates at an 8% strike rate from 229 rides at Uttoxeter.
KTB verdict
Thetype Istitle is the KTB Selection. Her recent form of 54-21 gives her more substance than most in a race full of lightly raced or unraced types, and the Pipe-Corcoran combination brings strong figures at Uttoxeter. The drop back in trip and step up in class are new questions but her unexposed profile suggests she can deal with them. The main dangers are Sparkling Water, who has shown fair form over the trip and benefits from the powerful Skelton team, and Lucy Glitters, who showed ability when second on debut and now tries first-time headgear. Several debutants add unpredictability but the selection has the strongest recent evidence.
KTB Selection Thetype Istitle
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Thetype Istitle | 5/2 | Bet365 |
| Petite Poet | 20/1 | 7Bet |
| Sparkling Water | 2/1 | Bet365 |
| Mouth Watering | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Eagles Promise | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Lucy Glitters | 11/2 | 7Bet |
| Dreaming Of The Dr | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| La Moon | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Upton Fern | 25/1 | 7Bet |
| Georgie's Lady | 50/1 | 7Bet |
| Ebarayna | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Guerdale | 40/1 | 7Bet |
| Frankie's Flame | 12/1 | CopyBet |
This is the narrative read of the 5:35 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest recent form?
Thetype Istitle, whose figures of 54-21 include a win on her most recent start.
How many runners are making their racecourse debut?
Four: Mouth Watering, La Moon, Glancing Betty and Ebarayna.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Uttoxeter in this field?
Mrs C Williams with a 20% strike rate from five runs.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Sparkling Water, Lucy Glitters, Dreaming Of The Dr and Upton Fern.
Who has the best jockey strike rate at the track among the principals?
Rian Corcoran with a 33% strike rate from nine rides at Uttoxeter.
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