7:10 Leopardstown
A 20-runner 0-70 handicap over 7f42y at Leopardstown on good to firm ground promises to be a competitive but limited affair. The KTB Fit ratings top out at just 59 for the selection, underlining the modest nature of the whole field, while the pace shape points to a steadily-run, tactical race in which being handy from a good draw could prove decisive. Most runners are held-up types, several arrive in modest form, and a clutch are reaching for first-time headgear in the hope of sparking improvement.
How the race shapes up
With no obvious leader in the field, the pace shape suggests a steadily-run, tactical contest where being handy will pay dividends. The majority of runners, including the top five in the KTB Fit order, are held-up types who produce their efforts late, raising the possibility of a bunching finish. The key question is whether any horse can get into a decent position early enough from wide draws or whether the race will be won by one of the few with a more forward-friendly berth.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Launch Time KTB Selection59/100Limited performer who has won once from two starts at Leopardstown.
- 2Wellwhatshappenin51/100Limited performer who has shown a mix of modest form, including a win at today's trip from five attempts.
- 3Imperial Dream50/100Imperial Dream is a limited performer on recent evidence with a string of poor efforts this year.
- 4Jazzit50/100Limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and now tries first-time headgear.
- 5Dinamine49/100Limited performer who has been out of form for most of this year but did snap a long losing run over a mile last time.
- 6Cordouan48/100Limited performer who has been placed twice from six runs at Leopardstown without winning.
- 7Gordon Bennett48/100Limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last three starts and showed little at this track on his only previous visit.
- 8Suerte47/100Limited performer who has struggled this year and shown no real spark in three starts since returning from a break.
- 9Pete's Dream46/100Limited performer who has been in and out this year.
- 10Brains44/100Brains is a limited 10-year-old who has shown little spark this year and arrives on the back of a string of modest efforts.
- 11The Blue Panther43/100Limited performer who has been out of the frame in three of his last four starts and showed only modest form when fourth here last time.
- 12Dress Dance41/100Limited performer who has struggled in four starts to date and was well beaten on her latest run over much further.
- 13Micasso41/100Limited performer who has shown little since winning a modest 1m handicap at Dundalk in March.
- 14Smaoineamh Sile40/100Limited performer who has won four times at this track from 15 runs but has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts.
- 15Mogwli37/100Mogwli is a limited performer on the balance of his ratings and recent form that has produced five straight defeats.
- 16Pure Valour37/100Pure Valour has shown very little in four starts with a string of poor efforts including a last-place finish on his most recent run.
- 17Cannonball Queen36/100Limited performer who has struggled in all seven starts and finished no closer than 12th at this track on her only visit.
- 18Desert Of The Sea35/100Limited performer who has been consistent enough to place a few times but lacks any real spark at this level.
- 19Draiocht34/100Limited performer who has shown little at this track in two previous runs.
- 20Master Garvey33/100Master Garvey is a limited performer who has run six times at Leopardstown without winning yet has managed a couple of respectable placed efforts here.
The contenders
Launch Time KTB Fit 59/100
Launch Time is a limited performer who has won once from two starts at Leopardstown. He drops back to 7f today having looked stretched over a mile last time, though he is unproven on good to firm ground. First-time headgear is now applied. The four-year-old is held up and usually produces its effort late. Trainer Cian Hughes has a 14% strike rate at Leopardstown with an A/E of 1.87 from seven runs, while jockey Colin Keane has a 14% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 0.84 from 887 rides. The trainer and jockey combination shows a 1/10 record with an A/E of 0.48.
Wellwhatshappenin KTB Fit 51/100
Wellwhatshappenin is a limited performer who has shown a mix of modest form, including a win at today's trip from five attempts. He makes his first start at Leopardstown where the trainer has a poor 0% strike-rate from 58 runs. Unproven on good to firm ground adds another question mark. The four-year-old is held up and usually produces its effort late. Trainer and jockey show a 4/32 record with an A/E of 1.49, while the yard's record at the course offers little encouragement.
