1:40 Uttoxeter
This Class 4 novices' hurdle at Uttoxeter over 1m7f168y on good ground brings together a field of 13, several of whom arrive with limited experience or modest form. The KTB Fit ratings highlight a clear top pick on 74 while the remainder cluster between 61 and 42, suggesting the race may revolve around a small group of principals who have already shown something. With the pace shape indicating no obvious leader, the contest is set to be a steadily-run, tactical affair in which handy positioning could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks a leader and carries low confidence, pointing to a steadily-run race where being on the speed or handy will pay. Several runners are noted as settling in mid-division or being held up, which could leave the front of the field relatively uncontested early on. The key question is whether the principals can take advantage of a tactical setup or if a prominent runner will dictate matters to the advantage of those with proven form at the trip and on the surface.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Trouville KTB Selection74/100Smart performer who arrives in decent nick after a recent third and a win earlier this season.
- 2Cool Million61/100Cool Million has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing fifth then third without suggesting he is well up to Class 4 standard.
- 3Whermyrosemarygoes56/100Whermyrosemarygoes is a debutant with recent bumper form of 452-3 that gives little away.
- 4Biggles56/100Biggles ran well when second here last time and has form at today's trip.
- 5Amalfina53/100Amalfina has shown some ability with a placed effort over this trip and on this ground, plus she was third when last seen here at Uttoxeter.
- 6Tracker Issue53/100Tracker Issue arrives with a modest record from 15 starts and has failed to win or place in three runs on good ground.
- 7Pearl Knot52/100Pearl Knot has shown little so far with a fifth and an unseated in two starts.
- 8Likewhatyousee46/100Smart performer who has already shown strong form in just seven runs this year, finishing second last time out.
- 9Don De La Frontera44/100Lightly raced with just three career starts and recent form of 78-7 that offers little encouragement.
- 10Bailey's Luck43/100Lightly raced 4-year-old with just two runs and a recent pulled-up effort, so the form is hard to weigh up.
- 11Letmeseethecolts42/100Letmeseethecolts has shown some ability with a recent second and holds a 1-5 record on good ground so the surface looks fine.
- 12Miss The Sting42/100Miss The Sting has very little to recommend her on the bare form of two poor efforts including a pulled-up run here over further.
- 13Zerouali42/100Zerouali showed little on his sole start when finishing sixth here over this trip.
The contenders
Trouville KTB Fit 74/100
Trouville is a smart performer who arrives in decent nick after a recent third and a win earlier this season. He has already shown he handles this trip and good ground, with a solid 1-3 record on each. The yard and jockey both strike at 21% here, with the trainer posting a 21% strike rate at Uttoxeter from 386 runs and an A/E of 0.97 while the jockey matches that 21% strike rate from 572 rides with an A/E of 0.99. Recent form figures of 31 underline his readiness, and at five he brings the benefit of maturity in a race where experience counts. Overall the combination of ability, course-and-distance suitability and the 25% trainer-jockey partnership record from 1368 runs with an A/E of 0.97 makes him the one to beat.
Cool Million KTB Fit 61/100
Cool Million has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing fifth then third without suggesting he is well up to Class 4 standard. He drops back in trip today having failed to make an impact at this distance on his only previous try. The trainer has a solid 20% strike rate from 10 runs at Uttoxeter with an A/E of 1.54 while the jockey is operating at a 17% strike rate from 12 rides here with an A/E of 1.36. At four years of age and with form figures of 53 he steps up in class, which looks a stiff task on what he has produced to date. The yard's small-sample record at the track offers some encouragement but overall he rates as one of the more exposed and limited members of the field.
Whermyrosemarygoes KTB Fit 56/100
Whermyrosemarygoes is a debutant with recent bumper form of 452-3 that gives little away. The yard have a solid 20% strike-rate at Uttoxeter from a small sample of 10 runs with an A/E of 1.54 while Harry Cobden is a regular here with a 13% record from 117 rides and an A/E of 0.69. By Walk In The Park out of a dam with a 13% overall win rate from 6685 runners, the pedigree and sales background will need to be taken on trust given the lack of hurdles form. Recent efforts suggest only modest ability at best and with no course win on record he enters this novices' hurdle with low confidence attached. The 31% trainer-jockey strike rate from 29 runs with an A/E of 1.10 is a positive but the overall profile remains one that requires significant improvement.
Biggles KTB Fit 56/100
Biggles ran well when second here last time and has form at today's trip. He is a fair performer on good ground with a solid placed record from limited attempts, recording one win from seven runs on the surface and three places. The yard and jockey both have above-average records at Uttoxeter, the trainer on 17% from 172 runs with an A/E of 1.07 and the jockey on 14% from 171 rides with an A/E of 1.05. At nine he brings the benefit of experience, and his course record of one run resulting in a second underlines his liking for the venue. Recent form of 2 together with the 17% trainer-jockey partnership record from 840 runs and an A/E of 0.95 position him as a leading contender.
