7:45 Leopardstown
A competitive 25-runner Renault Ireland Handicap over 1m1f at Leopardstown on good to firm ground sees a field of largely modest performers. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Sinbad My Dad narrowly heading the numbers on 63. Most of the principals and field are held-up types, which aligns with the race's lone-leader pace shape that could make things difficult for those coming from off the pace.
How the race shapes up
With a high-confidence lone leader likely to get an uncontested lead, the pace shape suggests a straightforward front-running ride that could prove hard for closers to reel in late. The vast majority of the field, including all five principals, are held-up runners who produce their efforts late, raising the key question of whether any of them can bridge the gap to an uncontested leader on this stiff track. A couple of front-running or pace-settling types lurk lower down the weights, but the shape overall favours the one who gets the run of the race out in front.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Sinbad My Dad KTB Selection63/100Modest performer who has won once from three starts at this track.
- 2Tachos62/100Modest performer who has won once from eight starts at Leopardstown and steps up in trip today having scored twice from five runs at this distance.
- 3Star Mind56/100Modest performer who has won once from three starts at this track and is 1 from 3 at today's trip.
- 4Stepdance51/100Modest performer who has won three times on softer ground but was well below form when ninth on return last time.
- 5God Knows50/100Modest performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts.
- 6Tanzanite Diamond50/100Modest performer who has shown little spark in five starts to date with a string of mid-pack finishes.
- 7Ardeur49/100Modest performer who has been well beaten on both previous visits to Leopardstown.
- 8Moyassr48/100Moyassr is a modest performer who has shown his best at this track with a fourth and two fifths from four runs.
- 9Jasmine Affanalis48/100Modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 10Werifesteria48/100Modest performer who has shown little in three starts to date, finishing seventh or worse each time.
- 11Nibras Rainbow47/100Limited performer who has won once in four runs at Leopardstown and drops back to a trip where he has also scored.
- 12Little Wing47/100Modest performer who has finished last on all three starts to date.
- 13Darkdeserthighway46/100Modest performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, finishing third twice this season before two lesser efforts.
- 14Pallatine Hills46/100Modest performer who ran respectably over C&D on his latest start yet finished sixth of 14.
- 15Quafftide46/100Modest performer who has shown some ability on both starts this year, finishing fourth on each occasion.
- 16Ohmali45/100Modest performer who has been out of form for most of this year and finished well beaten on his last two starts.
- 17Bella Colombia44/100Modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning often.
- 18Sonic Invader44/100Sonic Invader is a modest performer who has shown some consistency this year with placed efforts on his last two starts before a lesser run last time.
- 19Guy's Girl44/100Modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts.
- 20Comfort Line42/100Modest performer who has run eight times at Leopardstown without winning but has been placed twice here.
- 21Wild Berries42/100Modest performer who has failed to build on an encouraging debut and now looks exposed after five runs this year.
- 22Cleopatra's Needle40/100Cleopatra's Needle is a limited performer who has shown bits of form here without winning in ten runs, including a string of placed efforts on her last three vi…
- 23Tequila39/100Modest performer who has shown little spark in four starts this year and arrives with a career record of just one placing from nine runs.
- 24Dancing Steve39/100Limited performer who has been out of form for some time and showed nothing in five runs this year.
- 25The Holy Apostle39/100Limited horse who has shown very little in ten runs and arrives here on the back of three poor efforts.
The contenders
Sinbad My Dad KTB Fit 63/100
Sinbad My Dad is a modest performer who has won once from three starts at Leopardstown. He drops back in trip today having last run over a mile and a quarter and has scored at this distance in the past though he is unproven on good to firm ground. The five-year-old is held up, usually producing his effort late, and is drawn in stall 19. Trainer Seamus Fahey has an 8% strike rate at Leopardstown from 91 runs while Joseph Harnett, who has a 14% strike rate at the track from seven rides, is aboard with his 7lb claim. Recent form of 3-9864 shows flashes of ability and he is taken to capitalise on a track record that stands up well in this company.
Tachos KTB Fit 62/100
Tachos is a modest performer who has won once from eight starts at Leopardstown and steps up in trip today having scored twice from five runs at this distance. He has shown little in five starts this year and the first-time headgear is now reached for. The five-year-old is held up, usually producing his effort late, and is drawn widest in stall 25. Trainer Dermot Weld has a solid 17% strike rate here from a huge sample of 3164 runs while Paddy Harnett, with a 10% strike rate at the track from 61 rides and his 5lb claim, takes the mount. He has been placed on his only start on good to firm and his course win adds interest despite a modest recent record.
