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Trainer profile

Tracy Waggott

552 runners in the last 5 seasons · 38 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
41–552
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=552
131 (24%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=551 · 0.75 incl. margin
−49.29
£1 level stake
n=552 at SP · −8.9%
£577k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 552 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 22.2% when favourite William Pyle: 8.2% from 97 Claiming riders: 8.4% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Musselburgh (14.9%, n=47), clear of the yard's 7.4% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.25). William Pyle rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.2%, A/E 0.82). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.9%, n=44) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (15.2%, n=33). The market has also underrated the yard on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 1.17 across 134 runners (11.9% strike, +6.96 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 52 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Windforpower (IRE) — 11 wins from 121 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.3%−6.1
n=77 · A/E 0.25 · £1 −56.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.4
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.4
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
11.8%+4.4
n=17 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=45 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −12.04
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.4%+1.0
n=178 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +119.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 22.5% vs 7.4% · n=40
Off a 0-7-day break 15.9% vs 7.4% · n=44
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 7.4% · n=52
At Musselburgh 14.9% vs 7.4% · n=47
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 15.2% vs 7.4% · n=33
On Good to Firm going 11.9% vs 7.4% · n=134
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 513 37 7.2% −54.79
Hurdle 37 4 10.8% +7.50
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 153 8 5.2% +85.25
Good 144 12 8.3% −70.00
Good to Firm 134 16 11.9% +6.96
Soft 62 3 4.8% −46.50
Good to Soft 51 2 3.9% −17.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 149 8 5.4% +89.25
Catterick 80 6 7.5% −52.87
Redcar 63 3 4.8% −22.00
Musselburgh 47 7 14.9% +14.25
Thirsk 46 5 10.9% −19.00
Carlisle 31 1 3.2% −25.50
York 20 1 5% −15.00
Sedgefield 18 2 11.1% +16.50
Ripon 16 2 12.5% +2.00
Doncaster 16 0 0% −16.00
Pontefract 15 2 13.3% +10.33
Wetherby 15 3 20% −5.25
Ayr 9 0 0% −9.00
Beverley 9 0 0% −9.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 312 25 8% −145.62
Class 5 106 5 4.7% −29.00
Class 4 70 6 8.6% −43.00
Class 3 33 2 6.1% −23.67
Class 2 26 3 11.5% +197.00
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 55 11 20% 0.81 −18.54
2nd–3rd fav 102 20 19.6% 1.29 +2.75
4th–6th fav 134 4 3% 0.39 −103.50
7th+ in betting 261 6 2.3% 0.86 +70.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Without Delay (IRE)from Kevin Philippart De Foy 55 5 15 30 Sep 26
Miss Rainbow (IRE) 42 6 18 8 Sep 26
Mrs Bagerran (IRE) 42 3 15 13 Oct 25
Ghathanfar (IRE) 41 3 12 14 Oct 24
Lady Of The Garr (IRE)from David Loughnane 30 2 12 6 Mar 26
Rainbow Rain (GB) 30 4 12 9 Dec 24
Heavenly Heather (GB) 25 3 8 3 Oct 26
Jamie's Choice (GB) 23 2 6 26 May 26
Invincible Annice (IRE)from K R Burke 22 1 3 14 Jul 26
Hajey (GB)from Mark Johnston 20 4 8 28 Dec 25
Carlton (GB)from John & Thady Gosden · then James Owen 20 1 4 1 Oct 24
Bamboo Bay (IRE)from Philip Kirby 19 1 2 21 Jun 25
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John & Thady Gosden (2) and Mark Johnston (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Alexandra Dunn (4) and Michael Wigham (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
167027151149238
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderWilliam Pyle
18% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.82
RiderRWSR£1
William Pyle 97 8 8.2% −58.62
Tom Eaves 73 6 8.2% −43.00
Dale Swift 67 5 7.5% −16.00
Connor Beasley 54 5 9.3% −11.50
Jason Hart 30 3 10% −15.92
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
205
Archived wins
£1.51m
Prize money
2013
Best season · 24 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Heavenly Heather (GB) — BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 2
£77,310
Intrinsic Bond (GB) — William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap Ripon · Aug 2022 · Class 2
£51,540
Robert Johnson (GB) — Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap Newmarket · Sep 2024 · Class 2
£25,770
Notable horses
Windforpower (IRE) Captain Royale (IRE) Valantino Oyster (IRE) Shadowtime (GB) Kind Review (GB) Ghathanfar (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 6.3% · 4–63
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,816 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Decorated Knight (GB) 9.1% · 5–55
Progeny have won 9.8% of 970 runs since 2008 (84 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.3% from 286. Weakest on Soft going: 5.7% from 141.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 14.3% · 6–42
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,867 runs since 2008 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Kodiac (GB) 7.1% · 3–42
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,534 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Mehmas (IRE) 5% · 2–40
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 13.3% · 4–30
Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,809 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,809 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 August 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Catterick Magnanimous Grecia (IRE)J: David Allan EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 7th 250/1
16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Nip About (GB)J: Connor Beasley QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 7/1
12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brittunculi (GB)J: William Pyle Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 500/1
03 Oct 26 Ascot Heavenly Heather (GB)J: Barry McHugh Betmgm Rous Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 6th 16/1
30 Sep 26 Catterick Without Delay (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 5th 100/30J
23 Sep 26 Redcar Nip About (GB)J: Connor Beasley Weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 5th 40/1
19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Heathers Feather (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 9/1
18 Sep 26 Ayr Heavenly Heather (GB)J: Connor Beasley Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 5.5f · Soft · 14 ran 9th 7/1
09 Sep 26 Carlisle Magnanimous Grecia (IRE)J: Rowan Scott Quooker Tap 100 Degrees Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 13th 200/1
08 Sep 26 Catterick Miss Rainbow (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 9/2
03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Brittunculi (GB)J: William Pyle Admiral Jackpot Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 200/1
02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Heathers Feather (IRE)J: Jason Hart Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 11/1
26 Aug 26 Catterick Without Delay (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Celebrate National Racehorse Week Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 5/2F
25 Aug 26 Musselburgh Bea Kindly (GB)J: William Pyle National Racehorse Week Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 33/1
21 Aug 26 York Heavenly Heather (GB)J: Barry McHugh Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 10th 80/1
19 Aug 26 Carlisle Heathers Feather (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Armstrong Watson Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 25/1
17 Aug 26 Catterick Miss Rainbow (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 8th 8/1
04 Aug 26 Catterick Miss Rainbow (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Hannah Blanchard 21st Birthday Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 5/2
04 Aug 26 Catterick Without Delay (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Hugh James Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 10/1
31 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Heathers Feather (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Quinnbet Extra Place Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tracy Waggott's strike rate?
Tracy Waggott has won 41 of 552 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tracy Waggott do best at?
Musselburgh by strike rate: 7 wins from 47 runners (14.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tracy Waggott?
William Pyle, with 97 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.2%).
Is Tracy Waggott in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tracy Waggott's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 551 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).