Imperial Dream KTB Fit 50/100
Imperial Dream is a limited performer on recent evidence with a string of poor efforts this year. He has shown some ability at this track though, finishing second here over shorter, and has won at today's trip in the past. The trainer operates at an 8% strike rate from 229 runs at Leopardstown. The six-year-old is held up and usually produces its effort late. He has a record of one win from five starts on good to firm and has been placed without winning from two runs at the course. Trainer and jockey show a 5/118 record with an A/E of 0.74.
Jazzit KTB Fit 50/100
Jazzit is a limited performer who has shown little spark in recent starts and now tries first-time headgear. Trainer has a modest 5% strike rate at Leopardstown from a large sample. Steps up to 7f for the first time in a while having failed to make the frame in three previous attempts at the trip. The four-year-old is held up and usually produces its effort late. He has been placed once from one run on good to firm. Trainer and jockey show a 3/97 record with an A/E of 0.41, though the jockey has a 9% strike rate at the track with an A/E of 1.74 from 11 rides.
Dinamine KTB Fit 49/100
Dinamine is a limited performer who has been out of form for most of this year but did snap a long losing run over a mile last time. He drops back to his winning trip of 7f today and tries first-time headgear, though his two runs at Leopardstown have both been poor. The trainer's modest 5% strike rate here from a big sample adds little encouragement. The eight-year-old is held up and usually produces its effort late. He has one run on good to firm with no win or place. Trainer and jockey show a 42/529 record with an A/E of 0.95.
The rest of the field
CordouanKTB Fit 48/100
Cordouan is a limited performer who has been placed twice from six runs at Leopardstown without winning. He has shown little spark in three starts this year and his recent form figures of 88-090 tell their own story. Stays this trip with a win and two places from eleven attempts on good to firm ground.
Gordon BennettKTB Fit 48/100
Gordon Bennett is a limited performer who has been out of the frame on his last three starts and showed little at this track on his only previous visit. The yard has a modest 3% strike-rate here from 180 runs while the jockey also operates at a low level at Leopardstown. Steps up from 6f to 7f today having failed to trouble the judge in five previous attempts at the distance.
SuerteKTB Fit 47/100
Suerte is a limited performer who has struggled this year and shown no real spark in three starts since returning from a break. First-time headgear is tried today but the yard's modest 7% strike-rate at Leopardstown offers little encouragement. Trip and ground look acceptable on what she has done though she remains hard to fancy.
Pete's DreamKTB Fit 46/100
Pete's Dream is a limited performer who has been in and out this year. Dropping back from a mile to a trip where he has placed once looks reasonable on paper but his sole run here was only a modest fifth and he has failed to fire on his one previous go on good to firm. Trainer's modest 7% strike rate at Leopardstown adds little encouragement.
BrainsKTB Fit 44/100
Brains is a limited 10-year-old who has shown little spark this year and arrives on the back of a string of modest efforts. He has won over this trip and at Leopardstown in the past, but his record on good to firm is poor and the first-time headgear is an unknown. The trainer's modest 4% strike rate at the track adds little confidence here.
The Blue PantherKTB Fit 43/100
The Blue Panther is a limited performer who has been out of the frame in three of his last four starts and showed only modest form when fourth here last time. He has a win on good to firm but his overall record at this trip is poor and he has failed to place from four runs at Leopardstown. The trainer's 3% strike rate from 34 runs at the track adds little confidence.
Dress DanceKTB Fit 41/100
Dress Dance is a limited performer who has struggled in four starts to date and was well beaten on her latest run over much further. Drops back to 7f with first-time headgear on, though she has already tried the trip once without success. Trainer records a 7% strike rate at Leopardstown from 207 runs.
MicassoKTB Fit 41/100
Micasso is a limited performer who has shown little since winning a modest 1m handicap at Dundalk in March. Drops back to 7f today with first-time headgear and remains unproven on good to firm ground. Trainer's modest 5% strike rate at Leopardstown adds little encouragement from stall 14.
Smaoineamh SileKTB Fit 40/100
Smaoineamh Sile is a limited performer who has won four times at this track from 15 runs but has been out of form for some time with a string of poor efforts. First-time headgear is now fitted as he drops back to 7f where he has failed to land a blow in seven previous attempts. Trainer has a 0% strike rate from nine runs at Leopardstown.
