What is Dylan Johnston's strike rate?

Dylan Johnston has won 94 of 661 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dylan Johnston do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 7 wins from 32 rides (21.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Dylan Johnston ride most for?

Sam Thomas, with 154 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (21.4%).

Is Dylan Johnston in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Dylan Johnston's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 661 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Dylan Johnston

661 rides in the last 5 seasons · 324 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

94–661

Wins / Runs

14.2%

Strike rate

n=661

240 (36%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=661 · 0.88 incl. margin

−167.18

£1 level stake

n=661 at SP · −25.3%

£1.66m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 130 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (105 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 661 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 16.3% 43.2% when favourite Sam Thomas: 21.4% from 154 LTO winners: 23.8% Rides the favourite in 13% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newcastle (2.9% over 34 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.8% (n=105, Fair A/E 1.10), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 9.3% (n=86, Fair A/E 1.21). Sam Thomas supplies 23% of the rides and beats the rider's average (21.4% vs 14.2%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a break of 180+ days (21.7%, n=83). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the bet365 Handicap Chase at Ascot (Jan 2026, £53,150). Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

14.2%+0.0

n=323 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −45.48

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.8%+9.6

n=105 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −6.83

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16.3%+2.1

n=160 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −14.98

When favourite

43.2%

n=88 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −1.95

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13.2%−1.0

n=455 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −114.22

Big fields · 14+ runners

9.3%−4.9

n=86 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −26.58

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.5%−2.7

n=26 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −16.01

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Olly Murphy 26% vs 14.2% · n=50

With Neil Mulholland 25.4% vs 14.2% · n=59

On last-time-out winners 23.8% vs 14.2% · n=105

At Newcastle 2.9% vs 14.2% · n=34

With Sam Thomas 21.4% vs 14.2% · n=154

Off a break of 180+ days 21.7% vs 14.2% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 413 60 14.5% −77.16

Chase 202 29 14.4% −75.83

NH Flat 45 5 11.1% −13.19

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 256 47 18.4% +8.19

Good to Soft 192 19 9.9% −109.81

Soft 145 20 13.8% −25.35

Heavy 59 7 11.9% −33.46

Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% −5.75

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kelso 36 6 16.7% +11.91

Newcastle 34 1 2.9% −26.50

Perth 34 2 5.9% −16.50

Ayr 32 4 12.5% −1.50

Chepstow 32 7 21.9% +6.71

Ffos Las 28 3 10.7% −20.68

Market Rasen 27 1 3.7% −23.75

Cheltenham 26 1 3.8% −22.00

Fontwell 26 5 19.2% −14.20

Uttoxeter 23 3 13% −13.59

Hereford 23 3 13% −16.02

Musselburgh 21 1 4.8% −16.50

Carlisle 21 6 28.6% +4.56

Hexham 20 3 15% +1.03

Southwell 17 2 11.8% −10.83

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 250 35 14% −68.23

Class 4 220 33 15% −35.83

Class 3 85 14 16.5% −12.15

Class 1 55 4 7.3% −22.01

Class 2 51 8 15.7% −28.96

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 105 40 38.1% 1.13 −13.25

2nd–3rd fav 177 34 19.2% 1.05 −17.93

4th–6th fav 222 16 7.2% 0.84 −60.00

7th+ in betting 157 4 2.5% 0.78 −76.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.7% completed · 615 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 202 79.2% 7 4 30 1 0

Hurdle 413 86% 6 5 45 0 2

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Palacio (FR) 12 3 4 23 Oct 26

Katate Dori (FR) 11 1 4 24 Oct 26

Twist Of Fatecatch (FR) 9 1 5 22 May 26

Vincenzo (FR) 9 3 6 28 Feb 26

Economic Editor (IRE) 9 0 3 29 Mar 23

Doctor Blue (FR) 8 2 4 9 Oct 26

C'est Different (FR) 8 3 3 12 Mar 26

Steel Ally (FR) 8 4 5 10 Mar 26

Blue Las (GB) 8 4 5 20 Feb 26

Range (IRE) 8 1 1 3 Jan 26

Lump Sum (FR) 8 2 4 27 Dec 25

Aazza (IRE) 8 1 3 9 Mar 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 324 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 9

