5:00 Ascot
A 30-runner Flat class 2 contest over 1m at Ascot (5:00), on Good To Firm going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Holloway Boy KTB Selection74/100Smart performer who has won at this track and at this trip.
- 2One Smack Mac66/100Useful performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts but finished last of 20 on his only previous visit to Ascot.
- 3Ebt's Guard64/100Ebt's Guard is a useful performer who has won twice at Ascot from seven runs and also has a solid record at this trip with four wins from 22 starts.
- 4Skukuza64/100Smart performer who has run well at this track before, finishing second here on his only visit.
- 5La Botte64/100Useful performer who has placed here without winning and drops back to 1m today after his last run over 1m2f.
- 6Linwood61/100Smart performer who arrives in top form after two wins.
- 7Indalo59/100Useful performer who arrives in solid form after a string of strong efforts including two wins last year.
- 8Erzindjan56/100Erzindjan is a useful performer who arrives in form after a clear-cut win at Kempton last time and has a solid record on good to firm ground with one win and th…
- 9Cerulean Bay55/100Smart performer who has run well at this track on his last two visits, finishing second both times.
- 10Thunder Run55/100Useful performer who has run creditably at this track once before when finishing fourth.
- 11Archivist55/100Smart performer who has won three of his five starts at this trip and looks comfortable on good to firm ground with a win and two places from three runs.
- 12Ozat54/100Ozat is a useful performer on his day but arrives in modest form after two heavy defeats this year.
- 13No Retreat53/100Smart performer who has won two of his last three starts and handles good to firm ground.
- 14Blue Rc53/100Useful performer who arrives in solid form having won twice and been placed on three other occasions from his last six starts.
- 15Urban Lion52/100Urban Lion is a useful performer who has won four times at this trip.
- 16Shout52/100Useful performer who has won over this trip and at this track from four runs here.
- 17Fifth Column52/100Useful performer who has twice been placed this year and drops back to a trip he handles well having won four times over a mile.
- 18Mister Winston52/100Mister Winston is a useful performer who arrives in form after winning two of his last three starts.
- 19Checkandchallenge51/100Useful performer who has run seven times at Ascot without winning but has been placed once and finished no worse than sixth on four other occasions.
- 20Witch Hunter51/100Useful performer who has won once from nine runs at Ascot and also scored at this trip.
- 21Scoville49/100Scoville is a useful performer who has won two of his three starts at this trip and both runs on good to firm ground.
- 22Henlein48/100Useful performer who ran well over this trip at Newmarket last season before a disappointing return at York over 7f.
- 23Chibitty48/100Useful performer who has won once over today's 1m trip from four attempts.
- 24Swing Vote47/100Useful performer who has won four of his eight starts at this trip.
- 25Excellent Believe47/100Smart performer who has finished no worse than third in five of his nine starts and has already won over today's trip.
- 26Classic46/100Useful performer who has run well at this track without winning, finishing second and sixth from two visits.
- 27Jagged Edge45/100Jagged Edge is a useful performer who arrives in form after a recent win and has won three of his four starts at this trip.
- 28Rogue Diplomat44/100Useful performer who arrives in solid form after a placed effort last time out.
- 29Godwinson40/100Godwinson is a useful performer on his day but has been well below form on both starts this season and finished well down the field in his two previous runs her…
- 30War Socks39/100Useful performer who won last time out and has solid placed form at this trip.
The contenders
Holloway Boy KTB Fit 74/100
Smart performer who has won at this track and at this trip. Consistent in recent months without quite landing a big one, finishing in the first three on four of his last five starts. Trainer's modest strike rate at Ascot is offset by a solid A/E, while the jockey is unproven at the track.
One Smack Mac KTB Fit 66/100
Useful performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts but finished last of 20 on his only previous visit to Ascot. He steps up to 1m for the first time today having looked stretched at 7f last time, while the first-time headgear is another unknown. The yard’s solid record here offers some encouragement.
Ebt's Guard KTB Fit 64/100
Ebt's Guard is a useful performer who has won twice at Ascot from seven runs and also has a solid record at this trip with four wins from 22 starts. He acts on good to firm ground with two wins and five places from 12 runs while the Muir and Grassick yard post a 16% strike rate here from 58 runs. Recent form of 224-04 is a bit patchy but the high data confidence and strong course connections suggest he remains competitive from stall 32.
