3:00 York
The 3:00 at York is a competitive British EBF Fillies' Handicap of Class 2 over 6f on good ground, featuring a field of 12 runners where the KTB Fit scores range from 65 down to 41. The principals are headed by Dandana on 65, with Splish Splash, Rhyme Dust, Bintaryana and Lady Roxby completing the top five on ratings between 60 and 54. Overall the numbers point to a race in which progressive three-year-olds dropping in class should hold sway over older fillies and those stepping up in grade, with course and draw factors likely to play a significant part.
How the race shapes up
With several prominent runners in the field and a pace shape that looks on the strong side, the race is expected to be contested at a solid gallop from the outset. Dandana from draw 8 and Bintaryana from 5 are likely to track the pace, while Lady Roxby from stall 1 could be ideally placed to race prominently. The key question is whether the wide-drawn Rhyme Dust and Siouxpersonic can overcome their starting positions in what promises to be a strongly-run affair, or whether those with a more central or inside berth will dominate.
The KTB Fit ranking
- 1Dandana KTB Selection65/100Dandana is a useful 3-year-old with a solid career record of two wins from four starts, including success at this trip.
- 2Splish Splash60/100Fair performer who has won over this trip and on this ground.
- 3Rhyme Dust58/100Rhyme Dust is a useful performer who has won over this trip but arrives in modest recent form after two poor efforts this year.
- 4Bintaryana55/100Fair performer who has shown steady improvement this year with form of 5-122.
- 5Lady Roxby54/100Fair performer who has run well at this track before, finishing second here last season.
- 6Beaujolais Nouveau49/100Beaujolais Nouveau is a fair performer who has won once at this trip from seven attempts and holds a solid record on good ground with two wins and six places fr…
- 7Eternal Sunshine48/100Fair performer who has run well here in the past, finishing second and third, but has been out of form this year with five poor efforts on the spin.
- 8Cotai Belle48/100Cotai Belle is a fair 3yo who has shown some spark on her last two starts after a poor 2024.
- 9Cool Molly46/100Fair performer who has won at this trip but is dropping back from 7f today.
- 10Mercury Day45/100Mercury Day is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and race history but arrives in modest recent form after finishing seventh on his return.
- 11Shallow43/100Shallow is a fair performer who has won five times at this trip from 17 attempts and arrives in reasonable form after a string of placed efforts.
- 12Siouxpersonic41/100Siouxpersonic has shown fair form and finished second twice this year including over this trip.
The contenders
Dandana KTB Fit 65/100
Dandana is a useful 3-year-old with a solid career record of two wins from four starts, including success at this trip. He showed his only poor effort when stepped up in class on his final run last season and has already placed behind some smart types at this track. The Crisford yard and James Doyle both hold above-average records at York while the colt handles the ground. Dropping in class from a fair draw of 8, he has the right profile to make a bold bid. Recent form of 1140- underlines that he is better than his latest effort suggests, and the combination of trainer 21% strike rate at York with A/E 1.32 and jockey 14% strike rate at York with A/E 1.04 adds further layers of confidence.
Splish Splash KTB Fit 60/100
Splish Splash is a fair performer who has won over this trip and on this ground. Recent efforts have been poor but the yard has a solid record at York and the horse should be suited by the track. Lightly-raced overall so there could be more to come. The 13% trainer strike rate at York with A/E 1.41 from 70 runs is a positive, even if the jockey's 5% strike rate at York with A/E 0.77 from 37 rides is more modest. Dropping in class from draw 3, Splish Splash has the ability to bounce back if the run-style allows him to settle into a good rhythm early.
Rhyme Dust KTB Fit 58/100
Rhyme Dust is a useful performer who has won over this trip but arrives in modest recent form after two poor efforts this year. The yard has a solid 13% strike rate at York from a big sample yet the 7lb claimer has only one ride here so far. No experience on good ground adds an unknown while the wide draw in a big-field Class 2 is far from ideal. Recent form of 463-96 highlights the current lack of sparkle, and the combination of unproven going and stall 11 makes this a stiff task despite the trainer's respectable A/E of 0.99 from 333 runs at the track.
Bintaryana KTB Fit 55/100
Bintaryana is a fair performer who has shown steady improvement this year with form of 5-122. She has won on good ground and at this trip though steps back up from 5f last time. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at York. Stepping up in class from draw 5, the 12% trainer strike rate at York with A/E 1.23 from 57 runs and the jockey's 14% strike rate at York with A/E 1.04 from 22 rides provide encouragement. With only five career starts she retains scope for further progress, and her ability to handle the ground is a plus.