Amalfina KTB Fit 53/100
Amalfina has shown some ability with a placed effort over this trip and on this ground, plus she was third when last seen here at Uttoxeter. That suggests she is competitive at this level, though she is yet to win in nine starts and remains a maiden. The trainer's modest record at the track is offset by the jockey's solid 15% strike rate here from 59 rides with an A/E of 1.25, while the yard posts a 5% strike rate from 65 runs with an A/E of 0.65. Typically settling in midfield according to limited evidence, she has recent form figures of 73 and a placed record of one from two on good ground. At four she retains scope but the overall profile points to her being vulnerable to sharper types.
The rest of the field
Tracker IssueKTB Fit 53/100
Tracker Issue arrives with a modest record from 15 starts and has failed to win or place in three runs on good ground. He steps up in trip today having already been tried once at this distance without success, so the longer 1m7f poses a fresh question, while he steps up in class with the trainer having no previous runners at Uttoxeter.
Pearl KnotKTB Fit 52/100
Pearl Knot has shown little so far with a fifth and an unseated in two starts. The yard has a solid 15% strike rate here from a big sample of 153 runs yet the horse looks modest on what it has produced, with the jockey recording an ordinary 7% strike rate from 67 rides at the track.
LikewhatyouseeKTB Fit 46/100
Likewhatyousee is a smart performer who has already shown strong form in just seven runs this year, finishing second last time out. He drops back in trip today having last run over 2m1f, which poses a fresh question, while the trainer has a 10% strike rate from 78 runs at Uttoxeter and the jockey operates at 11% from 170 rides here.
Don De La FronteraKTB Fit 44/100
Lightly raced with just three career starts and recent form of 78-7 that offers little encouragement. The drop back in trip is an unknown that asks a fresh question while the trainer has only four runs at Uttoxeter which is too small a sample to judge, although the jockey has a solid 18% strike rate here from 228 rides.
Bailey's LuckKTB Fit 43/100
Lightly raced 4-year-old with just two runs and a recent pulled-up effort, so the form is hard to weigh up. Drops back in trip to a distance it has never tried, which asks a fresh question, while first-time headgear adds another unknown and both trainer and jockey have modest records at the track.
LetmeseethecoltsKTB Fit 42/100
Letmeseethecolts has shown some ability with a recent second and holds a 1-5 record on good ground so the surface looks fine. He drops back in trip today to a distance he has never tried which asks a fresh question of him, while the trainer holds a 10% strike rate here from 88 runs and the jockey is operating at just 2% from 46 rides.
Miss The StingKTB Fit 42/100
Miss The Sting has very little to recommend her on the bare form of two poor efforts including a pulled-up run here over further. She drops back in trip today which poses a fresh question while the small sample makes both the ground and her overall ability hard to gauge with any confidence, and she usually produces her effort late.
ZeroualiKTB Fit 42/100
Zerouali showed little on his sole start when finishing sixth here over this trip. The yard has a modest record at Uttoxeter and the horse remains lightly raced with only one run to go on, while he usually produces his effort late and the jockey has a 6% strike rate from 36 rides at the track.
KTB verdict
Trouville stands out as the KTB Selection on a clear Fit rating advantage and with the most convincing blend of proven ability and track-specific credentials. He has already shown he handles this trip and good ground, arrives in decent nick, and benefits from a yard and jockey combination that both strike at 21% at Uttoxeter. Biggles is the most obvious danger having run well when second here last time and with solid placed form on good ground, while Amalfina's placed effort at the track adds some depth to the race. The remainder largely carry question marks over class, trip or lack of experience, making this look a race in which the top two or three should dominate.
KTB Selection Trouville
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Trouville | 5/4 | Bet365 |
| Cool Million | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Whermyrosemarygoes | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Biggles | 9/2 | Coral |
| Amalfina | 100/1 | CopyBet |
| Tracker Issue | 50/1 | Bet365 |
| Pearl Knot | 200/1 | 7Bet |
| Likewhatyousee | 6/4 | Bet365 |
| Don De La Frontera | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Bailey's Luck | 250/1 | Bet365 |
| Letmeseethecolts | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Miss The Sting | 200/1 | 7Bet |
| Zerouali | 200/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 1:40 Uttoxeter. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Uttoxeter racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course form at Uttoxeter among the principals?
Biggles has one run here recording a second while Amalfina has one run here recording a third; Trouville, Cool Million and Whermyrosemarygoes have no course form on record.
How does the lack of a leader in the pace shape affect the principals?
The steadily-run, tactical affair should favour horses that can be handy, which aligns with the profiles of the principals who have shown form when prominent or in mid-division.
Which runners are dropping back in trip for this race?
Cool Million, Likewhatyousee, Don De La Frontera, Bailey's Luck and Miss The Sting are all dropping back in trip, each posing a fresh question according to the KTB material.
What is the trainer-jockey strike rate for the yard and rider of the KTB Selection?
The trainer and jockey record for Olly Murphy and Sean Bowen is 339/1368 (25%) with an A/E of 0.97 and LSP of -£116.40.
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Bailey's Luck is the only runner fitted with first-time headgear.
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