What is Jack Doughty's strike rate?

Jack Doughty has won 163 of 1,394 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jack Doughty do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 9 wins from 33 rides (27.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jack Doughty ride most for?

Tony Carroll, with 726 rides since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 93 (12.8%).

Is Jack Doughty in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jack Doughty's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 1,389 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jack Doughty

1,394 rides in the last 5 seasons · 628 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

163–1,394

Wins / Runs

11.7%

Strike rate

n=1,394

438 (31%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=1,389 · 0.90 incl. margin

−344.06

£1 level stake

n=1,394 at SP · −24.7%

£1.53m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 280 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (141 rides). Rides mostly for Tony Carroll — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,394 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 35.9% when favourite Tony Carroll: 12.8% from 726 LTO winners: 19.1% Claiming: 13.6% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Haydock (27.3%, n=33), clear of the rider's 11.7% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.1% (n=141, Fair A/E 1.06), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.70). Tony Carroll supplies 52% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.8%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.2%, n=94) and on Good to Soft going (18.2%, n=77). The standout partner of the record: Cinque Verde (GB) — 6 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.5%−1.2

n=628 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −160.22

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.1%+7.4

n=141 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −30.34

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9%−2.7

n=134 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −40.25

When favourite

35.9%

n=145 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +6.35

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13.6%+1.9

n=661 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −77.63

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.5%−4.2

n=67 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +2.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−11.7

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Haydock 27.3% vs 11.7% · n=33

With first-time headgear 22.2% vs 11.7% · n=45

With new recruits 1.8% vs 11.7% · n=55

Off a 0-7-day break 20.2% vs 11.7% · n=94

On last-time-out winners 19.1% vs 11.7% · n=141

On Good to Soft going 18.2% vs 11.7% · n=77

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,393 163 11.7% −343.06

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 750 74 9.9% −259.28

Good 260 31 11.9% −46.32

Good to Firm 199 28 14.1% −60.73

Good to Soft 77 14 18.2% +31.89

Soft 63 10 15.9% +6.75

Firm 24 3 12.5% −14.25

Heavy 21 3 14.3% −2.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 330 29 8.8% −148.72

Brighton 150 22 14.7% −49.97

Lingfield (AW) 127 13 10.2% −69.50

Southwell (AW) 116 13 11.2% +1.33

Bath 90 13 14.4% −36.47

Kempton (AW) 87 8 9.2% −23.75

Chelmsford (AW) 61 7 11.5% −5.80

Chepstow 49 8 16.3% −9.36

Ffos Las 37 4 10.8% −6.50

Windsor 36 4 11.1% −3.50

Leicester 33 4 12.1% +7.50

Haydock 33 9 27.3% +35.45

Goodwood 30 5 16.7% −1.97

Newcastle (AW) 29 4 13.8% −12.84

Nottingham 27 6 22.2% +9.21

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 695 83 11.9% −253.72

Class 5 384 43 11.2% −86.90

Class 4 204 24 11.8% −52.13

Class 2 56 6 10.7% −5.05

Class 3 50 7 14% +58.74

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 167 58 34.7% 1.23 +7.30

2nd–3rd fav 334 55 16.5% 0.94 −49.86

4th–6th fav 469 41 8.7% 1.08 −10.50

7th+ in betting 424 9 2.1% 0.60 −291.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mumayaz (IRE) 18 3 10 14 Aug 26

Kondratiev Wave (IRE) 18 4 8 6 Aug 26

Danehill Star (IRE) 17 5 7 22 May 26

Hawajes (IRE) 17 2 7 7 Aug 25

Serenity Dream (IRE) 16 3 9 21 Oct 26

Cinque Verde (GB) 16 6 7 23 May 26

Moon Over The Sea (GB) 15 1 7 10 Apr 26

Secret Mistral (GB) 15 3 6 15 Dec 25

Celebrating Ethel (IRE) 14 1 4 5 Aug 26

Fistral Beach (IRE) 14 2 9 14 Jul 26

Upepo (IRE) 14 2 4 19 May 26

River Wharfe (GB) 14 2 4 20 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 628 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111281314171199141012

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTony Carroll

52% of all rides
12.8% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

Tony Carroll 726 93 12.8% −161.71

Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 66 5 7.6% +2.50

Stuart Williams 44 6 13.6% −12.42

James Fanshawe 37 5 13.5% −20.04

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

163

Archived wins

£1.53m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 65 wins

Lord Melbourne (IRE) — Virgin Bet November Handicap Doncaster · Nov 2024 · Class 2

£36,078

Many Men (GB) — British Stallion Studs EBF Future Stayers Nursery Newmarket · Oct 2024 · Class 2

£20,616

Jumbeau (GB) — Sri Lanka, The Jewel Of Asia Handicap Windsor · May 2024 · Class 2

£16,200

Notable horses

Cinque Verde (GB) Danehill Star (IRE) Kondratiev Wave (IRE) Tortured Soul (GB) Local Bay (GB) Hk Fourteen (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 9.3% · 4–43

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Mehmas (IRE) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,214 runs since 2020 (752 horses).

Dragon Pulse (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,271 runs since 2016 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 572. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.

Dark Angel (IRE) 10% · 3–30

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Ten Sovereigns (IRE) 23.3% · 7–30

Progeny have won 10.9% of 1,606 runs since 2023 (244 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.

New Bay (GB) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 14.3% of 3,997 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,394 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,394 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 December 2023 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Hever Beauty (GB)T: Simon Pearce ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 125/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Moostar (GB)T: James Owen AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 14/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Literary (GB)T: Charlie Clover AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 200/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Anna Belardo (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 14/1

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Serenity Dream (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 7th 9/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Silent Strike (IRE)T: Andrew Balding Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Reciprocated (GB)T: David Loughnane Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ricky's Rocket (GB)T: Dr Richard Newland Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 80/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Nicamoo (GB)T: David Loughnane British Stallion Studs Future Stayers EBF Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 6th 200/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Harry Mole (GB)T: Steph Hollinshead Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 6/5F

15 Oct 26 Brighton Rock Master (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 5th 33/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Twilight Guest (GB)T: George Margarson Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 11 ran 4th 28/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Fitzmaurice (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 7th 28/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Reece's Call (IRE)T: Rod Millman bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 8th 3/1J

13 Oct 26 Leicester Foreseen (GB)T: Tony Carroll Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 1st 28/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Literary (GB)T: Charlie Clover British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 16/1

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Jack Langley (GB)T: Charlie Clover Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 7/2

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) So Alex (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland Beerly A Winner Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 15/2

09 Oct 26 York God Of Titans (IRE)T: Clare Hobson British Ebf £100,000 Final (colts And Geldings)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 100/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Silken Bay (IRE)T: Dr Richard Newland Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 13 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 1) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jack Doughty's strike rate?: Jack Doughty has won 163 of 1,394 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jack Doughty do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 9 wins from 33 rides (27.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jack Doughty ride most for?: Tony Carroll, with 726 rides since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 93 (12.8%).
Is Jack Doughty in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jack Doughty's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 1,389 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.