Star Mind KTB Fit 56/100
Star Mind is a modest performer who has won once from three starts at this track and is 1 from 3 at today's trip. He has been competitive on good to firm without winning and now drops back from 1m2f. The five-year-old is held up, usually producing his effort late, and is drawn in stall 10. Trainer Gerard O'Leary has a solid 10% strike rate from 110 runs here while Danny O'Leary rides with his 10lb claim and a neutral course record. Recent form of -83518 includes a win and a placing, suggesting he remains capable at this level when the trip and ground align.
Stepdance KTB Fit 51/100
Stepdance is a modest performer who has won three times on softer ground but was well below form when ninth on return last time. He drops back from 2m to a trip he has tried twice without success while the good to firm ground is another unknown. The six-year-old is held up, usually producing his effort late, and is drawn in stall 4. Trainer Henry De Bromhead has an 8% strike rate from 699 runs at Leopardstown and the yard's partnership with Conor Cusack, who claims 7lb, shows a 2/21 record with an A/E of 1.01. No course form on record adds to the unknowns but his winning record gives him a place in calculations.
God Knows KTB Fit 50/100
God Knows is a modest performer who has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. He has run twice at this track without placing and steps up in trip today having been well held over shorter last time. The seven-year-old is held up, usually producing his effort late, and is drawn in stall 18. Trainer P Sweeney has a 6% strike rate at Leopardstown from 17 runs while Patrick McGettigan, with a 16% strike rate at the track from 31 rides and his 5lb claim, takes the ride. Recent form of 2-0907 offers limited encouragement and his modest course record is another negative.
The rest of the field
Tanzanite DiamondKTB Fit 50/100
Tanzanite Diamond is a modest performer who has shown little spark in five starts to date with a string of mid-pack finishes. First-time headgear is now applied as he drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried and the trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Leopardstown from a big sample offers no particular encouragement.
ArdeurKTB Fit 49/100
Ardeur is a modest performer who has been well beaten on both previous visits to Leopardstown. He steps up in trip today having shown little over shorter distances, with a poor recent record that offers no encouragement, and the trainer holds an 8% strike rate here from a large sample.
MoyassrKTB Fit 48/100
Moyassr is a modest performer who has shown his best at this track with a fourth and two fifths from four runs. He steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in three previous tries at this distance and now tries first-time headgear while remaining unproven on good to firm ground.
Jasmine AffanalisKTB Fit 48/100
Jasmine Affanalis is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. She steps up in trip today having won at this distance on her only previous attempt but is unproven on good to firm ground and the trainer has a modest 4% strike rate at Leopardstown.
WerifesteriaKTB Fit 48/100
Werifesteria is a modest performer who has shown little in three starts to date, finishing seventh or worse each time. He drops back from 1m4f to an untried 1m1f today while wearing first-time headgear and the trainer has a solid 10% strike rate at Leopardstown from a huge sample.
Nibras RainbowKTB Fit 47/100
Nibras Rainbow is a limited performer who has won once in four runs at Leopardstown and drops back to a trip where he has also scored. Recent form of 013213 shows he can be competitive at this level but he has failed to win on good to firm in five starts and now tries first-time headgear.
Little WingKTB Fit 47/100
Little Wing is a modest performer who has finished last on all three starts to date. He steps up markedly in trip today from 6f to 1m1f which asks a fresh question and the trainer holds an 11% strike rate at Leopardstown from a large sample.
DarkdeserthighwayKTB Fit 46/100
Darkdeserthighway is a modest performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, finishing third twice this season before two lesser efforts. He has never won or placed in two runs at Leopardstown, showed little on his only previous go on good to firm ground and now steps up in trip with first-time headgear.
Pallatine HillsKTB Fit 46/100
Pallatine Hills is a modest performer who ran respectably over C&D on his latest start yet finished sixth of 14. He steps up in trip again today having shown little at a mile, remains unproven on good to firm ground and now tries first-time headgear while the yard has a poor record at Leopardstown.
QuafftideKTB Fit 46/100
Quafftide is a modest performer who has shown some ability on both starts this year, finishing fourth on each occasion. He steps up in trip for the first time today having last run over 7f and first-time headgear is now applied.
OhmaliKTB Fit 45/100
Ohmali is a modest performer who has been out of form for most of this year and finished well beaten on his last two starts. He showed a bit more when second over this course and distance in the spring yet has since failed to build on that effort and the trainer's modest 4% strike rate at Leopardstown adds little encouragement.
Bella ColombiaKTB Fit 44/100
Bella Colombia is a modest performer who has been consistent enough this year without winning often. She has a placed effort at today's trip but was well beaten on her only previous run here and has shown little on good to firm ground.
