6:30 Leicester
This Class 4 British EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Division II) brings together nine two-year-olds over seven furlongs at Leicester on good to soft ground. All bar one of the principals step up in class having shown just modest form to date, and the KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched between 52 and 43. With several runners unproven on the surface and no previous course form on record, the race looks open and the KTB numbers suggest a tight contest where experience and handling conditions could prove decisive.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a fairly even gallop with no obvious front-runner dominating. Regal Chita from stall 2 and Vegas Lights drawn in 3 are both likely to track the pace, while several others including Time Saxon Warrior and Vinery should be on the premises from mid-division. The key question is whether any horse can quicken effectively off this pace on ground that may ask a question of those yet to encounter good to soft, with the ability to handle the surface likely to separate the contenders from the rest.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Regal Chita KTB Selection52/100
- 2Time Saxon Warrior51/100
- 3Vinery51/100
- 4Sheephavenbay51/100
- 5Ignite The Fire47/100
- 6Confernation46/100
- 7Vegas Lights43/100
- 8Crown Ranger43/100
- 9Breacher43/100
The contenders
Regal Chita KTB Fit 52/100
Regal Chita has posted two solid placed efforts in maiden company and holds the highest KTB Fit rating of 52. Stepping up in class, the James Owen-trained filly is unproven on good to soft but the yard posts a 17% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.94. Silvestre De Sousa takes the ride and brings a 21% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.11, adding further appeal from a low draw. Run-style suggests she will be prominent or tracking the pace, and she is taken to put her experience to good use in what looks a winnable event.
Time Saxon Warrior KTB Fit 51/100
Time Saxon Warrior has shown fair form in two starts, finishing fourth then third, and carries a KTB Fit of 51. Like the selection he is stepping up in class and remains unproven on good to soft. Richard Hughes has a modest 9% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.66, but Jack Mitchell is a positive booking with a 20% strike rate and A/E of 1.34 at the track. Expected to race in mid-division from draw 5, he should go well if handling the ground and represents a major danger.
Vinery KTB Fit 51/100
Vinery is another with a KTB Fit of 51 and is by Massaat, a sire with an 8% overall win rate. The David Evans yard has a 10% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.9 while Pat Cosgrave posts a 14% strike rate and A/E of 0.9 at the track. No course win on record and yet to encounter good to soft, she will need to improve on what she has shown so far. Drawn in stall 6 she is likely to be in the mix from a mid-division position and cannot be entirely ruled out at a bigger price.
Sheephavenbay KTB Fit 51/100
Sheephavenbay also rates 51 on KTB Fit and is by Bated Breath, a sire with an 11% overall win rate. James Horton’s partnership with Kaiya Fraser shows an 18% strike rate with an A/E of 1.09, and the yard has an 11% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.95. The jockey has a 14% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.91. No course win recorded and unproven on good to soft, the colt is expected to race prominently from draw 7 and could make his mark if the surface suits.
The rest of the field
Ignite The FireKTB Fit 47/100
Ignite The Fire is rated 47 on KTB Fit. By Ulysses, a sire with an 11% overall win rate, he is trained by William Stone who has a 12% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 1.03. Alistair Rawlinson has a 9% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.82. No course win on record.
ConfernationKTB Fit 46/100
Confernation has shown one piece of form with a fourth-place finish and carries a KTB Fit of 46. Unproven on good to soft, Hugo Palmer has a 15% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.83 while Ross Coakley posts a 10% strike rate and A/E of 0.7 at the track. No course form on record.
Vegas LightsKTB Fit 43/100
Vegas Lights is rated 43 on KTB Fit and is by Dandy Man, a sire with a 9% overall win rate. Richard Hannon has a 13% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.88 and Joe Leavy has a 10% strike rate with an A/E of 0.67 at the track. No course win on record.
Crown RangerKTB Fit 43/100
Crown Ranger has a recent sixth-place finish and a KTB Fit of 43. Unproven on good to soft, Marco Botti has a 9% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.64 while Jack Gilligan has a 0% strike rate from two rides at the track with an A/E of 0. No course form on record.
BreacherKTB Fit 43/100
Breacher is a non-runner. By Cracksman, a sire with a 12% overall win rate, the William Muir and Chris Grassick yard has an 8% strike rate at Leicester with an A/E of 0.59. No course win on record.
KTB verdict
Regal Chita is the KTB Selection. Her placed form gives her the edge in experience over most of this field, she is drawn to track the pace, and the combination of trainer and jockey stats at Leicester adds to her claims. Time Saxon Warrior looks the most obvious danger having shown similar form, while Vinery and Sheephavenbay are next best of those with matching KTB Fit ratings. The race could turn on who handles the good to soft ground best, but Regal Chita is taken to come out on top.
KTB Selection Regal Chita
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:02 UTC, 13 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Regal Chita | 9/4 | Bet365 |
| Time Saxon Warrior | 3/1 | 7Bet |
| Vinery | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Sheephavenbay | 12/1 | 7Bet |
| Ignite The Fire | 30/1 | 7Bet |
| Confernation | 7/2 | 7Bet |
| Vegas Lights | 6/1 | 7Bet |
| Crown Ranger | 15/2 | 7Bet |
This is the narrative read of the 6:30 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit rating?
Regal Chita with a KTB Fit of 52.
How many of the principals are stepping up in class?
All four principals are stepping up in class.
Which runners are unproven on good to soft ground?
Regal Chita, Time Saxon Warrior, Confernation and Crown Ranger are unproven on good to soft.
What is the trainer and jockey combined strike rate for Regal Chita?
The trainer has a 17% strike rate at Leicester and the jockey a 21% strike rate at Leicester.
Who is the non-runner in the field?
Breacher is a non-runner.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies