6:09 Windsor
This Class 4 novice stakes division at Windsor over 1m31y on good to soft ground features an 11-runner field where the KTB numbers identify a clear standard-setter at the top. Bayaann brings an RPR of 104 from just two runs and is rated useful, while the remainder of the field sits noticeably lower on the figures with several unproven or modest types. The race looks a fair test on a genuinely-run card, and the lightly-raced principals hold the aces according to the KTB Fit Scores.
How the race shapes up
With a genuinely-run pace shape and high confidence, a front-runner is expected to be pressed by several prominent and handy types from the outset. Bayaann, Storming Point, Eljowhary and Florizelle are all likely to be involved early from their respective draws, setting a solid gallop that should suit those racing on or close to the lead. The key question is whether the clear top-rated Bayaann can translate his RPR advantage into a comfortable success or if any of the prominent challengers can apply sustained pressure and cause an upset.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Bayaann KTB Selection60/100RPR 104 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Eljowhary59/100RPR 83 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Screen Actor51/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 4Love Me Bae47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 5Storming Point46/100RPR 89 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Sonbelievable46/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 7Heir Of Ambition44/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 8Florizelle40/100RPR 66 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Paean Of Appin39/100RPR 58 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10Minerality34/100RPR 57 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 11Lean d'Aislingean34/100RPR 60 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Bayaann KTB Fit 60/100
Bayaann is a useful performer who won a Lingfield 7f maiden on debut and then finished second in a Newmarket novice over this trip. The RPR of 104 sets a clear standard in this field though he remains lightly raced with only two runs. Haggas has a 20% strike rate at Windsor from 447 runs while Marquand posts 15% from 676 rides here. He is drawn in stall 4 and is expected to race prominently, usually on or close to the lead. There are no runs on good to soft so the ground remains unproven, and he has no previous course form. Overall the KTB Fit of 60 and market position of 2/7 in a field of 11 reflect his strong claims as the selection.
Eljowhary KTB Fit 59/100
Eljowhary showed fair ability when finishing mid-division on both starts last month at 7f and 1m on AW. He steps up in trip again today with first-time headgear and a yard that strikes at 27% here from a big sample. The form looks a notch below a couple of today's main dangers and the small-sample jockey record adds uncertainty. His RPR of 83 places him below the top-rated Bayaann on field comparison. The trainer and jockey combination is 0/7 at this track, though the yard itself has a 27% strike rate at Windsor and the jockey is 33% from a tiny sample of three rides. He is drawn in stall 6 and is likely to race prominently though with limited evidence.
Screen Actor KTB Fit 51/100
Screen Actor is a $100,000 yearling and 40,000gns breeze-up 2yo by Twirling Candy out of a US Graded stakes-placed 1m turf and dirt winner who is half-sister to UAE 1m Group 2 winner Barbecue Eddie. He refused to enter the stalls and was withdrawn from an intended debut last month at 28-1. Trainer Michael Attwater has a 10% strike rate from 183 runs at Windsor while Kieren Fox has a 9% strike rate from 123 rides here. With no RPR available a neutral score has been applied and he has no course win on record. By Twirling Candy he has a 15% overall win rate with 682 runners. Drawn in stall 1 he represents a yard with a 6% strike rate overall at this venue.
Love Me Bae KTB Fit 47/100
Love Me Bae showed very little on her sole start when tailed off last of nine at Chelmsford in December. The 150,000gns purchase has a modest pedigree and the small sample makes it impossible to judge whether Good to Soft will suit. Trainer Alice Haynes has an 8% strike rate from 37 runs at Windsor while Pat Cosgrave is 10% from 455 rides here. She is dropping in class and is likely to be held up, producing her effort late though with limited evidence. No RPR is available so a neutral score has been applied and she has no course form on record. At two years of age she is the youngest in the field.
Storming Point KTB Fit 46/100
Storming Point is a fair 3-year-old who has shown placed form at Newbury and Kempton in two runs. The step up to 1m is an unknown and his dam stayed a bit further so it could suit. Gary and Josh Moore have a 3% strike rate from 66 runs at Windsor while David Egan is 10% from 274 rides here. His RPR of 89 leaves him below the standard set by Bayaann. He is likely to race prominently, usually handily on or close to the lead with medium confidence. There are no runs on good to soft so the ground remains unproven and he has no course form. The trainer-jockey combination is 1/11 at this venue.
