6:05 York
This Class 4 Elevator Company Handicap Stakes over 2m at York on good to firm ground brings together a field of 14, several of whom are stepping up or down in class while carrying recent winning form. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Rogue Empire heading the numbers on 61 despite the step up in class, followed closely by Tarbat Ness on 58 and Talismans Time on 53. Overall the race looks competitive among largely modest performers, with several first-time headgear applications and unproven elements on the surface or at the trip adding layers of uncertainty.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is tentative with only medium confidence, as there is a possible front-runner on thin evidence. Furhaan is the one horse noted as tending to make the running or race prominently, while several others including Rogue Empire, Talismans Time and Vaguely Royal are likely to be held up or come from off the pace. The key question is whether the race develops into a true test or a crawl, given the limited pace influences, which could play into the hands of those with a late kick on this stiff York finish.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Rogue Empire KTB Selection61/100Rogue Empire is a modest performer who arrives in excellent recent order with three straight wins.
- 2Tarbat Ness58/100Modest performer with a solid recent record that includes a win last time out.
- 3Talismans Time53/100Talismans Time is a fair performer who has shown his best form around this track, finishing third here on his penultimate start.
- 4Vaguely Royal50/100Modest performer who has been largely consistent without winning often.
- 5Midnight Rumble49/100Midnight Rumble is a fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately, finishing in the first five on five of his last six starts.
- 6Trojan Sun48/100Trojan Sun is a modest performer who has shown his best at this trip, winning twice from 14 starts, and has been competitive on good to firm ground.
- 7Boxing Great48/100Modest performer who has won once over today's trip but arrives in ordinary form having been well held on his last three starts.
- 8Venezuelan46/100Venezuelan is a fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately, finishing in the frame on good-to-firm ground twice from three tries.
- 9Treasure Islands46/100Modest performer who has shown mixed form this year with a win and two placed efforts among six starts at this trip.
- 10Valley Of Flowers45/100Modest performer who has been a regular at this track and placed on her last two visits without winning.
- 11Furhaan38/100Modest performer who has shown some ability on this track, finishing second here on his only visit.
- 12Newport37/100Modest performer who has been largely out of form for some time and showed little spark when fifth on his return from a long break.
- 13Queen Roslyn35/100Queen Roslyn is a modest performer who has struggled at this track, finishing no better than fifth from four runs.
- 14Nanny Park33/100Modest performer who has been in and out this year but showed more when winning a 1m6f handicap last time.
The contenders
Rogue Empire KTB Fit 61/100
Rogue Empire is a modest performer who arrives in excellent recent order with three straight wins, taking his record at today's trip to three wins from six starts. The yard maintains a solid 15% strike rate at York from 13 runs with an A/E of 1.67, though the jockey is 0% from a small sample of one ride here. He steps up in class having won his last three starts and is unproven on good to firm ground while making his first visit to the Knavesmire. With a low draw in stall 3 and recent form figures of 6-3111, he is the KTB Selection and looks to have the best recent momentum in the field.
Tarbat Ness KTB Fit 58/100
Tarbat Ness is a modest performer with a solid recent record that includes a win last time out, taking his tally at this trip to five wins from 25 attempts. First-time headgear is now fitted as he steps up in class, and the trainer has a strong 13% strike rate at York with an A/E of 1.46 from 15 runs, though the jockey is more modest at 7% from 89 rides here with an A/E of 0.63. He is competitive but without a win from three runs on good to firm and has no course form on record. His recent form of 464531 suggests he remains in reasonable order and could capitalise if the tentative pace allows him to get involved.
Talismans Time KTB Fit 53/100
Talismans Time is a fair performer who has shown his best form around this track, finishing third here on his penultimate start from two runs at York. He steps up in trip today having been placed without winning over this distance before, while the good to firm ground looks suitable on the balance of his record with one win from two starts. The yard has a modest 7% strike rate at York from 84 runs with an A/E of 0.64 and the jockey is 0% from 13 rides here with an A/E of 0, both of which are negatives. His recent form reads 110-P3 and with a draw of 10 he will need to overcome those trainer and jockey York figures to figure prominently.
Vaguely Royal KTB Fit 50/100
Vaguely Royal is a modest performer who has been largely consistent without winning often, stepping up in trip today having been placed once at this distance. His sole York run resulted in a remote seventh and first-time headgear is now applied. The trainer has a solid 8% strike rate at the track from 204 runs with an A/E of 0.99, while William Buick rides with a 15% record from 454 rides and an A/E of 1. He is held up, usually producing his effort late according to limited evidence, and has one win from seven starts on good to firm with two places. Recent form of 933361 suggests he is reliable but needs the new headgear and step up in trip to spark improvement.
