Baileys Surprise (IRE)
Baileys Surprise (IRE) is yet to win from 8 starts, though has placed once. Best effort: 3rd of 14 at Kelso (Jan 2008).
- 0–8Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 1 (12.5%)Placed
- −8.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=8 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 86Highest OR
- 16dBetween runs (median)longest 738 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 7.2% of 375 runs since Jan 2008 (23 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 66 | 5 | 7.6% | +0.4 | — |
| Good | 134 | 10 | 7.5% | +0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 68 | 8 | 11.8% | +4.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 51 | 3 | 5.9% | −1.3 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | −1.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 38 | 0 | 0% | −7.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 25 | 2 | 8% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 38 | 0 | 0% | −7.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 65 | 7 | 10.8% | +3.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 88 | 6 | 6.8% | −0.4 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 94 | 4 | 4.3% | −2.9 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 53 | 6 | 11.3% | +4.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | +9.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Lord Oriel (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m–2m3f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Out Of Range (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lord Oriel (GB) | 1 | 1 | 2m | — |
| Out Of Range (GB) | 4 | 1 | 2m3f | Class 6 |
| Magic Mistress (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| River Dun (GB) | 17 | 0 | — | — |
| Aztec Pearl (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Toomuchinformation (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Ballynamonabonanza (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelso | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Wetherby | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David O'Meara | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Adrian Lane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Brian Harding | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Aspell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr James Waggott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| NH Flat | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 · 4 runs | |||||||||
| 25 Apr 10+35d | Wetherby | National Festival Circus Is Here Today Maiden Hurdle | 5/15 | 18 | 10-11 | 86 | 88C | Adrian Lane | 40/1 |
| 21 Mar 10+15d | Carlisle | White Hill Farm Novices' Hurdle | 10/16 | 11 | 11-1 | — | 98C | Brian Harding | 150/1 |
| 06 Mar 10+16d | Kelso | Terry Frame Joiners Novices' Hurdle | 8/16 | 3½ | 10-12 | — | 90C | Adrian Lane | 100/1 |
| 18 Feb 10+738d | Kelso | Kelso Members Novices' Hurdle | 10/13 | 7 | 11-2 | — | 85A | Paddy Aspell | 40/1 |
| 2008 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 11 Feb 08+15d | Wetherby | Turftv Intermediate Open NH Flat Race | 4/19 | 11 | 11-4 | — | 108A | David O'Meara | 33/1 |
| 27 Jan 08+9d | Kelso | Scarvagh House Stud Maiden Open NH Flat Race | 3/14 | 9 | 11-4 | — | 117A | David O'Meara | 100/1 |
| 18 Jan 08+47d | Catterick | Leyburn Maiden NH Flat Race (Conditionals/Amateurs) | 8/15 | 12 | 10-11 | — | 78C | Mr James Waggott | 100/1 |
| 2007 · 1 run | |||||||||
| 02 Dec 07 | Doncaster | Star And Green'Un Standard Open NH Flat Race | 9/15 | 13 | 11-2 | — | 80C | David O'Meara | 25/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Baileys Surprise won?
- Baileys Surprise (IRE) has yet to win, from 8 archived starts between 2007 and 2010. Placed 1 time in total (12.5% of starts).
- Who trained Baileys Surprise?
- Baileys Surprise (IRE) was trained by Tracy Waggott on the most recent run on record, at Wetherby on 25 April 2010.
- Who is Baileys Surprise's sire?
- Baileys Surprise (IRE) is by Mister Baileys (GB) out of Sight'n Sound (GB), whose sire is Chief Singer.
- What is Baileys Surprise's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 86, from the run on 25 April 2010. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Baileys Surprise's sire's record?
- Mister Baileys (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.2% of 375 runs since Jan 2008 (23 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Baileys Surprise's siblings?
- Out of Sight'n Sound (GB), Baileys Surprise (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Lord Oriel (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Out Of Range (GB)). The wins came over 2m–2m3f. As at Nov 2026.