Only 9 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

17139167169514241712

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSam Thomas

23% of all rides
21.4% SR · A/E 1.23

TrainerRWSR£1

Sam Thomas 154 33 21.4% −15.46

Rose Dobbin 62 6 9.7% −7.25

Neil Mulholland 59 15 25.4% +21.53

Olly Murphy 50 13 26% +20.92

Iain Jardine 41 4 9.8% −14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.68m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 32 wins

Vincenzo (FR) — bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Ascot · Jan 2026 · Class 2

£53,150

Pickanumber (IRE) — Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Haydock · May 2024 · Class 1

£45,560

Steel Ally (FR) — Bet Smarter With Oddschecker Kingmaker Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Warwick · Feb 2026 · Grade 2

£42,713

Notable horses

Blue Las (GB) Steel Ally (FR) Palacio (FR) Vincenzo (FR) C'est Different (FR) Celtic Dino (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Doctor Dino (FR) 40.5% · 17–42

Progeny have won 16% of 3,205 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.9% from 557. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.5% from 211. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.8% from 693. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

No Risk At All (FR) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,135 runs since 2008 (436 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.5% from 945.

Shantou (USA) 23.8% · 5–21

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,825 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Getaway (GER) 25% · 5–20

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,951 runs since 2008 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.3% from 133.

Bathyrhon (GER) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 12.3% of 1,180 runs since 2008 (188 horses).

Yeats (IRE) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,831 runs since 2008 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 818.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 730 · newest first

The latest 50 of 730 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 December 2018 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Doctor Kildare (FR)T: Sam Thomas Walters Group Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 3/1

29 Oct 26 Ffos Las Justalargewhisky (FR)T: Sam Thomas bettingsites.co.uk Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Papa Oscar (GB)T: Clare Hobson Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 40/1

24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Katate Dori (FR)T: Sam Thomas William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 25f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Palacio (FR)T: Sam Thomas Squareintheair.com Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 11/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Brisky Dancer (FR)T: Sam Thomas bettingsites.co.uk Instant Withdrawal Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 12/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Sailing By (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 11/4

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Walkinthepresent (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 8 ran PU 9/2

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Sea Warrior (IRE)T: Joe Tizzard BETTING.BET New Betting Sites Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 18f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 5/2

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Doctor Blue (FR)T: Sam Thomas DragonBet 'Welsh Champion' Hurdle Race (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 17 ran PU 17/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Tottie's Moon (GB)T: Mickey Bowen Fbc Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 8th 100/1

06 Sep 26 Fontwell Gata Ban (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/4F

23 Aug 26 Worcester Gata Ban (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Neu-Servo Bet On Great Repairs Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 4th 8/1

15 Aug 26 Perth Ras Kassar (FR)T: David Pipe QuinnBet Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 2/1

15 Aug 26 Perth Hawthorn Road (IRE)T: Iain Jardine Visit Perth Museum Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 40/1

25 Jul 26 York Vince L'Amour (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Sky Bet "Jump Jockeys' Nunthorpe" Handicap Stakes (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 17th 66/1

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Walk The Plank (IRE)T: Clare Hobson Read Johnny Burke's Blog At CopyBet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 12/1

16 Jun 26 Stratford Papa Oscar (GB)T: Clare Hobson Stratford Supporting Racing Staff Week Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 33/1

10 Jun 26 Fontwell Gata Ban (IRE)T: Neil Mulholland Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 1st 6/4

09 Jun 26 Southwell Walk The Plank (IRE)T: Clare Hobson Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 23 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Dylan Johnston's strike rate?: Dylan Johnston has won 94 of 661 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 14.2% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dylan Johnston do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 7 wins from 32 rides (21.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Dylan Johnston ride most for?: Sam Thomas, with 154 rides since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (21.4%).
Is Dylan Johnston in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Dylan Johnston's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 661 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.