7:18 Roscommon
The 7:18 at Roscommon is a competitive Sweeney Oil Handicap Chase over 2m100y on soft ground, featuring a field of 14 where the KTB Fit scores range from 66 down to 42. Several smart performers line up, headed by the selection Chosen Shant on a mark reflecting an RPR of 118, though others such as Stoneyford Lady (RPR 119) and Spanish Maid (RPR 115) bring similar or stronger recent efforts. The KTB numbers point to a race where course and going records are patchy for many, with the yard and jockey stats at Roscommon adding further layers to the puzzle on what looks a genuinely-run contest.
How the race shapes up
With a front-runner likely to be pressed by several handy types, the pace shape is genuinely run and should provide a fair test according to the KTB assessment. Keep On Dreaming is the obvious leader from his front-running style, with Donnrua Dream and Stoneyford Lady among those prominent and ready to apply pressure. The key question is whether the late closers, including the selection Chosen Shant and Spanish Maid, can produce their efforts at the right time off a strong gallop without finding the trip too sharp on this soft surface.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Chosen Shant KTB Selection66/100RPR 118 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Spanish Maid60/100RPR 115 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Donnrua Dream59/100RPR 111 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Stoneyford Lady59/100RPR 119 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Presenting Lad58/100RPR 116 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Soldante57/100RPR 113 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Moylussa55/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 8L'Amiral Fromentin51/100RPR 115 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Must Go Now50/100RPR 112 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10Katherine48/100RPR 106 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 11Party President47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 12Keep On Dreaming47/100RPR 111 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 13Struck Oil44/100RPR 108 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 14Piccolo Player42/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
The contenders
Chosen Shant KTB Fit 66/100
Chosen Shant is a smart performer who has won twice over this trip from 18 attempts and arrives in reasonable form having finished third last time out. Only one run on this ground and one visit to Roscommon both produced no win or place finishes though the yard has a solid 16% strike rate here from 19 runs. The jockey is less convincing with a 3% strike rate from 29 rides at the track. Rated with an RPR of 118, he is held up and usually produces his effort late. His recent form reads 56-743 and at the age of 10 he remains capable at this level when things fall right.
Spanish Maid KTB Fit 60/100
Spanish Maid is a smart mare who arrives in form after winning last time and boasts a solid career record at this trip. She has only tried yielding to soft ground once without placing and makes her first visit to Roscommon. The trainer has a modest 6% strike rate here from 83 runs while the jockey is 9% from 11 rides, and their combined record stands at 6/82 with an A/E of 0.63. Rated with an RPR of 115, she is held up and usually produces her effort late. Her recent form reads 4821-1 and at the age of 8 she looks sure to go well if the ground does not prove against her.
Donnrua Dream KTB Fit 59/100
Donnrua Dream is a smart performer who has won twice at this trip but looks vulnerable on recent evidence after a poor run when pulled up last time. Only one visit to Roscommon brought a mid-field finish and the yard's solid 17% strike rate here is offset by the jockey's complete lack of success from seven rides. Placed once from two starts on yielding to soft but that was some time ago. Rated with an RPR of 111, he races prominently and usually races handily on or close to the lead. His recent form reads 1674-P and at the age of 9 he needs to bounce back to figure prominently.
Stoneyford Lady KTB Fit 59/100
Stoneyford Lady is a smart mare who ran to a high-class level when second in a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse in December. She has not matched that form in two subsequent runs and now drops back in trip having been placed but not won over this distance in the past. Henry De Bromhead has a solid 17% strike rate at Roscommon from 167 runs while the going remains unproven. Rated with an RPR of 119, she races prominently and usually races handily on or close to the lead. Her recent form reads 22187- and at the age of 7 she retains plenty of appeal on her best days despite the trainer and jockey combination showing 0/13 with an A/E of 0.00.
Presenting Lad KTB Fit 58/100
Presenting Lad is a smart performer who has won three times at this track from eight runs and also has a solid record on this sort of ground with a win and two places from four starts on yielding to soft. Recent form has been patchy but he showed he retains plenty of ability when runner-up last time and his career win record at today's trip is healthy. The trainer has an 8% strike rate here from 66 runs while the jockey is still seeking a first course winner from nine rides. Rated with an RPR of 116, he settles in mid-division and typically settles in midfield. His recent form reads 67P-92 and at the age of 10 he knows his way around this venue.
The rest of the field
SoldanteKTB Fit 57/100
Soldante is a smart performer who has run to a solid level on his last two starts and already has a win at this trip on his record. He has never tackled yielding to soft ground and makes his first visit to Roscommon where the trainer's strike rate is a modest 2% from 47 runs. The jockey has no recorded rides at the track. Rated with an RPR of 113, he is held up and usually held up and produces his effort late.
MoylussaKTB Fit 55/100
Moylussa is a smart performer on his figures who has won over today's trip from five attempts. He showed fair form when third on return last time but is unproven on yielding to soft ground and makes his first visit to Roscommon. The jockey has a 7% strike rate from 57 rides here. He has no RPR available and typically settles in midfield.
