5:39 Windsor
This Class 4 EBF novice fillies' event over 6f12y at Windsor on good to soft ground brings together a dozen juveniles, the majority of whom are making their racecourse debuts. With only one previous runner in the field, the KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched and reflect the general lack of concrete form, though Bymiddaytomorrow edges matters on the back of her debut effort. Trainer and jockey combinations at the track add some layers, yet overall data confidence remains modest across the board.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a race that should be run at an even gallop with several debutants likely to be forward or prominent from their stalls. Bymiddaytomorrow and Starburster are expected to track the early pace from their low draws, while those breaking from wider stalls may have to work harder to secure a position. The key question is whether any of the unexposed newcomers can show enough natural speed to take control or whether the one with experience can improve sufficiently to dominate from a handy spot.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Bymiddaytomorrow KTB Selection54/100RPR 75 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Starburster53/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 3Motown Filly52/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 4Perfect Hope50/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 5Glorious Game47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 6Courage Best47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 7Desert Symphony47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 8Roxelina46/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 9Spirit Of Glory46/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 10Leading Raya45/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 11Lola De Valence43/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 12Phillipa43/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
The contenders
Bymiddaytomorrow KTB Fit 54/100
Bymiddaytomorrow showed only modest form when finishing last of six over course and distance on debut five weeks ago. The Mehmas filly is bred to be useful with a Group 3-winning sibling but remains fairly limited on what she has shown so far. Trainer Ed Walker and jockey Kieran Shoemark both have solid records at Windsor though the small sample means this is still very much a watching brief. She drops in class here which may help her settle better, yet her RPR of 75 sets the bare form standard in a field short on raced experience. Her draw in stall three should allow her to adopt a prominent position early. The going remains unproven on good to soft.
Starburster KTB Fit 53/100
Starburster is a first-foal by Starman out of an unraced half-sister to Group 3 winner Electric Waves and useful performers Appealing and Tut. He was bought for £125,000 as a yearling after making 30,000 euros as a foal and joins a yard that operates at a 19 percent strike rate here. The jockey Saffie Osborne’s own Windsor record reads 9 percent from 179 rides so the debut effort is best viewed as a watching brief. With no RPR or Topspeed figures available a neutral score has been applied. His trainer Richard Spencer holds a 19% strike rate at the track from 48 runs which is a positive. The son of Starman is expected to be forwardly placed given his draw.
Motown Filly KTB Fit 52/100
Motown Filly is a 100,000gns yearling by Cotai Glory out of a 6f 2yo winner and half-sister to several winners including smart performers The Mackem Bullet and She's So Nice. Connections have a solid record here with the trainer operating at 19% strike rate from 48 runs. With no racecourse form and low data confidence this is very much an unknown on debut. A neutral score has been applied in the absence of RPR or Topspeed figures. She is another from the Richard Spencer yard and should be capable of showing decent early pace from stall six. The Cotai Glory sire line carries an 11% win rate on these terms.
Perfect Hope KTB Fit 50/100
Perfect Hope is a first-time-out juvenile by Perfect Power out of a dam who was placed over 8.6f as a 2yo. She is a half-sister to a useful French and UAE winner and comes from a family that includes a Group 3 juvenile winner at 7f. The Tom Ward yard is still in the early stages with its 2yos this term while both trainer and jockey have solid rather than standout records at Windsor. No RPR or Topspeed is available so a neutral score applies. Rossa Ryan takes the ride and the pair hold a 16% strike rate at the track. She is drawn in stall seven and will need to break smartly to avoid being caught wide.
Glorious Game KTB Fit 47/100
Glorious Game is an 85,000gns yearling by Pinatubo out of a Listed-winning dam and closely related to several useful winners up to Group 3 level, including the high-class Matsuri. Connections are in solid form with Hugo Palmer showing a 14% strike rate at Windsor and Oisin Murphy operating at 19%. First-time headgear on debut adds an unknown and the overall picture remains tentative given the lack of any raced form. A neutral score is applied without figures. The trainer and jockey combination carries a 26% strike rate together which is noteworthy. She is another who could be forward from her central draw.
The rest of the field
Courage BestKTB Fit 47/100
Courage Best is a newcomer by Supremacy out of a 1m-winning dam with some classy relatives including a half-sister to Group 3 winner Muthabara. She fetched 40,000gns as a yearling and is the seventh foal of her dam with two winning siblings over 5f-6f. Rod Millman has a 10% strike rate at Windsor from 789 runs while Darragh Keenan is operating at 7% from 113 rides here. A neutral score applies with no prior form.
