7:09 Windsor
This Class 3 novice stakes over 1m2f at Windsor on good to soft ground features a field of 16, the majority of whom are lightly raced with limited or no previous form. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, headed by Cuff It on 60, followed closely by Cyrano De Bergerac on 59 and a trio on 56. With no established leader in a race that lacks obvious pace, the numbers point to a steadily-run, tactical contest where those who can be positioned handily and handle the step up in trip may hold the key.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape indicates no one obviously wants the lead, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. Several principals, including the selection, are held-up types who will be looking to produce their effort late off what is expected to be a modest gallop. The key question is whether those coming from off the pace can close effectively or if the race will be won by something that can secure a more prominent position in a field where run-styles are predominantly midfield or held up.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Cuff It KTB Selection60/100RPR 81 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 2Cyrano De Bergerac59/100RPR 76 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 3Zachary Hickes56/100RPR 76 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 4Avarona56/100RPR 75 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 5Sevenkingsmustdie56/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 6Steamroller52/100RPR 75 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 7Phantom Recon52/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 8Asterial49/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 9Zynak48/100RPR 56 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 10All Of My Heart47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 11Indhaar47/100No RPR available — neutral score applied
- 12Virtue Diligence42/100RPR 52 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 13Eshowe41/100RPR 46 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 14Zurna40/100RPR 48 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 15Strong Man Tom31/100RPR 10 — field comparison calculated at page load
- 16Prophet Squeeze26/100RPR 10 — field comparison calculated at page load
The contenders
Cuff It KTB Fit 60/100
Cuff It showed fair form when fifth on debut at Newmarket last month having come from the back and shaped as though the step up to this 1m2f trip will suit. The City Light gelding has a useful pedigree and his runner-up from that race is also declared here which offers some confidence in the form. Trainer Richard Spencer has a solid 19% strike rate at Windsor from 48 runs while Saffie Osborne takes the ride. He holds an RPR of 81 which places him favourably in the field comparison. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 10/55 record with an A/E of 1.04. As a 3 year old from draw 5 he remains unproven on good to soft but is taken to build on that debut effort.
Cyrano De Bergerac KTB Fit 59/100
Cyrano De Bergerac showed fair ability when chasing home a smart stablemate in a Lingfield maiden on his only start six weeks ago. The Palace Pier colt stays 1m2f and was not given a hard time once beaten. He holds an RPR of 76 and is expected to settle in midfield. Trainer John & Thady Gosden bring a strong 32% strike rate at Windsor from 81 runs and William Buick adds a 19% record from 383 rides at the track. The 3 year old from draw 8 remains unproven on good to soft with only one run on the clock, leaving this as a low-confidence assessment despite the yard's overall 24% strike rate with the jockey.
Zachary Hickes KTB Fit 56/100
Zachary Hickes showed useful promise when staying on from the rear to finish fourth of 13 on debut at Kempton in December. This lightly raced 4 year old steps up to 1m2f for the first time today which asks a fresh question of him. He holds an RPR of 76 and will be held up to produce his effort late. Roger Varian has a solid 27% strike rate at Windsor from 241 runs while Jack Mitchell adds a 12% record from 307 rides here. The combination shows a 21% strike rate with an A/E of 0.87. He is stepping up in class and remains unproven on good to soft.
Avarona KTB Fit 56/100
Avarona showed only modest ability when slowly away and finishing seventh of eight on debut at Newbury over 1m last October. The step up to 1m2f is an entirely fresh question for a filly whose pedigree suggests she will improve with the extra distance. She holds an RPR of 75 and will be held up. Ralph Beckett has a 16% strike rate at Windsor from 585 runs and Rossa Ryan matches that figure from 326 rides. The trainer and jockey show a 21% strike rate with an A/E of 0.97. Stepping up in class from draw 14 she remains unproven on good to soft with a very light career record.
Sevenkingsmustdie KTB Fit 56/100
Sevenkingsmustdie cost a big 425,000gns as a yearling but has shown nothing in two bumper runs this spring, finishing well beaten both times. He now switches to the Flat with the hood back on and drops sharply in trip to 1m2f, which asks a fresh question. The 4 year old from draw 11 will be held up with medium confidence in that assessment. Alan King has a 12% strike rate from 206 runs at Windsor and the jockey Luke Catton contributes a 13% record from 24 rides here. The trainer and jockey show an 18% strike rate with an A/E of 1.49. No RPR is available and data confidence remains low given the horse's limited career.
The rest of the field
SteamrollerKTB Fit 52/100
Steamroller showed some promise when finishing sixth of nine on debut at Newbury last month, racing freely early before staying on without threatening. He holds an RPR of 75 and steps up in class from a wide draw with only one run on the clock. The 3 year old remains unproven on good to soft.