Midnight Rumble KTB Fit 49/100
Midnight Rumble is a fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately, finishing in the first five on five of his last six starts. He is unproven on good to firm ground and makes his first visit to York, though the trip looks suitable having placed over it once. The jockey has a modest 7% strike rate at the track from 91 rides with an A/E of 0.65, while the trainer has no York record from a small overall sample. With a draw of 7 and recent form of 352453, he enters with plenty of placed form but carries the question marks over both the surface and the course.
The rest of the field
Trojan SunKTB Fit 48/100
Trojan Sun is a modest performer who has shown his best at this trip, winning twice from 14 starts, and has been competitive on good to firm ground with one place from six runs. He has placed once from two runs at York and arrives in reasonable form having won one of his last six outings, now fitted with first-time headgear. Both trainer and jockey have modest strike rates at the track.
Boxing GreatKTB Fit 48/100
Boxing Great is a modest performer who has won once over today's trip but arrives in ordinary form having been well held on his last three starts. First-time headgear is now tried and the trip looks suitable, though he is unproven on good to firm ground and makes his first visit to York. The trainer has had too few runners here to judge while the jockey's modest strike rate from 191 rides adds little encouragement.
VenezuelanKTB Fit 46/100
Venezuelan is a fair performer who has been consistent without winning lately, finishing in the frame on good-to-firm ground twice from three tries. He steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in two previous attempts at this distance, now with first-time headgear added. The trainer has only one run at York so far and the jockey is still seeking his first winner from 27 rides here.
Treasure IslandsKTB Fit 46/100
Treasure Islands is a modest performer who has shown mixed form this year with a win and two placed efforts among six starts at this trip. He acts on good to firm ground and has a York run under his belt though it yielded only a midfield finish. The yard and jockey both operate at modest strike rates here.
Valley Of FlowersKTB Fit 45/100
Valley Of Flowers is a modest performer who has been a regular at this track and placed on her last two visits without winning. She has won over today's trip but her record on good to firm is only one win from 13 starts. The trainer's small sample at York offers no real guide while the jockey's modest strike rate here adds little confidence.
FurhaanKTB Fit 38/100
Furhaan is a modest performer who has shown some ability on this track, finishing second here on his only visit. He has also placed at today's trip and on good to firm ground, though he is yet to win in either sphere. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at York and the jockey's 0% from 16 rides here add to the negatives.
NewportKTB Fit 37/100
Newport is a modest performer who has been largely out of form for some time and showed little spark when fifth on his return from a long break. He drops back in trip to a distance he has won at before but his record on good to firm is poor and he now tries headgear for the first time. The trainer has a 3% strike rate at York from 119 runs while the jockey is 3% from 252 rides here.
Queen RoslynKTB Fit 35/100
Queen Roslyn is a modest performer who has struggled at this track, finishing no better than fifth from four runs. She steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 1m4f, though she has won over this distance in the past. First-time headgear is now applied while both trainer and jockey have modest records at York.
Nanny ParkKTB Fit 33/100
Nanny Park is a modest performer who has been in and out this year but showed more when winning a 1m6f handicap last time. She steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of her, while the wide draw in stall 13 is far from ideal at York. The trainer has only one run here so the sample is too small to judge and the jockey is 0-17 at the track.
KTB verdict
Rogue Empire stands out as the KTB Selection on the back of three straight wins, including three victories from six starts at this trip, and with the yard's strong record at York. He is a modest performer in excellent recent order, though the step up in class, lack of experience on good to firm and first run at the course mean he is not without risk. His main dangers are likely to come from Tarbat Ness, who brings a recent win, first-time headgear and a drop back to a trip he knows well, and Talismans Time, who has shown his best form at this track and handles the ground. Vaguely Royal and Midnight Rumble add further depth in what looks a competitive race among largely modest types.
KTB Selection Rogue Empire
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:00 UTC, 24 Jul. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Rogue Empire | 3.75/1 | CopyBet |
| Tarbat Ness | 8/1 | 7Bet |
| Talismans Time | 9/2 | 7Bet |
| Vaguely Royal | 8/1 | 7Bet |
| Midnight Rumble | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Trojan Sun | 7/1 | Bet365 |
| Venezuelan | 22/1 | Bet365 |
| Treasure Islands | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Valley Of Flowers | 14/1 | 7Bet |
| Furhaan | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Newport | 7/1 | 7Bet |
| Queen Roslyn | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Nanny Park | 18/1 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 6:05 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is stepping up markedly in trip from a 1m6f win last time?
Nanny Park, who won a 1m6f handicap last time but now steps up markedly in trip with a wide draw in stall 13.
How many wins has Tarbat Ness recorded at today's trip?
Tarbat Ness has won over this trip five times from 25 attempts.
Which runner has shown his best form at York with a third on his penultimate start?
Talismans Time, who has two runs at the track resulting in third and 12th, and is stepping up in trip today.
Who is the only horse noted as tending to make the running or race prominently?
Furhaan, who tends to make the running or race on the pace according to limited evidence.
How many wins has Rogue Empire achieved at today's trip?
Rogue Empire has won three times from six starts at today's trip.
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