7:30 Windsor
This Class 6 handicap over the minimum trip at Windsor brings together an eleven-strong field of three-year-olds, most of whom are modest performers with relatively short handicap careers. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched between 59 and 35, underlining a race where little separates the principals on paper and where course experience, ground conditions and the ability to handle a stiff 5f will be key. Little Jaybee tops the KTB rankings despite a lacklustre start to the year, while several others arrive with recent placed efforts or minor wins to their name.
How the race shapes up
With several runners who like to race prominently or press the pace, the race is expected to be run at a sound gallop. Little Jaybee tends to race in the front rank from draw nine, Sea Her Excel and Viking Glory are likely to be forward from lower stalls, while Rianka and Mister Moet can also be involved early. The key question is whether the leaders will overdo it up the straight or if a well-timed challenge from mid-division, such as from Solar Invincible in stall five, can land the spoils.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Little Jaybee KTB Selection59/100Modest performer who has won once over this trip from seven attempts but has shown little spark in three starts this year.
- 2Sea Her Excel56/100Modest performer who showed improved form when winning a 5f handicap at Lingfield in May.
- 3Truly Glamorous55/100Modest performer who has shown little for the handicapper in six starts and was beaten over 7l when fourth of ten here on reappearance.
- 4Bella Delizia54/100Modest performer who showed her best when winning a 5f maiden at this trip on her penultimate start.
- 5Solar Invincible53/100Modest performer who has shown enough to be competitive at this level but has been hit and miss lately with a string of placed efforts mixed in with lesser runs…
- 6Viking Glory49/100Modest performer who has shown little since a promising second on debut.
- 7Hallandale Beach47/100Modest performer who has shown steady rather than sparkling form in four starts, finishing no closer than third.
- 8Mister Moet46/100Modest performer with a solid recent record of 418210 that includes two wins.
- 9Rosieisme Darling41/100Limited filly who has been placed on her only visit to Windsor and has won twice over this trip.
- 10Runamara40/100Limited horse who has shown little since an early win at this trip.
- 11Rianka35/100Limited horse who has shown only modest form in three starts to date, finishing fifth of six here over 6f on her most recent outing.
The contenders
Little Jaybee KTB Fit 59/100
Little Jaybee is a modest performer who has won once over this trip from seven attempts. He has shown little spark in three starts this year yet remains the top-rated on KTB Fit at 59. This is his first run at Windsor and he is unproven on good to firm ground, which adds unknowns at this stage. The Tom Ward stable strikes at 12% here from 101 runs while Sean Levey posts a 13% strike rate from 432 rides at the track. Dropping in class is a positive and the selection has the run-style to be involved from the front.
Sea Her Excel KTB Fit 56/100
Sea Her Excel is a modest performer who showed improved form when winning a 5f handicap at Lingfield in May. He has since run poorly at this track on good to firm ground and his yard is struggling here with a 7% strike rate. Sean D Bowen is the positive with a solid 21% strike rate at Windsor from 29 rides. The colt has a good record on good to firm, recording one win from two starts and two placed efforts overall at the trip. From draw three he is likely to be forward and his recent win gives him solid claims at this level.
Truly Glamorous KTB Fit 55/100
Truly Glamorous is a modest performer who has shown little for the handicapper in six starts and was beaten over 7l when fourth of ten here on reappearance. She has placed once at this trip but her three runs at Windsor have produced no better than a distant fourth. Trainer Christopher Mason has a solid 14% strike-rate at the track from 72 runs while jockey Gina Mangan sits on an 8% record from 109 rides here. Dropping in class may help but her course form remains a concern and she has only two runs on good to firm without placing.
Bella Delizia KTB Fit 54/100
Bella Delizia is a modest performer who showed her best when winning a 5f maiden at this trip on her penultimate start. She failed to fire on reappearance last time though and that leaves her with something to prove off the back of it. Trainer Nigel Tinkler has an 11% strike rate at Windsor from 81 runs while Tom Marquand posts a 15% strike rate from 681 rides here. She remains unproven on good to firm and has no previous course form, yet her earlier win at the distance suggests she can be competitive if she bounces back.