Skukuza KTB Fit 64/100
Smart performer who has run well at this track before, finishing second here on his only visit. He has placed three times from four starts on good to firm ground and holds a solid record at today's trip with three wins from 11 attempts, though he drops back from 1m0½f today. First-time headgear is now applied from a wide draw.
La Botte KTB Fit 64/100
Useful performer who has placed here without winning and drops back to 1m today after his last run over 1m2f. He has shown competitive form on good to firm but is now 0-4 at this trip and his recent efforts read 2-4078. Trainer Harry Eustace has a solid 19% strike rate from 37 runs at Ascot while Mark Zahra is aboard.
The rest of the field
LinwoodKTB Fit 61/100
Smart performer who arrives in top form after two wins.
IndaloKTB Fit 59/100
Useful performer who arrives in solid form after a string of strong efforts including two wins last year.
ErzindjanKTB Fit 56/100
Erzindjan is a useful performer who arrives in form after a clear-cut win at Kempton last time and has a solid record on good to firm ground with one win and three places from four starts.
Cerulean BayKTB Fit 55/100
Smart performer who has run well at this track on his last two visits, finishing second both times.
Thunder RunKTB Fit 55/100
Useful performer who has run creditably at this track once before when finishing fourth.
ArchivistKTB Fit 55/100
Smart performer who has won three of his five starts at this trip and looks comfortable on good to firm ground with a win and two places from three runs.
OzatKTB Fit 54/100
Ozat is a useful performer on his day but arrives in modest form after two heavy defeats this year.
No RetreatKTB Fit 53/100
Smart performer who has won two of his last three starts and handles good to firm ground.
Blue RcKTB Fit 53/100
Useful performer who arrives in solid form having won twice and been placed on three other occasions from his last six starts.
Urban LionKTB Fit 52/100
Urban Lion is a useful performer who has won four times at this trip.
ShoutKTB Fit 52/100
Useful performer who has won over this trip and at this track from four runs here.
Fifth ColumnKTB Fit 52/100
Useful performer who has twice been placed this year and drops back to a trip he handles well having won four times over a mile.
Mister WinstonKTB Fit 52/100
Mister Winston is a useful performer who arrives in form after winning two of his last three starts.
CheckandchallengeKTB Fit 51/100
Useful performer who has run seven times at Ascot without winning but has been placed once and finished no worse than sixth on four other occasions.
Witch HunterKTB Fit 51/100
Useful performer who has won once from nine runs at Ascot and also scored at this trip.
ScovilleKTB Fit 49/100
Scoville is a useful performer who has won two of his three starts at this trip and both runs on good to firm ground.
HenleinKTB Fit 48/100
Useful performer who ran well over this trip at Newmarket last season before a disappointing return at York over 7f.
ChibittyKTB Fit 48/100
Useful performer who has won once over today's 1m trip from four attempts.
Swing VoteKTB Fit 47/100
Useful performer who has won four of his eight starts at this trip.
Excellent BelieveKTB Fit 47/100
Smart performer who has finished no worse than third in five of his nine starts and has already won over today's trip.
ClassicKTB Fit 46/100
Useful performer who has run well at this track without winning, finishing second and sixth from two visits.
Jagged EdgeKTB Fit 45/100
Jagged Edge is a useful performer who arrives in form after a recent win and has won three of his four starts at this trip.
Rogue DiplomatKTB Fit 44/100
Useful performer who arrives in solid form after a placed effort last time out.
GodwinsonKTB Fit 40/100
Godwinson is a useful performer on his day but has been well below form on both starts this season and finished well down the field in his two previous runs here.
War SocksKTB Fit 39/100
Useful performer who won last time out and has solid placed form at this trip.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Holloway Boy on a Fit Score of 74/100. On our numbers the main dangers are One Smack Mac and Ebt's Guard.
KTB Selection Holloway Boy
This is the narrative read of the 5:00 Ascot. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ascot racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 5:00 at Ascot?
Holloway Boy tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 74/100.
How many runners are in this race?
30 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 5:00 at Ascot?
The going is described as Good To Firm.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 1m.
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