Ailsa Carmel (IRE)
Ailsa Carmel (IRE) is 2 from 6, both wins coming at Class 5 level. Hasn't won since Jun 2009. Each win came on a first visit to the course. Last raced off a career-high mark of 82.
- 2–6Wins / Runs
- 33.3%Strike rate
- 3 (50%)Placed
- +1.50£1 level staken=6 at SP
- 1.50Fair A/E n=6 · 1.32 incl. margin
- 82Highest OR
- 9dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since Jan 2008 (195 horses).
Weakest on good to soft going: 5% from 339.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | −3.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 640 | 61 | 9.5% | +1.4 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 799 | 72 | 9% | +0.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 339 | 17 | 5% | −3.1 | — |
| Soft | 476 | 42 | 8.8% | +0.7 | — |
| Heavy | 213 | 12 | 5.6% | −2.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 745 | 58 | 7.8% | −0.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 230 | 15 | 6.5% | −1.6 | 0 from 3 |
| 6f – 7f | 977 | 96 | 9.8% | +1.7 | 2 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 651 | 49 | 7.5% | −0.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 389 | 26 | 6.7% | −1.4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 574 | 45 | 7.8% | −0.3 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 306 | 21 | 6.9% | −1.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 76 | 8 | 10.5% | +2.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | +1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Lustown Baba (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Listed (Lustown Baba (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustown Baba (IRE) | 25 | 4 | 6f–7f | Listed |
| Ventura Dragon (IRE) | 22 | 3 | 5f–1m2f | Class 3 |
| Piselli Molli (IRE) | 27 | 2 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Roman Dancer (IRE) | 17 | 1 | 5f | Class 4 |
| Lady Beware (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Duke Wellington (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Daylight Dancer (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| One Cool Dancer (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.50 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Brighton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hitchcott | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.50 |
| Eddie Creighton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Darryll Holland | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tony Culhane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 28 Jun 09+3d | Windsor | E.b.f. Bigger Odds Guaranteed At Totesport.com Fillies' Conditions Stakes | 4/7 | 2 | 8-9 | 82 | 64A | Eddie Creighton | 3/1J |
| 25 Jun 09+10d | Newcastle | Tradersbettingexchange.co.uk Novice Stakes | 2/5 | 1¾ | 8-11 | 82 | 77B | Darryll Holland | 3/1 |
| 15 Jun 09+8d | Carlisle | Turftv.co.uk Maiden Auction Stakes | 1/8 | 8-7 | 82 | 89A | Sam Hitchcott | 5/2F | |
| 07 Jun 09+12d | Brighton | E.B.F. Maiden Stakes | 1/5 | 1¼ | 8-12 | — | 84B | Sam Hitchcott | 3/1 |
| 26 May 09+11d | Leicester | E.b.f. Ladbrokes.com Maiden Fillies' Stakes | 6/10 | nk | 9-0 | — | 70A | Tony Culhane | 9/4F |
| 15 May 09 | Newbury | Kingwood Stud Golden Silca Fillies' Conditions Stakes | 3/7 | 1½ | 8-7 | — | 71A | Sam Hitchcott | 5/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Ailsa Carmel won?
- Ailsa Carmel (IRE) won 2 of 6 archived starts in 2009, a strike rate of 33.3%. Placed 3 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trained Ailsa Carmel?
- Ailsa Carmel (IRE) was trained by Mick Channon on the most recent run on record, at Windsor on 28 June 2009.
- Who is Ailsa Carmel's sire?
- Ailsa Carmel (IRE) is by Antonius Pius (USA) out of Dancing Duchess (IRE), whose sire is Danehill Dancer.
- What going does Ailsa Carmel prefer?
- Ailsa Carmel (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Ailsa Carmel's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 82, from the run on 28 June 2009. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Ailsa Carmel's sire's record?
- Antonius Pius (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.1% of 3,236 runs since Jan 2008 (195 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good to soft going: 5% from 339.
- Who are Ailsa Carmel's siblings?
- Out of Dancing Duchess (IRE), Ailsa Carmel (IRE) has 8 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Lustown Baba (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Listed (Lustown Baba (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.