Lady Roxby KTB Fit 54/100
Lady Roxby is a fair performer who has run well at this track before, finishing second here last season. Consistent rather than progressive on recent starts and has only won once on good ground from four attempts. Daniel Tudhope takes the ride on a yard that has a solid record at York. Recent form of 22-377 shows she remains competitive at this level, while the 33% trainer and jockey combined strike rate from only 12 runs with A/E 1.97 is noteworthy. Drawn in stall 1 she has a good chance to utilise a prominent run-style, and her placed effort at the course last season adds to her claims.
The rest of the field
Beaujolais NouveauKTB Fit 49/100
Beaujolais Nouveau is a fair performer who has won once at this trip from seven attempts and holds a solid record on good ground with two wins and six places from ten starts. Recent form of 00-051 shows a Catterick success last time but the yard’s 4% strike rate from 54 runs at York and the jockey’s 3% from 247 rides suggest they struggle to land big-race opportunities here. First run at the track adds an unknown element while the overall profile points to a horse that can be competitive without necessarily threatening the best of this field.
Eternal SunshineKTB Fit 48/100
Eternal Sunshine is a fair performer who has run well here in the past, finishing second and third, but has been out of form this year with five poor efforts on the spin. First-time headgear is now applied in a bid to spark a revival and the trip and ground are no problem. The yard's modest record at York and the claimer's complete lack of success here add to the negatives.
Cotai BelleKTB Fit 48/100
Cotai Belle is a fair 3yo who has shown some spark on her last two starts after a poor 2024. She has won over this trip on good ground but was well beaten on her only visit to York. The Fahey team have a solid record here while Cam Hardie has a poor one.
Cool MollyKTB Fit 46/100
Cool Molly is a fair performer who has won at this trip but is dropping back from 7f today. She has placed once from two runs on good ground and the recent form of 121130 shows she can be competitive at this level. The yard has yet to score from 14 runs at York while the jockey operates at a 7% strike rate here.
Mercury DayKTB Fit 45/100
Mercury Day is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and race history but arrives in modest recent form after finishing seventh on his return. He has shown his only win came on good ground yet remains unproven at York and has failed to place in two previous runs at this trip. The trainer holds a solid 8% strike rate here from 40 runs while the jockey has had too few rides at the track to form any clear pattern.
ShallowKTB Fit 43/100
Shallow is a fair performer who has won five times at this trip from 17 attempts and arrives in reasonable form after a string of placed efforts. He has run just once at York, finishing a respectable fourth, while he has also placed twice from four starts on good ground. The yard has a modest 5% strike rate here from 55 runs and Silvestre De Sousa is only fractionally below the expected rate from his 503 rides at the track.
SiouxpersonicKTB Fit 41/100
Siouxpersonic has shown fair form and finished second twice this year including over this trip. The first-time headgear is now applied after two runs back from a break and the draw in stall 10 is far from ideal at York. Trainer Julie Camacho has a modest 6% strike rate from 140 runs here while jockey Zac Lloyd has no recorded rides at the track.
KTB verdict
Dandana stands out as the KTB Selection. A useful 3-year-old with two wins from four starts, including at this trip, he showed his only poor effort when up in class last term and has already placed behind smart types at York. The Crisford yard and James Doyle both hold above-average records at the track, he handles good ground, and dropping in class from a decent draw gives him every chance to strike. His main dangers are Bintaryana, who has shown steady improvement with form of 5-122 and holds solid York figures for trainer and jockey, and Lady Roxby, who has run well at the track before and benefits from a low draw and the booking of Daniel Tudhope. Splish Splash and Rhyme Dust are others who can feature if the race shape falls their way.
KTB Selection Dandana
This is the narrative read of the 3:00 York. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the York racecard. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the best recent course form at York?
Lady Roxby has the best recent course form at York, having finished second here last season from two runs at the track.
How does the wide draw affect Rhyme Dust and Siouxpersonic?
The wide draws of 11 for Rhyme Dust and 10 for Siouxpersonic are far from ideal in a big-field Class 2 at York.
Which runners are dropping in class?
Dandana, Splish Splash, Rhyme Dust and Lady Roxby are all dropping in class.
Which horses are wearing first-time headgear?
Eternal Sunshine and Siouxpersonic are both wearing first-time headgear.
Who has the strongest trainer and jockey combination at York according to the figures?
The strongest trainer and jockey combination at York is the 33% strike rate with A/E 1.97 for the Michael Herrington and Daniel Tudhope partnership from 12 runs.
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About the A/E figures in this preview. They are the data supplier’s: the winners a trainer or jockey had, divided by the winners the starting prices implied, over the runs in that record. Above 1.0 means more wins than the prices suggested. It is not KTB’s fair A/E, which allows for the bookmakers’ margin and the favourite–longshot bias, and the two are not comparable.
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