Sonic InvaderKTB Fit 44/100
Sonic Invader is a modest performer who has shown some consistency this year with placed efforts on his last two starts before a lesser run last time. He now drops back sharply in trip to 1m1f having last run over 1m6½f, which asks a fresh question, and trainer Noel Meade has a 10% strike rate at Leopardstown.
Guy's GirlKTB Fit 44/100
Guy's Girl is a modest performer who has been largely out of form this year with a string of modest efforts. She drops back in trip from 1m4f having already looked stretched at that distance last time though she has no experience on good to firm ground.
Comfort LineKTB Fit 42/100
Comfort Line is a modest performer who has run eight times at Leopardstown without winning but has been placed twice here. He steps up in trip today having last run over 7f, is only 1-5 at this distance though he has placed once and now tries first-time headgear.
Wild BerriesKTB Fit 42/100
Wild Berries is a modest performer who has failed to build on an encouraging debut and now looks exposed after five runs this year. He steps up in trip for the first time having looked stretched at 7f last time and the trainer records a 6% strike rate at Leopardstown.
Cleopatra's NeedleKTB Fit 40/100
Cleopatra's Needle is a limited performer who has shown bits of form here without winning in ten runs, including a string of placed efforts on her last three visits. She drops back markedly in trip from 2m last time, has never won or placed in seven attempts at this distance and now tries first-time headgear.
TequilaKTB Fit 39/100
Tequila is a modest performer who has shown little spark in four starts this year and arrives with a career record of just one placing from nine runs. He drops back in trip having failed to fire over longer last time though he has already been tried at this distance without success and the trainer has a 0% strike rate at Leopardstown.
Dancing SteveKTB Fit 39/100
Dancing Steve is a limited performer who has been out of form for some time and showed nothing in five runs this year. He has a win over today's trip on his record but drops back in distance from his latest start and now tries first-time headgear.
The Holy ApostleKTB Fit 39/100
The Holy Apostle is a limited horse who has shown very little in ten runs and arrives here on the back of three poor efforts. He drops back in trip to a distance he has never tried while wearing first-time headgear on ground he has never encountered.
KTB verdict
Sinbad My Dad is the KTB Selection. He brings a course win from three starts at Leopardstown to the table along with previous success at this trip, and the drop back from a mile and a quarter looks suitable while the trainer and jockey combination have shown up well at the venue. His held-up style must overcome the lone-leader pace shape, but he has the best of the KTB Fit ratings in a race full of modest sorts. The main dangers are Tachos, who has a course win and prior success at the trip, and Star Mind, who also has a solid Leopardstown record and is dropping back in distance.
KTB Selection Sinbad My Dad
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 6 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sinbad My Dad | 17/2 | Bet Victor |
| Tachos | 17/2 | Bet365 |
| Star Mind | 20/1 | Bet Victor |
| Stepdance | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Tanzanite Diamond | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Ardeur | 40/1 | Bet Victor |
| Moyassr | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| Jasmine Affanalis | 9/1 | Bet Victor |
| Werifesteria | 28/1 | BetTom |
| Nibras Rainbow | 17/2 | BresBet |
| Little Wing | 33/1 | Bet Victor |
| Darkdeserthighway | 15/2 | Bet365 |
| Pallatine Hills | 12/1 | Bet Victor |
| Quafftide | 12/1 | Bet Victor |
| Ohmali | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Bella Colombia | 13/2 | Bet Victor |
| Sonic Invader | 9/1 | Bet Victor |
| Guy's Girl | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Comfort Line | 14/1 | Bet Victor |
| Wild Berries | 40/1 | Bet365 |
| Cleopatra's Needle | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Tequila | 16/1 | Bet365 |
| Dancing Steve | 33/1 | Bet365 |
| The Holy Apostle | 22/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:45 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is the pace shape expected to favour the leader?
The supplied pace shape is lone leader with high confidence, indicating one clear front-runner with little to pressure it and an uncontested lead that can be hard for closers to peg back.
How many of the principals are held-up runners?
All five principals — Sinbad My Dad, Tachos, Star Mind, Stepdance and God Knows — are described as held up, usually producing their effort late with high confidence.
Which horse has the strongest trainer strike rate at Leopardstown among the principals?
Tachos, with trainer D K Weld showing a 17% strike rate at Leopardstown from 3164 runs.
Which runner is stepping up in trip from the shortest recent distance?
Little Wing steps up markedly in trip today from 6f to 1m1f.
How many runners in the full field are wearing first-time headgear?
Ten runners are wearing first-time headgear: Tachos, Tanzanite Diamond, Moyassr, Werifesteria, Nibras Rainbow, Darkdeserthighway, Pallatine Hills, Quafftide, Comfort Line and Dancing Steve, plus Cleopatra's Needle and The Holy Apostle.
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