The rest of the field
SonbelievableKTB Fit 46/100
Sonbelievable is a newcomer by Mayson out of a useful sprinting family that has produced a Group 3 winner and a Group 1-placed performer. He fetched just 28,000gns as a yearling and his half-brother Validated managed a best RPR of 99 over 7f-1m. With low data confidence and the trainer operating at only 8% strike rate here the colt looks one to watch rather than get involved with on debut.
Heir Of AmbitionKTB Fit 44/100
Heir Of Ambition showed very little on his debut when slowly away and checked before finishing tailed off at Southwell in April. The 66,000gns purchase is lightly raced with just one run at today's trip and the going remains an unknown on this small sample. Trainer Harry Eustace has a 10% strike rate from 21 runs at Windsor while jockey George Wood is operating at 7% from 117 rides here.
FlorizelleKTB Fit 40/100
Florizelle showed some improvement when finishing sixth of 11 in a Nottingham novice three weeks ago but the form remains modest and leaves her with plenty to find. She has only had the two runs and is trying this trip again without success last time so it remains something of a question mark. The trainer has a 7 percent strike rate from 15 runs here while the jockey is still seeking a first Windsor winner from 44 rides.
Paean Of AppinKTB Fit 39/100
Paean Of Appin has shown very little in two maidens, finishing last both times at long odds and recording a modest RPR of 58. The limited ability on display matches his class profile and he now drops back in trip to 1m as a fresh question. Trainer Brian Meehan has a 10% strike rate from 761 runs at Windsor while Kieran Shoemark posts 13% from 286 rides here.
MineralityKTB Fit 34/100
Limited performer who has shown very little in two starts at this trip on the AW. Well related but beaten a long way at big prices both times and looks up against it now switched to turf. Trainer has a solid 12% strike rate at Windsor from 17 runs.
Lean d'AislingeanKTB Fit 34/100
Lean d'Aislingean showed only modest ability when making the running then finishing well beaten on debut at Nottingham three weeks ago. The form marks him as a modest performer on what little evidence there is and he now steps into a Class 4 handicap with a small sample of just one run. Oisin Murphy's 19% strike rate at Windsor offers some encouragement but the yard's record here is too limited to read much into.
KTB verdict
Bayaann stands out as the KTB Selection with an RPR of 104 that sets a clear standard from only two runs. The Haggas-Marquand combination brings strong course figures and his prominent run-style should see him ideally placed in a race that is set to be run at a genuine pace. He remains lightly raced and looks to have the best chance of progressing past the placed efforts of Storming Point and the fair but lower-rated form of Eljowhary. The remainder of the field largely consists of modest or unproven types with Screen Actor and the newcomers carrying plenty of unknowns.
KTB Selection Bayaann
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:17 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Bayaann | 3/10 | Unibet |
| Eljowhary | 11/1 | Midnite |
| Screen Actor | 66/1 | William Hill |
| Love Me Bae | 100/1 | William Hill |
| Storming Point | 7/2 | Sporting Index |
| Sonbelievable | 50/1 | William Hill |
| Heir Of Ambition | 80/1 | William Hill |
| Florizelle | 80/1 | William Hill |
| Paean Of Appin | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| Minerality | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Lean d'Aislingean | 20/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 6:09 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
What sets Bayaann apart from the rest of the field on figures?
Bayaann has an RPR of 104 that sets a clear standard in this field on field comparison calculated at page load.
Which horses are likely to contest the lead or race prominently?
Bayaann, Eljowhary, Storming Point and Florizelle are all expected to race handily or on the pace in a genuinely-run contest.
How does the trainer of Screen Actor perform at Windsor?
Michael Attwater has a 10% strike rate at Windsor from 183 runs.
Why is first-time headgear being applied to Eljowhary?
Eljowhary is fitted with first-time headgear after two mid-division finishes on AW as he steps up in trip.
What is the yard strike rate at Windsor for the trainer of the selection?
William Haggas has a 20% strike rate at Windsor from 447 runs.
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