MogwliKTB Fit 37/100
Mogwli is a limited performer on the balance of his ratings and recent form that has produced five straight defeats. He has shown little at this track in nine runs and is 0-1 on good to firm ground, while the first-time headgear comes after a string of poor efforts. The yard records a 7% strike rate at Leopardstown from 375 runs.
Pure ValourKTB Fit 37/100
Pure Valour has shown very little in four starts with a string of poor efforts including a last-place finish on his most recent run. He drops back in trip to 7f having failed to make an impact at that distance before and is a limited performer on the ratings. The trainer has a modest 2% strike rate at Leopardstown from 129 runs.
Cannonball QueenKTB Fit 36/100
Cannonball Queen is a limited performer who has struggled in all seven starts and finished no closer than 12th at this track on her only visit. She has been beaten a long way on her last three outings and now tries headgear for the first time. Trainer has a 0% strike rate from 32 runs at Leopardstown.
Desert Of The SeaKTB Fit 35/100
Desert Of The Sea is a limited performer who has been consistent enough to place a few times but lacks any real spark at this level. Drops back from a mile to a trip where he has placed once without winning, while first-time headgear is now tried to give him a lift. Trainer's modest 5% strike-rate at Leopardstown and the horse's own poor run here last time add to the negatives.
DraiochtKTB Fit 34/100
Draiocht is a limited performer who has shown little at this track in two previous runs. Drops back to 7f today having failed to trouble the judge in five previous attempts at the distance, and the first-time headgear is now reached for. Trainer operates at a 6% strike rate here from a big sample.
Master GarveyKTB Fit 33/100
Master Garvey is a limited performer who has run six times at Leopardstown without winning yet has managed a couple of respectable placed efforts here. He drops back to 7f today having won at the trip in the past though his recent form is ordinary and he now tries headgear for the first time. The trainer has a 0% strike rate from 16 runs at the track.
KTB verdict
Launch Time is the KTB Selection. He has already shown his liking for Leopardstown by winning one of his two starts here and now drops back to a more suitable 7f trip. The first-time headgear may help him produce a bit more, and the combination of course form and the steadily-run shape should suit his held-up style. Main dangers include Imperial Dream, who has shown ability at the track and has a win at the trip on his record, and Dinamine, who snapped a long losing run last time and returns to his winning distance with headgear applied.
KTB Selection Launch Time
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:01 UTC, 6 Aug. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Launch Time | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Wellwhatshappenin | 14/1 | Bet365 |
| Imperial Dream | 18/1 | Bet365 |
| Jazzit | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Dinamine | 9/1 | Bet Victor |
| Gordon Bennett | 11/1 | Bet365 |
| Suerte | 28/1 | Bet365 |
| Pete's Dream | 4/1 | Bet Victor |
| Brains | 16/1 | Bet Victor |
| The Blue Panther | 8/1 | Bet Victor |
| Dress Dance | 33/1 | Bet Victor |
| Micasso | 28/1 | Bet Victor |
| Smaoineamh Sile | 20/1 | Bet365 |
| Mogwli | 40/1 | Bet Victor |
| Pure Valour | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Cannonball Queen | 18/1 | Bet Victor |
| Desert Of The Sea | 33/1 | Coral |
| Draiocht | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Master Garvey | 10/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 7:10 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Launch Time the selection despite being unproven on good to firm?
He has won once from two starts at Leopardstown and drops back to 7f having looked stretched over a mile last time, with first-time headgear now applied.
Which horses are trying first-time headgear?
Launch Time, Jazzit, Dinamine, Suerte, Brains, Dress Dance, Micasso, Smaoineamh Sile, Mogwli, Cannonball Queen, Desert Of The Sea, Draiocht and Master Garvey are all fitted with first-time headgear.
How does the pace shape influence the race?
Lacks a leader with medium confidence, likely a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays, and most principals are held-up types who produce their effort late.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at Leopardstown among those represented?
Cian Hughes has a 14% strike rate at Leopardstown with an A/E of 1.87 from seven runs.
Which horse has the strongest course record at Leopardstown?
Smaoineamh Sile has won here four times from 15 runs.
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