Desert SymphonyKTB Fit 47/100
Desert Symphony is a 72,000 euro yearling by Ghaiyyath out of a Listed-placed 6f 2yo winner and is closely related to several winners including the useful Bay Of Plenty and Glesga Gal. This is the trainer's first two-year-old runner of the season and his record with juveniles at Windsor is modest at 5% from 385 runs. The jockey has a solid 10% strike rate here from 455 rides but with low data confidence overall this debutant is impossible to assess with any real confidence.
RoxelinaKTB Fit 46/100
Roxelina is a 170,000gns Havana Grey filly with a strong pedigree as sister to high-class performer Holguin and half-sister to a useful 2yo winner. Connections are solid at this track with the trainer operating at a 13% strike rate from 70 runs and the jockey at 10% from 274 rides. Data confidence is low for this newcomer whose only public sighting ended in a withdrawal at the stalls five weeks ago.
Spirit Of GloryKTB Fit 46/100
Spirit Of Glory is a debutant from a yard that strikes at 15% at Windsor from a huge sample. The Cotai Glory filly is a half-sister to two winning juveniles out of a Listed-placed 1m dam with strong black type further back in the pedigree. Connections are respected but with no racecourse form and low data confidence any market support will have to be taken on trust.
Leading RayaKTB Fit 45/100
Leading Raya is a first-foal newcomer by Nando Parrado out of a Swedish 1m winner whose half-sister produced useful 1m and 7f winners. The immediate family also links to a Group-placed 6f juvenile winner but the page is not the most eye-catching on paper. Trainer Mark Usher has a 6% strike rate from 431 runs at Windsor while Tyler Heard is 5% from 37 rides here.
Lola De ValenceKTB Fit 43/100
Lola De Valence is a newcomer by Havana Grey out of a 7f-winning dam with some decent middle-distance relatives on the page. The yard has a modest record with its two-year-old debutants and the trainer’s 10 percent strike-rate at Windsor from a large sample is nothing to shout about. Jockey Lewis Edmunds has a poor 3 percent strike-rate here from 94 rides which adds to the negatives on debut.
PhillipaKTB Fit 43/100
Phillipa is a newcomer from a yard whose two-year-olds are still without a place this season and the trainer has a 0% strike rate from five runs at Windsor. The Dark Angel filly is a half-sister to a modest 1m AW winner and comes from a family featuring smart sprinter-milers such as Muntadab and Coventry Stakes winner Nando Parrado. Jack Mitchell has a solid 12% strike rate from 307 rides at the track but with low data confidence this debut effort is impossible to quantify.
KTB verdict
Bymiddaytomorrow is named the KTB Selection. She holds the only piece of form in the race, recording an RPR of 75 when sixth over course and distance on debut, and that bare figure sets the bar in a field otherwise made up of untried debutants. Ed Walker and Kieran Shoemark both know their way around Windsor, and the drop in class may allow her to show a bit more this time. The main dangers are the well-bred newcomers Glorious Game, who sports first-time headgear, and Roxelina whose pedigree catches the eye despite her withdrawal last time. Starburster and Motown Filly are others who could improve past her if their breeding translates quickly to the track.
KTB Selection Bymiddaytomorrow
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:17 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Bymiddaytomorrow | 4/1 | Bet365 |
| Starburster | 9/1 | Coral |
| Motown Filly | 20/1 | William Hill |
| Perfect Hope | 40/1 | 10Bet |
| Glorious Game | 9/2 | William Hill |
| Courage Best | 50/1 | 10Bet |
| Desert Symphony | 40/1 | 10Bet |
| Roxelina | 11/8 | BetMGM |
| Spirit Of Glory | 10/1 | Bet365 |
| Leading Raya | 200/1 | William Hill |
| Lola De Valence | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Phillipa | 28/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 5:39 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the only previous racecourse experience?
Bymiddaytomorrow, who finished sixth of six over C&D on debut five weeks ago.
What is the trainer and jockey strike rate for the selection at Windsor?
Ed Walker has a 17% strike rate at Windsor with an A/E of 1.07 from 227 runs; Kieran Shoemark has a 13% strike rate with an A/E of 1.01 from 286 rides.
Which runners are wearing headgear for the first time?
Glorious Game is the only horse declared in first-time headgear.
Who has the strongest trainer record at Windsor among the principals?
Richard Spencer with a 19% strike rate and A/E of 1.39 from 48 runs.
Which horse has the highest official rating or RPR in the field?
Bymiddaytomorrow with an RPR of 75.
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