7:39 Windsor
This Class 2 Fitzdares Sprint Series Handicap over 5f21y at Windsor serves as a qualifier for the series and features a compact but competitive field of nine on good to soft ground. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Society Kiss, Regal Envoy and Trefor all rated in the low 60s, underlining the depth on show. Strong pace is anticipated, which could play into the hands of those capable of producing their effort from off the pace in the later stages.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace shape is expected to be strong, and the confidence level is high that it could collapse in the final furlong. Regal Envoy, Gaeli and Clearpoint are all likely to contest the lead or race prominently, while Marching Mac and Roach Power should be on their coat-tails. That early speed sets up a key question of whether any hold-up performers, most notably Society Kiss and Trefor, can pick up the pieces when the leaders tire.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Society Kiss KTB Selection63/100RPR 103 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Regal Envoy61/100RPR 106 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Trefor60/100RPR 104 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Gaeli55/100RPR 103 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Clearpoint54/100RPR 106 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 6Rocking Ends54/100RPR 103 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Bassenthwaite51/100RPR 102 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 8Roach Power48/100RPR 101 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 9Marching Mac43/100RPR 101 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Society Kiss KTB Fit 63/100
Society Kiss is a useful performer who showed smart speed when winning her debut over this trip on good to firm and equalling the track record. She held her own in the Group 2 Queen Mary at Ascot before a close third at Southwell on her return where she was short of room. The step up in class is the next challenge but her RPR of 103 suggests she belongs at this level. John Mackie has an 18 percent strike rate from 11 runs at Windsor while Saffie Osborne takes the ride. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she is ideally placed to benefit if the strong pace collapses. She is unproven on good to soft and has no course form on record.
Regal Envoy KTB Fit 61/100
Regal Envoy is a smart performer who has won twice at this track from seven runs and landed nine of his 26 starts at this trip. His recent form of 06-312 shows consistency at a high level and the good-to-soft ground has seen him place without winning. An RPR of 106 confirms his effectiveness at this level. William Knight has a modest 9 percent strike-rate at Windsor from a big sample which is a slight negative, though Oisin Murphy's 19 percent strike rate at the track helps balance the ledger. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he is sure to be to the fore in what is likely to be a strong gallop.
Trefor KTB Fit 60/100
Trefor is a useful performer who has won twice at this track from six runs and arrives off the back of two respectable efforts in stronger company. He has the speed to cope with the drop back to 5f having already won at the trip, though his record on good to soft is modest with no placed efforts from two starts. An RPR of 104 places him firmly in the mix on figures. Charles Hills has a solid 14 percent strike rate here from a big sample and Kieran Shoemark's record at Windsor is equally respectable. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he is another who could be well served by the anticipated strong pace.
Gaeli KTB Fit 55/100
Gaeli is a useful performer who showed smart AW form when winning on his stable debut at Southwell in March. He has not built on that since, finishing only fifth over this course and distance last time and looking in need of extra off his current mark. First-time cheekpieces replace the blinkers as he tries to bounce back from a modest recent run. Marco Botti has a 13 percent strike rate at Windsor and Marco Ghiani is 12 percent from his rides here. Tending to make the running or race on the pace, he will be prominent early but remains unproven on good to soft.
The rest of the field
ClearpointKTB Fit 54/100
Clearpoint is a smart performer who arrives in solid form after two placed efforts this year. Has winning form at this trip but is unproven on good to soft ground and his sole course run resulted in a second without a victory. Trainer's modest 2 percent strike rate at Windsor adds a negative. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Rocking EndsKTB Fit 54/100
Rocking Ends is a useful performer who has won twice at Windsor from four runs and also has a solid seven wins from 28 starts at this trip. Recent form has been patchy though and he has failed to place in three runs on good to soft ground. Tom Clover has a 15 percent strike rate here from 88 runs while David Egan knows the track well. Usually held up and produces his effort late with high confidence.
BassenthwaiteKTB Fit 51/100
Bassenthwaite is a useful performer who has won twice over today's 5f trip including a wide-margin all-the-way success at Wolverhampton last November. Dropped out over 6f on his most recent start and now returns to the minimum distance from a wide draw. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Windsor. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
Roach PowerKTB Fit 48/100
Roach Power is a useful performer on his day with an RPR of 101 but has been well below that level in three starts this year. He has won six times over this trip yet his record on good to soft is modest with only one success from seven attempts. The trainer’s 6 percent strike rate at Windsor from 48 runs adds a further note of caution on what is the horse’s first run here. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
Marching MacKTB Fit 43/100
Marching Mac is a useful performer who has run to an RPR of 101 and shown Topspeed of 94. He has won six times over today's 5f trip and handles good to soft ground with a win and a place from four starts. First run at Windsor for the McEntee yard which has an 8 percent strike rate here from 73 attempts. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
KTB verdict
Society Kiss is the KTB Selection. She showed smart speed to win her debut over this trip in a track-record time before performing with credit in the Group 2 Queen Mary and a tight third at Southwell, and her hold-up style looks perfectly suited to the strong pace that is likely to unfold. John Mackie's healthy strike rate at Windsor is another positive. Regal Envoy, twice a winner here and a model of consistency, is the obvious danger if he can dictate matters from the front, while Trefor brings strong course form and a similar late-run profile that could see him finishing fast if the leaders go too hard early.
KTB Selection Society Kiss
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:17 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Society Kiss | 9/1 | BetTom |
| Regal Envoy | 10/3 | Bet365 |
| Trefor | 7/2 | Grosvenor Sports |
| Gaeli | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Clearpoint | 15/2 | William Hill |
| Rocking Ends | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Bassenthwaite | 22/1 | 10Bet |
| Roach Power | 16/1 | Sporting Index |
| Marching Mac | 17/2 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:39 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horses are likely to set the strong pace?
Regal Envoy, Gaeli and Clearpoint are all front-runners or tend to race on the pace, with Roach Power, Marching Mac and Bassenthwaite prominent from their respective draws.
How does the strong pace shape influence the race?
The strong pace could collapse late, which would favour hold-up horses such as Society Kiss and Trefor.
Which horses are stepping up in class?
Society Kiss, Rocking Ends, Roach Power and Marching Mac are all stepping up in class.
Who has the best recent course record at Windsor?
Regal Envoy and Trefor have both won twice here, while Rocking Ends has also won twice from four starts at the track.
Which runners are unproven on good to soft ground?
Society Kiss, Gaeli, Clearpoint, Bassenthwaite and Gaeli have no runs on good to soft.
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