Solar Invincible KTB Fit 53/100
Solar Invincible is a modest performer who has shown enough to be competitive at this level but has been hit and miss lately with a string of placed efforts mixed in with lesser runs. He has won twice at this trip from nine attempts and is drawn nicely in stall five though he remains unproven on good to firm ground. Trainer Roger Teal has a 9% strike rate at Windsor from 175 runs while jockey Billy Loughnane fares a bit better with 15% from 81 rides here. Dropping in class looks suitable and his placed efforts suggest he can feature if the ground is not an issue.
The rest of the field
Viking GloryKTB Fit 49/100
Viking Glory is a modest performer who has shown little since a promising second on debut. He ran no sort of race when twelfth over course and distance on his only previous visit to Windsor. Trainer and jockey both operate at a steady 14% strike rate here and he drops in class.
Hallandale BeachKTB Fit 47/100
Hallandale Beach is a modest performer who has shown steady rather than sparkling form in four starts, finishing no closer than third. Dropping back to 5f asks a fresh question after his latest run over 6f, though he has tried the trip once before without success. Kevin Philippart De Foy has a 13% strike rate from 72 runs at Windsor while David Egan is operating at 10% from 280 rides here.
Mister MoetKTB Fit 46/100
Mister Moet is a modest performer with a solid recent record of 418210 that includes two wins. He drops back to 5f having already won at the trip from five attempts while the placed effort on good to firm ground suggests he handles today's conditions. Trainer has a 6 percent strike rate from 32 runs at Windsor and the jockey is 3 percent from 30 rides here.
Rosieisme DarlingKTB Fit 41/100
Rosieisme Darling is a limited filly who has been placed on her only visit to Windsor and has won twice over this trip. She has never faced good to firm ground so that remains an unknown and her overall record shows she is usually up against it in this company. Jack Mitchell has a solid 12 percent strike rate at the track from a big sample of rides.
RunamaraKTB Fit 40/100
Runamara is a limited horse who has shown little since an early win at this trip. Dropping back to 5f is a plus given her record at the distance yet she was well held over 6f last time and her sole run here was poor. Trainer holds a modest record at Windsor while the jockey is still seeking her first winner at the track.
RiankaKTB Fit 35/100
Rianka is a limited horse who has shown only modest form in three starts to date, finishing fifth of six here over 6f on her most recent outing. Dropping back to 5f poses a fresh question while first-time headgear is also an unknown. Trainer has a 0% strike rate from 15 runs at Windsor though jockey Marco Ghiani has a solid 12% record from 141 rides at the track.
KTB verdict
Little Jaybee tops the KTB Fit Scores and is taken as the selection in a race where several have something to prove. His ability to race prominently, the drop in class and the yard's respectable record at Windsor are all in his favour even if the ground and course are unknowns. Sea Her Excel brings a recent 5f win to the table and benefits from Sean D Bowen's excellent record at the venue, making him the most obvious danger. Truly Glamorous, Bella Delizia and Solar Invincible are all capable of playing a part if they can improve on recent efforts or overcome their lack of experience on fast ground.
KTB Selection Little Jaybee
This is the narrative read of the 7:30 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best recent win at 5f?
Sea Her Excel showed improved form when winning a 5f handicap at Lingfield in May.
How many horses are unproven on good to firm ground?
Little Jaybee, Bella Delizia, Solar Invincible, Rosieisme Darling and Rianka are all unproven on good to firm.
Who has the strongest jockey record at Windsor?
Sean D Bowen has a 21% strike rate at Windsor from 29 rides.
Which runners have course form at Windsor?
Truly Glamorous has three runs here with a best of fourth, Sea Her Excel was seventh on his only start, Viking Glory was twelfth over C&D, Rosieisme Darling was third, Runamara was eleventh and Rianka was fifth.
What is the KTB Fit Score of the selection?
Little Jaybee has a KTB Fit Score of 59.
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