Blue Bolt (IRE)
Typically a front-runner in 3 of 5 analysed runs — Blue Bolt (IRE) is 9 from 12 in our archive, including 4 wins at Group 1 level. The biggest win we hold: the Coolmore America 'Justify' Matron Stakes at Leopardstown (IRE) (Sep 2026). Won last time out at Newmarket (Class 1) — a departure from the usual pattern, held. All 9 wins have come over 1m – 1m1f. Last raced off a career-high mark of 119.
- 9–12Wins / Runs
- 75%Strike rate
- 11 (91.7%)Placed
- +10.97£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 2.10Fair A/E n=12 · 1.83 incl. margin
- 119Highest OR
- 50dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 111
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 5 | 111A | 92 | 3 · 111 / 104 |
| Good | 4 | 124A | 110 | 2 · 106 / 86.5 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 10 | 124A | 105 | 5 · 111 / 104 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 11 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 5 analysed runs
- Led 3 (60%) · 3 wins
- Held up 1 (20%) · 1 win
- Prominent 1 (20%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14% of 3,375 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses).
Strongest on good to soft going: 17.1% from 334. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.8% from 203.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 10 | 0 | 0% | −14 | — |
| Good to Firm | 627 | 87 | 13.9% | −0.1 | 5 from 5 |
| Good | 789 | 97 | 12.3% | −1.7 | 3 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 334 | 57 | 17.1% | +3.1 | — |
| Soft | 376 | 49 | 13% | −1 | 1 from 2 |
| Heavy | 107 | 12 | 11.2% | −2.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,132 | 171 | 15.1% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 652 | 87 | 13.3% | −0.7 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,854 | 263 | 14.2% | +0.2 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 602 | 94 | 15.6% | +1.6 | 9 from 11 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 203 | 22 | 10.8% | −3.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | −2.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | −3.5 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −14 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 17 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Sea Theme (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m5f; the highest grade won is Listed (Sea Theme (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sea Theme (IRE) | 11 | 4 | 1m4f–1m5f | Listed |
| Sky Angel (IRE) | 13 | 2 | 7½f–1m | Listed |
| A La Noche (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Donnybrook (IRE) | 4 | 1 | 6f | Class 4 |
| Heureuse (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 5 | 5 | 100% | +10.20 |
| Good | 4 | 3 | 75% | +1.97 |
| Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.20 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 9 | 7 | 78% | +7.14 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +4.83 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.37 |
| Sandown | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Leopardstown (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.80 |
| Deauville (FR) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.80 |
| Ascot | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.50 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.67 |
| Newbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.50 |
| Windsor | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 11 | 9 | 82% | +11.97 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Keane | 10 | 8 | 80% | +8.64 |
| Oisin Murphy | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.33 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 6 | 100% | +7.14 |
| 2025 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +3.83 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 26+21d | Newmarket | Betmgm Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) Sat close behind the pacesetters and pulling hard early - moved into second at halfway - shot to the lead over 1f out under urging - drifted left under a drive - kept finding to win comfortably | 1/7 | 9-5 | 119 | 111A | 108A | Colin Keane | 1/4F | |
| 12 Sep 26+41d | Leopardstown (IRE) | Coolmore America 'Justify' Matron Stakes (Group 1) Settled just off the pace - up to 3rd early in the straight after sitting 4th at halfway - shaken up to hit the front 1½f out - stayed on strongly to the line | 1/9 | 9-7 | 119 | 106A | 110A | Colin Keane | 4/5F | |
| 02 Aug 26+23d | Deauville (FR) | Prix Rothschild - Fonds Europeen de L'Elevage - World Pool by PMU | 1/8 | 9-4 | 119 | — | — | Colin Keane | 4/5F | |
| 10 Jul 26+23d | Newmarket | Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Falmouth Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 1) up with the pace early - in front and travelling comfortably with two furlongs left - driven and drifted left to pull away in the final furlong | 1/7 | 9-9 | 115 | 104A | 119A | Colin Keane | 85/40 | |
| 17 Jun 26+46d | Ascot | Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 2) (Rnd) Settled in the pack early - moved through strongly over a furlong out then drifted right to hit the front - drifted left inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to win | 1/15 | 9-2 | 110 | 92C | 115A | Colin Keane | 5/2F | |
| 02 May 26+210d | Goodwood | Fitzdares Conqueror Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Settled in the pack early - made steady headway approaching 2f out - driven to close in the final furlong - edged upsides late - got up to score close home | 1/6 | 9-7 | 110 | 67B | 98B | Colin Keane | 4/6F | |
| 04 Oct 25+35d | Newmarket | BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 1) Sat close to leader among far-flank pack - pushed along outside final 2f - edged away with winner inside final furlong - stayed on well to finish second | 2/9 | 2¼ | 9-2 | 109 | 124A | 113A | Colin Keane | 17/2 |
| 30 Aug 25+56d | Sandown | BetMGM Atalanta Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) Settled towards the middle of the field wide of rivals - made steady progress on the outer to hit the front approaching the final furlong - caught close home to just miss out | 2/13 | ½ | 9-0 | 102 | 109C | 112A | Colin Keane | 7/2 |
| 05 Jul 25+23d | Sandown | Coral Distaff (Fillies' Listed) Fought for early control - set the pace almost throughout - pushed out and stayed on strongly inside final furlong to score | 1/7 | 9-2 | 98 | 87A | 96A | Colin Keane | 2/1F | |
| 12 Jun 25+24d | Newbury | Darley EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Str) Handy early - hit front with 2f left - opened daylight approaching final furlong - kept finding through to the line | 1/8 | 9-8 | — | 114A | 111A | Colin Keane | 6/4 | |
| 19 May 25+43d | Windsor | British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace from the off - asked for effort over a furlong out - edged away inside the final furlong - won comfortably | 1/6 | 9-2 | — | 86A | 97B | Oisin Murphy | 10/3 | |
| 06 Apr 25 | Southwell (AW) | Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - pushed along with 3f left and stayed on late - unable to close on front-runners | 5/9 | 1½ | 9-2 | — | 83A | 77A | Oisin Murphy | 10/11F |
Quick answers
- How many races has Blue Bolt (IRE) won?
- Blue Bolt (IRE) won 9 of 12 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 75%. Placed 11 times in total (91.7% of starts).
- Who trains Blue Bolt (IRE)?
- Blue Bolt (IRE) is trained by Andrew Balding, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 October 2026.
- Who is Blue Bolt (IRE)'s sire?
- Blue Bolt (IRE) is by Blue Point (IRE) out of Mayhem (IRE), whose sire is Whipper.
- What going does Blue Bolt (IRE) prefer?
- Blue Bolt (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 5 wins from 5 starts (100%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Blue Bolt (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 119, from the run on 3 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Blue Bolt (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Blue Point (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 14% of 3,375 runs since Jan 2008 (412 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to soft going: 17.1% from 334. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.8% from 203.
- Who are Blue Bolt (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Mayhem (IRE), Blue Bolt (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Sea Theme (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Listed (Sea Theme (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m5f. As at Oct 2026.