Phantom ReconKTB Fit 52/100
Phantom Recon is a 340,000 euro Teofilo yearling out of a Listed-winning 1m4f dam and closely related to smart middle-distance performers including Group-placed Tres Rock Women. As a debutant with no racecourse form this is all pedigree and stable intent. George Scott has a 13% strike rate at Windsor from 91 runs.
AsterialKTB Fit 49/100
Asterial is a 750,000gns yearling by Sea The Stars out of a 1m2f winner and closely related to smart middle-distance performers including Dubai Mile. As a debutant with no RPR or Topspeed figures the market will be the best guide. George Scott has a 13% strike rate from 91 runs at Windsor.
ZynakKTB Fit 48/100
Zynak showed very little on his Newbury debut last month when finishing last of nine having been sent off at 66-1. The Zarak colt is lightly raced with just the one run and holds a limited rating on that evidence with an RPR of 56. Both trainer and jockey have solid strike rates at Windsor but this one needs to improve markedly.
All Of My HeartKTB Fit 47/100
All Of My Heart showed very little in a bumper at Ludlow on debut when pulling hard and finishing well beaten. Dropping back from 2m to 1m2f today asks a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 16 adds another complication on this lightly raced debut for the yard. She has one run on good to soft with no win or place.
IndhaarKTB Fit 47/100
Indhaar is a well-bred newcomer by Ghaiyyath out of a Listed-placed 7f/1m dam from the family of Islington. He is closely related to several winners including the smart Red Mist and was withdrawn lame when due to make his debut at Newbury. Connections are in good form at Windsor though this debutant brings no racecourse form to judge.
Virtue DiligenceKTB Fit 42/100
Virtue Diligence showed very little on debut when slow to start and finishing ninth of 11 in a Kempton novice over 1m. This is only the second run for a horse rated limited on the bare figures with an RPR of 52 and the step up to 1m2f is an unknown. She will typically settle in midfield.
EshoweKTB Fit 41/100
Eshowe showed very little on his sole start when last of 12 on AW at Wolverhampton in December. The limited form with an RPR of 46 leaves him with plenty to find now stepped up to 1m2f on turf. The trainer has a 7% strike rate from 15 runs at Windsor.
ZurnaKTB Fit 40/100
Zurna showed very little on her debut when finishing ninth of ten at Nottingham three weeks ago. That run marks her out as limited at this stage with a poor RPR of 48 and Topspeed of 26. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 10 runs at Windsor.
Strong Man TomKTB Fit 31/100
Strong Man Tom has shown little so far with two heavy defeats in 1m2f maidens at Chepstow after remote bumper efforts. He is a limited performer on the figures with an RPR of 10 and has failed to make any impact in two runs at today's trip. The yard has no prior runners at Windsor.
Prophet SqueezeKTB Fit 26/100
Prophet Squeeze has very little to recommend him on the figures with an RPR of just 10 and a limited level of ability overall. He makes his first start at Windsor from a wide draw of 15 and has shown nothing on his only previous run on good to soft ground. The yard has no prior runners at Windsor.
KTB verdict
Cuff It is the KTB Selection. He showed fair form when fifth on debut at Newmarket last month, coming from the back and shaping as though this 1m2f trip will suit, with the runner-up from that race also declared offering confidence in the form. The Richard Spencer yard has a solid record at Windsor and the useful pedigree adds to the appeal as he steps up in class. Cyrano De Bergerac is the obvious danger after chasing home a smart stablemate on debut while Zachary Hickes, Avarona and Sevenkingsmustdie are the other principals who can feature in what looks a steadily-run affair.
KTB Selection Cuff It
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 09:17 UTC, 8 Jun. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Cuff It | 11/1 | William Hill |
| Cyrano De Bergerac | 6/4 | Sporting Index |
| Zachary Hickes | 5/1 | 10Bet |
| Avarona | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Sevenkingsmustdie | 200/1 | Bet365 |
| Steamroller | 17/2 | William Hill |
| Phantom Recon | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Asterial | 11/1 | William Hill |
| Zynak | 80/1 | Bet365 |
| All Of My Heart | 150/1 | 10Bet |
| Indhaar | 7/1 | William Hill |
| Virtue Diligence | 125/1 | 10Bet |
| Eshowe | 200/1 | Bet365 |
| Zurna | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Strong Man Tom | 125/1 | Bet365 |
| Prophet Squeeze | 250/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:09 Windsor. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Windsor racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the highest KTB Fit Score and is the selection?
Cuff It with a KTB Fit Score of 60/100.
How does the lack of a leader affect the expected pace?
It points to a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
What is the trainer strike rate at Windsor for the yard of the selection?
Richard Spencer has a 19% strike rate at Windsor from 48 runs.
Which debutant is by Sea The Stars and closely related to Dubai Mile?
Asterial.
What run-style is expected from the selection Cuff It?
Held up — usually held up and produces its effort late.
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