L'Amiral FromentinKTB Fit 51/100
L'Amiral Fromentin is a smart performer who has shown strong recent form with placed efforts at this trip. Unproven on yielding to soft ground and makes his first start at Roscommon. The trainer has a modest 4% strike rate here from 208 runs while the jockey has a solid 10% from 20 rides. Rated with an RPR of 115, he is held up and usually held up and produces his effort late.
Must Go NowKTB Fit 50/100
Must Go Now is a smart performer on his day with a solid RPR of 112 and has won on yielding to soft ground from four attempts. He has been placed at this trip without winning and arrives in modest recent form after a string of unplaced efforts. The trainer holds a 9 percent strike rate from 33 runs at Roscommon while the jockey is operating at 3 percent from 35 rides here. He is held up and usually held up and produces his effort late.
KatherineKTB Fit 48/100
Katherine is a smart mare who has won three times at this trip from 29 attempts and arrives in reasonable form with a recent fourth at this track. She has placed on her only previous visit to Roscommon but showed little on her sole run on yielding to soft ground. The yard has a modest 5% strike rate here from 21 runs while the claiming jockey is still seeking his first winner from 11 rides at the course. Rated with an RPR of 106, she is held up and usually held up and produces her effort late.
Party PresidentKTB Fit 47/100
Party President has shown little for a while with form of 8059-P and no recent RPR or Topspeed ratings to speak of. He is a useful performer on paper who has won twice over today's trip from eight attempts but has failed to place in two runs on yielding to soft ground. The yard has no recorded runners at Roscommon and the claimer has only three rides here which is too small a sample to judge. He is held up and usually held up and produces his effort late.
Keep On DreamingKTB Fit 47/100
Keep On Dreaming is a smart performer who showed useful form when winning a hunter chase at Cork in March before falling in a valuable Punchestown event. Drops back from 3m to an untested 2m today which asks a fresh question and the pedigree suggests stamina is his strong suit. The trainer has a solid 10% strike rate at Roscommon from 84 runs while the jockey is still seeking his first success from 17 rides here. Rated with an RPR of 111, he tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Struck OilKTB Fit 44/100
Struck Oil is a smart performer who ran to a solid level when third at Punchestown last time. He drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance and his only run on yielding to soft ground brought no win or place. The trainer Gavin Cromwell has a 12% strike rate from 178 runs at Roscommon while apprentice Eoghan Finegan has had only three rides here which is too small a sample to judge. Rated with an RPR of 108, he is held up and usually held up and produces his effort late.
Piccolo PlayerKTB Fit 42/100
Piccolo Player has shown smart level ability on his best days and has already won over this trip. He ran creditably when fifth on yielding to soft at the end of last season but his trainer is operating at a 4% strike rate from 98 runs at Roscommon. The 7 lb claimer has had too few rides here to judge while the horse himself makes his debut at the track. He races prominently and usually races handily on or close to the lead.
KTB verdict
Chosen Shant is the KTB Selection and looks to have the right blend of ability and course awareness to come out on top. His RPR of 118 places him firmly in the mix, he has won twice over the trip, and the yard's solid record at Roscommon offers encouragement even if the jockey's figures are less inspiring. The selection's held-up style should suit the expected genuinely-run pace, allowing him to come home late against rivals who may have done too much too soon. Main dangers include Spanish Maid, who arrives in form off an RPR of 115, and Stoneyford Lady, whose high-class effort at Fairyhouse keeps her in the picture on an RPR of 119 despite the unproven ground. Presenting Lad cannot be discounted given his three wins at the track and proven record on softish conditions.
KTB Selection Chosen Shant
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:25 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Chosen Shant | 22/1 | 10Bet |
| Spanish Maid | 2/1 | Betfred |
| Donnrua Dream | 33/1 | BetTom |
| Stoneyford Lady | 18/1 | Bet Victor |
| Presenting Lad | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Soldante | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Moylussa | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| L'Amiral Fromentin | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Must Go Now | 22/1 | William Hill |
| Katherine | 25/1 | William Hill |
| Party President | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Keep On Dreaming | 28/1 | Betfred |
| Struck Oil | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Piccolo Player | 6/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 7:18 Roscommon. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Roscommon racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Roscommon?
Presenting Lad has won here three times from eight runs.
How does the expected pace shape influence the held-up runners?
A genuinely-run race with a front-runner pressed by handy types should suit the held-up horses such as Chosen Shant and Spanish Maid, who produce their efforts late.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at the track in this field?
Ray Hackett has a 17% strike rate at Roscommon with an A/E of 1.62 from 12 runs.
What are the ground concerns for the leading fancies?
Chosen Shant and Spanish Maid have had only one run each on yielding to soft with no win or place, while Stoneyford Lady is unproven on the ground.
Which runner brings the highest RPR to the race?
Stoneyford Lady has the highest RPR at 119.
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