6:39 Windsor
This Class 4 novice stakes, the second division at Windsor over 1m31y on good to soft ground, features an 11-runner field of mostly unexposed three-year-olds with a couple of older newcomers. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Atlas Mountain on 59, followed closely by Kahin on 56 and Cockade on 55, indicating a competitive heat where light racing experience and scope for improvement will be key. With no dominant front-runner the pace is expected to be tactical, and the official ratings place the principals in the low-to-mid 80s RPR bracket.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is muddling and tactical with medium confidence, as there is no obvious front-runner and several runners like to race prominently or in midfield. Those ridden close to the pace should be advantaged, while held-up types will need to time their efforts carefully in what is likely to be a steadily run affair. The key question is whether the race develops into a sprint for the line or if the prominent runners can dictate matters from the front.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Atlas Mountain KTB Selection59/100RPR 81 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Kahin56/100RPR 84 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Cockade55/100RPR 78 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Renovator52/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 5Champagne Beau49/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 6Star Baby47/100RPR 62 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Sound Gloria43/100RPR 57 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 8Baareq43/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 9Next Guilian43/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 10Peace And Quiet42/100RPR 55 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 11El Presidente41/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
The contenders
Atlas Mountain KTB Fit 59/100
Atlas Mountain has shown fair ability across three starts, with his close third at Nottingham over this trip on good to soft three weeks ago standing out as the clear highlight. He remains lightly raced and open to a bit more improvement, though his Topspeed figure of 57 indicates he will need to step forward to land a race of this nature. The RPR of 81 puts him firmly in contention on field comparison. Alan King operates at a 12 percent strike rate at Windsor from 206 runs with an A/E of 1.02, while Rossa Ryan posts a 16 percent strike rate from 326 rides here with an A/E of 0.93. He has been placed once from two runs on good to soft and is usually held up, producing his effort late.
Kahin KTB Fit 56/100
Kahin showed fair form when finishing close up in a Southwell maiden last time after being green on debut here. He carries a 240,000gns Kingman pedigree and remains open to improvement at this trip, with an RPR of 84 that compares favourably in the field. The yard posts a solid 20 percent strike rate at Windsor from 447 runs with an A/E of 0.89. Tom Marquand has a 15 percent strike rate at the track from 676 rides with an A/E of 0.9. He has yet to race on good to soft and has course form of seventh on his only start here so far. He usually races prominently, on or close to the lead, though he has yet to fully settle in his races.
Cockade KTB Fit 55/100
Cockade showed fair form when fourth of ten on debut in a warm Kempton novice over this trip in December, making most of the running before fading late. The Pinatubo colt is a late foal from a stamina-laden family and is entitled to sharpen up for the run, carrying an RPR of 78. He steps up in class here. John and Thady Gosden have a strong 32 percent strike rate at Windsor from 81 runs with an A/E of 1.16, though Robert Havlin's record is a more modest 8 percent from 546 rides with an A/E of 0.76. He has no experience of good to soft ground and is usually prominent, though that is based on limited evidence.
Renovator KTB Fit 52/100
Renovator showed little on debut when last of 12 in a Southwell maiden 18 days ago and has only that one run to go on, with no RPR available. The yard posts a 13 percent strike rate at Windsor from 91 runs with an A/E of 0.95. Darragh Keenan operates at 7 percent from 113 rides here with an A/E of 1.08. Both trip and ground remain untested questions as he has no runs on good to soft. He is usually held up and produces his effort late, though that assessment comes with limited evidence and low confidence.
Champagne Beau KTB Fit 49/100
Champagne Beau is a debutant by Frontiersman out of a 1m2f-1m3f winner, with the pedigree suggesting stamina for distances beyond today's 1m trip as a late foal. With no prior runs and low data confidence the form claims rest entirely on that breeding. Patrick Chamings is operating at a 7 percent strike rate from 280 runs at Windsor. Callum Hutchinson has a solid 12 percent strike rate from 68 rides here. He has no course win on record.
