6:18 Tramore
This 2m maiden hurdle at Tramore on good ground features a field of 12 four-year-olds, several of whom arrive with limited experience or patchy recent form. The KTB Fit Scores are tightly bunched at the top, with I'm All In heading the list on 57 despite some underwhelming recent runs, followed closely by Green Grass, Johnny Rambo, Noble Rocco and Spanish Rising. Gordon Elliott holds a strong 15% strike rate at the venue from a large sample, while Henry De Bromhead and Joseph Patrick O'Brien also bring notable trainer figures, though the overall picture is one of modest ability across the board and plenty of unknowns on trip and ground.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape points to a lone leader with high confidence, suggesting an uncontested lead that could prove difficult for closers to bridge. Spanish Rising is the clear front-runner in the field and is likely to set a steady gallop from the outset with little pressure expected. Most of the principals, including I'm All In, Green Grass, Noble Rocco and Rosarian, tend to be held up and will be looking to produce their effort late, while Johnny Rambo settles in mid-division. The key question is whether the uncontested leader can dictate matters or if one of the patient runners can reel it in on this good surface.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1I'm All In KTB Selection57/100Useful performer on the balance of his ratings and past efforts.
- 2Green Grass55/100Green Grass is lightly raced with just one run in the last year so any assessment has to be cautious.
- 3Johnny Rambo52/100Has shown ability in a small number of runs, finishing second then winning before falling last time.
- 4Noble Rocco51/100Noble Rocco has shown little in two starts so far, finishing down the field on both occasions.
- 5Spanish Rising48/100Spanish Rising has shown only modest form in six starts and now tries headgear for the first time.
- 6Rosarian47/100Lightly raced four-year-old with just two runs under his belt so the form is hard to weigh up.
- 7Faerie Tales46/100Faerie Tales has only four career runs and remains lightly raced with scope to improve.
- 8Folk Warrior46/100Useful performer who has shown little spark this year and was well held on his most recent start.
- 9Devine Genius42/100Devine Genius has shown very little so far with a pulled-up effort on latest start and no win or place from six runs on good ground.
- 10John Gun41/100This debutant brings a mixed pedigree and was sold cheaply as a yearling.
- 11Really Truly39/100Really Truly is a debutant with no racecourse experience.
- 12Pinkarizon37/100Pinkarizon has struggled badly this year with a string of pulled-up efforts and only one modest ninth to show from 12 starts.
The contenders
I'm All In KTB Fit 57/100
I'm All In is rated a useful performer on the balance of his official figures and past efforts. Recent form has been poor, with three unplaced runs this year including a heavy defeat last time out from his figures of UU0-9. Gordon Elliott has a solid 15% strike rate at Tramore from 502 runs, while Sam Ewing posts a 14% strike rate at the track from 42 rides, though the trainer-jockey combination shows an A/E of 0.84 overall. The horse is usually held up and produces its effort late, though that read comes with low confidence from limited evidence, and he has had just one run on good ground with no win or place. The trip is an unknown and he has no course form on record.
Green Grass KTB Fit 55/100
Green Grass is lightly raced with just one run in the last year, so any assessment has to be cautious. He drops back from 2m3f to an untried 2m, which poses a fresh question. Paul W Flynn has a solid 13% strike rate at Tramore from 62 runs, while Conor Stone-Walsh brings an 11% strike rate at the venue from 27 rides. The horse is usually held up and produces its effort late according to limited evidence with low confidence. He has had one run on good ground with no win or place and has no course form on record.
Johnny Rambo KTB Fit 52/100
Johnny Rambo has shown ability in a small number of runs, finishing second then winning before falling last time from his figures of 21F. He drops back to 2m having already won at the trip from two attempts. Donncha Duggan has a modest 6% strike rate at Tramore from 18 runs, and Alan O'Sullivan posts a 0% strike rate from six rides at the track, though the trainer-jockey combination shows 1-5 (20%). The horse typically settles in midfield with medium confidence. He has been placed once from two runs on good ground without winning and has no course form on record.
Noble Rocco KTB Fit 51/100
Noble Rocco has shown little in two starts so far, finishing down the field on both occasions from his figures of 79. He drops back to 2m having been well held over slightly further last time, though the trip change remains an unknown at this stage. Gordon Elliott has a 15% strike rate at Tramore from 502 runs, and Danny Gilligan brings a 21% strike rate at the track from 29 rides. The horse is usually held up and produces its effort late with limited evidence and low confidence. He has had two runs on good ground with no win or place and has no course form on record.
