Believed (IRE)
Believed (IRE) is 2 from 7, including a Group 3 win. The biggest win we hold: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Give Thanks Stakes at Cork (IRE) (Aug 2026). Last raced off a career-high mark of 105.
- 2–7Wins / Runs
- 28.6%Strike rate
- 5 (71.4%)Placed
- −1.50£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 1.47Fair A/E n=7 · 1.24 incl. margin
- 105Highest OR
- 33dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 132
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 132A | 115 | 4 · 132 / 115 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 100A | 98 | 2 · 100 / 98 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 7 | 132A | 102 | 7 · 132 / 102 |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 7 figures from 7 runs · as at 18 Oct 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs
- Prominent 2 (40%) · 0 wins
- Held up 2 (40%) · 2 wins
- Midfield 1 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 18% of 7,489 runs since Jan 2008 (872 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 12.4% from 323. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | +8.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,280 | 259 | 20.2% | +2.2 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 1,914 | 362 | 18.9% | +0.9 | 1 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 1,019 | 175 | 17.2% | −0.8 | — |
| Soft | 1,102 | 161 | 14.6% | −3.4 | — |
| Heavy | 323 | 40 | 12.4% | −5.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,836 | 347 | 18.9% | +0.9 | 1 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 64 | 11 | 17.2% | −0.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,255 | 236 | 18.8% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,964 | 368 | 18.7% | +0.7 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,876 | 543 | 18.9% | +0.9 | 2 from 7 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 968 | 151 | 15.6% | −2.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 267 | 33 | 12.4% | −5.6 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 84 | 6 | 7.1% | −10.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 11 | 0 | 0% | −18 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Bear Creek (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m3f–1m5f; the highest grade won is Group 2 (Gold Trip (FR)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Creek (GB) | 9 | 1 | 1m5f | — |
| Gold Trip (FR) | 10 | 1 | 1m3f | Group 2 |
| Got Wind (GB) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
| Gotha (FR) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Got Land (FR) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.75 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.25 |
| Cork (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.25 |
| Gowran Park (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coen | 5 | 2 | 40% | +0.50 |
| Oisin Murphy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hood | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.75 |
| None | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 26+64d | Ascot | Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Prominent from the start - travelling sweetly but short of room 2f out - asked for effort and made progress 1f out - took second inside the final furlong and stayed on to finish runner-up | 2/12 | 1½ | 9-1 | 105 | 110A | 104A | Oisin Murphy | 16/1 |
| 14 Aug 26+20d | Cork (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Give Thanks Stakes (Group 3) Held up at the back - still only 6th at halfway - made ground on the outside 2f out to race 5th - improved into 3rd approaching the furlong marker - hit the front late and finished strongest | 1/8 | 8-13 | 98 | 132A | 88A | Ben Coen | 9/4F | |
| 25 Jul 26+37d | Gowran Park (IRE) | John Fleming Irish EBF Marble City Stakes (Listed) Raced close up - asked for effort and moved into 2nd 2f out - slipped to 3rd 1f out - finished strongly in 3rd but unable to get to the front two | 3/7 | ½ | 9-0 | 96 | 120A | 87B | Ben Coen | 6/5F |
| 18 Jun 26+23d | Ascot | King George V Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) Settled with the pack early - moved left and made progress into contention over 2f out - pushed into second and asked for effort but drifted left approaching final furlong - handed back second spot inside last 110 yards - drifted left again but stayed on to finish third | 3/19 | hd | 8-11 | 88 | 102C | 97A | Oisin Murphy | 14/1 |
| 26 May 26+16d | Dundalk (AW) | Sunday 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Maiden Sat behind pace in 3rd - improved to 2nd by halfway - hit the front in the straight and opened a handy advantage inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score | 1/10 | 9-3 | — | 100A | 86A | Ben Coen | 5/4F | |
| 10 May 26+39d | Leopardstown | 'It's Family Day At Leopardstown' Fillies Maiden Slow start and driven on early - soon in touch with front group - 4th at halfway - urged into 3rd turning for home - pressed for effort 2f out - 2nd with a furlong left - unable to close and finished second staying on same gait | 2/10 | 3¼ | 9-1 | — | 88A | 78A | Ben Coen | 11/2 |
| 01 Apr 26 | Dundalk (AW) | BAR 1 Betting 'Great App, No Joke' Fillies Maiden Slow to get going and towards the back - urged forward and moved left approaching 2f out but couldn't threaten leader in 4th - stayed on same rate to finish 4th | 4/9 | nk | 9-3 | — | 96A | 74A | Ben Coen | 13/2 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Believed (IRE) won?
- Believed (IRE) won 2 of 7 archived starts in 2026, a strike rate of 28.6%. Placed 5 times in total (71.4% of starts).
- Who trains Believed (IRE)?
- Believed (IRE) is trained by J. P. Murtagh, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 17 October 2026.
- Who is Believed (IRE)'s sire?
- Believed (IRE) is by Frankel (GB) out of Sarvana (FR), whose sire is Dubai Destination.
- What going does Believed (IRE) prefer?
- Believed (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Believed (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 105, from the run on 17 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Believed (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Frankel (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 18% of 7,489 runs since Jan 2008 (872 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 12.4% from 323. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.
- Who are Believed (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Sarvana (FR), Believed (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Bear Creek (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Group 2 (Gold Trip (FR)). The wins came over 1m3f–1m5f. As at Oct 2026.