The rest of the field
Star BabyKTB Fit 47/100
Star Baby showed some promise when sixth of 12 on her debut at Kempton in April, finishing with a bit of late headway as second favourite. She is lightly raced with only one run this year so the bare form of an RPR 62 has to be treated with caution and she has yet to prove herself at this trip on turf. Ed Walker has a solid 17 percent strike rate at Windsor from 227 runs while Kieran Shoemark posts a 13 percent record from 286 rides here. She typically settles in midfield.
Sound GloriaKTB Fit 43/100
Sound Gloria is a limited performer who has shown very little in two starts at this trip on AW. A late foal bred for much further, he looks to have his work cut out trying to be competitive in this company with an RPR of 57. Roger Varian has a strong 27 percent strike rate at Windsor from 241 runs while Jack Mitchell posts a solid 12 percent from 307 rides here. He typically settles in midfield.
BaareqKTB Fit 43/100
Baareq is a 160,000gns Bated Breath gelding out of a 1m2f winner and half-brother to smart performers like Viadera, Sacred Bridge and Cross Baton. Connections have waited until he is four to get him to the track and he carries notable colours, so any market support should be noted. Trainer and jockey both have modest strike rates at Windsor with no course win on record.
Next GuilianKTB Fit 43/100
Next Guilian is a debutant with a strong German pedigree as a half-brother to high-class performers Next Mine and Not Mine. He showed fair promise when finishing about eight lengths third in a soft-ground maiden at Cologne last November and now tries first-time headgear. Connections have a modest record at Windsor with both trainer and jockey striking at low percentages from large samples.
Peace And QuietKTB Fit 42/100
Peace And Quiet showed only modest ability when seventh of 11 on debut at Nottingham three weeks ago. The well-related 4-year-old has a limited RPR of 55 and Topspeed of 9 from that single run and is now pitched into a Class 4 at Windsor. Trainer Jack Jones has a 15 percent strike rate here from 20 runs while apprentice Alice Bond is still seeking her first winner from six rides at the track. He typically settles in midfield.
El PresidenteKTB Fit 41/100
El Presidente is a newcomer from the Gary and Josh Moore yard which has a modest 3 percent strike rate from 66 runs at Windsor. The horse is a half-brother to several winners and his dam was useful at sprint trips while being closely related to a Grade 1-winning 2yo so the pedigree offers some hope. Jockey David Egan has a solid 10 percent strike rate here from 274 rides but with no racecourse form and low data confidence the market will be the best guide on debut.
KTB verdict
Atlas Mountain is the KTB Selection. He has shown fair ability in three runs with a close third at Nottingham over this trip on good to soft three weeks ago the clear highlight, and he remains lightly raced with scope to improve on his RPR of 81. The combination of Alan King's solid local record and Rossa Ryan's booking adds to the appeal in a muddling tactical race that should suit his hold-up style. The main dangers are Kahin, who showed fair form last time and has a strong pedigree with room to progress, and Cockade, who displayed promise on debut for a yard with an excellent Windsor strike rate and is entitled to come on for the run.
KTB Selection Atlas Mountain
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:17 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Atlas Mountain | 5/2 | William Hill |
| Kahin | 5/2 | William Hill |
| Cockade | 11/10 | William Hill |
| Renovator | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Champagne Beau | 150/1 | Bet365 |
| Star Baby | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Sound Gloria | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Baareq | 33/1 | Midnite |
| Next Guilian | 50/1 | 10Bet |
| Peace And Quiet | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| El Presidente | 50/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 6:39 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest official RPR in the field?
Kahin has the highest RPR at 84.
How many runs has Atlas Mountain had and what is his best recent effort?
Atlas Mountain has had three runs with recent form figures of 7-03; his close third at Nottingham over this trip on good to soft three weeks ago is the clear highlight.
What is the trainer strike rate at Windsor for the yard of the KTB Selection?
Alan King has a 12 percent strike rate at Windsor from 206 runs with an A/E of 1.02.
Which runners are unproven on good to soft ground?
Kahin, Cockade, Renovator, Star Baby, Sound Gloria and El Presidente have no runs on good to soft.
Who is the only runner in the race wearing headgear?
Next Guilian is the only runner wearing first-time headgear.
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