Spanish Rising KTB Fit 48/100
Spanish Rising has shown only modest form in six starts and now tries first-time headgear. The drop back to 2m poses a fresh question, while the small sample on today's good ground leaves suitability unknown. Henry De Bromhead holds a 15% strike rate at Tramore from 573 runs, and Darragh O'Keeffe has a 14% strike rate at the venue from 276 rides. The horse tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence. He has been placed once from four runs on good ground without winning and has no course form on record.
The rest of the field
RosarianKTB Fit 47/100
Rosarian is a lightly raced four-year-old with just two runs under his belt so the form is hard to weigh up. He drops back from 2m3f to an untried 2m, which poses a fresh question, while the small sample makes any firm view on ground or course impossible. Josh Halley has a 0% strike rate from five runs at Tramore, though Danny Mullins brings a 12% strike rate from 331 rides at the track. The horse is usually held up and produces its effort late with low confidence and has been placed once from one run on good ground.
Faerie TalesKTB Fit 46/100
Faerie Tales has only four career runs and remains lightly raced with scope to improve. The step up from 1m4½f to 2m poses a fresh question, while the small sample makes the going an unknown. P G Fahey has a 7% strike rate at Tramore from 71 runs, and Ben Kennedy has no record at the track. The horse is usually held up and produces its effort late with low confidence and has had three runs on good ground with no win or place.
Folk WarriorKTB Fit 46/100
Folk Warrior is a useful performer who has shown little spark this year and was well held on his most recent start from his figures of 077-8. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at Tramore from 57 runs adds little confidence, and the horse remains winless in four runs at this trip. J A Nash has a 5% strike rate at the venue, while Daniel King brings a 12% strike rate from 50 rides. The horse typically settles in midfield with medium confidence and has had three runs on good ground with no win or place.
Devine GeniusKTB Fit 42/100
Devine Genius has shown very little so far with a pulled-up effort on latest start from his figures of P and no win or place from six runs on good ground. The drop back to an untried 2m trip asks a fresh question, while first-time headgear is another unknown. J Morrison has a 6% strike rate at Tramore from 98 runs, and Shane Fitzgerald brings a 6% strike rate from 86 rides at the track. The horse was well beaten on its only previous visit here and is usually held up.
John GunKTB Fit 41/100
John Gun is a debutant who brings a mixed pedigree by Bathyrhon and was sold cheaply as a yearling. Connections have a modest record at Tramore, and the yard's 3% strike rate from 79 runs here offers little encouragement. Kieran Purcell and Donagh Meyler combine with modest figures at the track. With no racecourse form to go on the picture remains very unclear and he has no course win on record.
Really TrulyKTB Fit 39/100
Really Truly is a debutant with no racecourse experience. The Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard posts a 9% strike rate from 79 runs at Tramore, while first-time headgear is also applied. J J Slevin has a 6% strike rate at the venue from 186 rides. Pedigree by Order Of St George and sales background offer the only clues here given the low data confidence and he has no course win on record.
PinkarizonKTB Fit 37/100
Pinkarizon has struggled badly this year with a string of pulled-up efforts and only one modest ninth to show from 12 starts from his figures of PP9P. The trainer is 0-11 at Tramore, while the horse has failed to place in seven runs on good ground and is now dropped back to a trip at which it has already been beaten twice. Padraig Butler and Liam McKenna combine with 0% strike rates at the track. First-time headgear is tried today on a lightly exposed but largely unconvincing profile and the horse is usually held up.
KTB verdict
I'm All In is the KTB Selection. He is rated a useful performer on the balance of his ratings and past efforts despite recent poor form, and the Elliott yard's 15% strike rate at Tramore from a big sample provides solid support. The trip is an unknown but his held-up style could suit if the uncontested leader sets a steady pace that sets up a late challenge. Main dangers are Spanish Rising, who brings modest form but could take advantage of the lone-leader shape from the front in first-time headgear, and Johnny Rambo, who has shown ability including a win at this trip. Rosarian and the debutants add further unknowns to what looks an ordinary maiden.
KTB Selection I'm All In
This is the narrative read of the 6:18 Tramore. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Tramore racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is likely to take the uncontested lead?
Spanish Rising, who tends to make the running or race on the pace.
How many runs has Gordon Elliott had at Tramore?
502 runs, with a 15% strike rate.
Which runner has already won over 2m?
Johnny Rambo, who has won at the trip from two attempts.
What is the trainer strike rate at Tramore for the handler of the selection?
15% strike rate at Tramore from 502 runs for Gordon Elliott.
Which horses are trying first-time headgear?
Spanish Rising, Devine Genius, Really Truly and Pinkarizon.
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