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Horse profile

Bailey's Luck (GB)

4yo gelding · Trainer Clare Hobson · Owner Barry White
by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Dharma Rain (IRE) (High Chaparral)
4 runs · 4 courses · from Sep 2025
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Last run 5 Sep 2026 · 6th of 6
KTB Profile

Bailey's Luck is a Nathaniel gelding out of a High Chaparral mare who is yet to win from four starts. He has raced on turf and all-weather, over trips from 1m to 2m4f, and on good ground and standard going. His last run, at Stratford in Sep 2026, saw him finish 6 of 6 in a Class 4 novices' hurdle. He has also been to Uttoxeter, Market Rasen and Lingfield.

Based on 4 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs since Sep 2025 · updated 25 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 2 figures · best 32C · median 22
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good232C222 runs · 32 / 22
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m232C222 runs · 32 / 22
Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

Of 4 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 88C the best of the last 2 rated runs · Stratford, 5 Sep 2026

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 47C the best of the last 1 rated run · Lingfield (AW), 23 Sep 2025

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 2 figures · best 88C · median 83.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
Good288C83.52 runs · 88 / 83.5
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 25 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m288C83.52 runs · 88 / 83.5
Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

Of 4 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (1).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 4 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 4 analysed runs since Sep 2025

  • Mid-division 2 (50%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 2 (50%) · 0 wins

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11.7% of 7,072 runs since Jan 2008 (635 horses).

Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 325.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm21419%+7.3—
Good to Firm78410213%+1.3—
Good1,86723212.4%+0.70 from 3
Good to Soft1,00411411.4%−0.3—
Soft1,22914111.5%−0.2—
Heavy4054711.6%−0.1—
Standard (AW)1,76018410.5%−1.20 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f400%−11.7—
6f – 7f325216.5%−5.2—
1m – 1m1f878788.9%−2.80 from 1
1m2f – 1m4f2,49833313.3%+1.6—
1m5f – 2m2,13925211.8%+0.10 from 2
2m1f – 2m4f8219111.1%−0.60 from 1
2m5f – 3m338329.5%−2.2—
Over 3m691724.6%+12.9—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 24 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Dharma Rain (IRE) (High Chaparral)

No other produce in our archive. It holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from 2005, so siblings racing elsewhere won’t appear here.

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Market Rasen 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m5f – 2m 2 0 0% −2.00
2m1f – 2m4f 1 0 0% −1.00
1m – 1m1f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Ben Poste 2 0 0% −2.00
Dylan Johnston 1 0 0% −1.00
Jack Doughty 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
Hood 3 0 0% −3.00
None 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 3 0 0% −3.00
2025 1 0 0% −1.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 3 runs
05 Sep 26+43d Stratford What The Frunk: The Geely Ex2 Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race) Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran Settled in the pack early - pushed along and slipped towards the back - fell away after 2 out - well held at the finish 6/6 45 10-12 12C88C Ben Poste 300/1
24 Jul 26+57d Uttoxeter Chloe Mediumship Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race) Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran raced in the pack - lost the pace from 3 out - well beaten before 2 out 11/13 21 10-12 32C79C Ben Poste 300/1
28 May 26+247d Market Rasen Summer Plate Ladies Day Book Now Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 8 ran Careless over the obstacles early and drifted into one - dropped out the back soon after - eased and pulled up following the 5th PU/8 — 10-10 —— Dylan Johnston 300/1
2025 · 1 run
23 Sep 25 Lingfield (AW) Ben Woollacott Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran Held up in rear - unable to improve position through race - finished well held in 9th 9/10 1 9-7 67C47C Jack Doughty 200/1

Quick answers

How many races has Bailey's Luck won?
Bailey's Luck (GB) has yet to win, from 4 archived starts between 2025 and 2026.
Who trains Bailey's Luck?
Bailey's Luck (GB) is trained by Clare Hobson, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 September 2026.
Who is Bailey's Luck's sire?
Bailey's Luck (GB) is by Nathaniel (IRE) out of Dharma Rain (IRE), whose sire is High Chaparral.
What is Bailey's Luck's sire's record?
Nathaniel (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.7% of 7,072 runs since Jan 2008 (635 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 325.

Record shown from September 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.