What is Andrew Balding's strike rate?

Andrew Balding has won 820 of 5,075 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andrew Balding do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 55 wins from 205 runners (26.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Andrew Balding?

Oisin Murphy, with 1,239 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 253 (20.4%).

Is Andrew Balding in form?

In the last 14 days: 62 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 11.3%. That is below the baseline of 16.2% since 2022.

What is Andrew Balding's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 5,045 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Andrew Balding

5,075 runners in the last 5 seasons · 789 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.5% of 1,139 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

820–5,075

Wins / Runs

16.2%

Strike rate

n=5,075

1,948 (38%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=5,045 · 0.89 incl. margin

−877.15

£1 level stake

n=5,074 at SP · −17.3%

£32.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 1,020 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). The yard is quiet just now — 7 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 5,075 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 35.7% when favourite Oisin Murphy: 20.4% from 1,239 Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (26.8%, n=205), clear of the yard's 16.2% baseline. Debutants struggle at 8.2% (n=646, Fair A/E 0.75). Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 7 from 62 runners in the last 14 days (11.3%, 4.9pts below the 16.2% baseline). Oisin Murphy rides 24% of the entries and edges the yard's average (20.4% vs 16.2%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 237 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot (Jul 2026, £1,134,200). The stable star of the record: Dungannon (GB) — 13 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

15.5%−0.7

n=789 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −233.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

26.1%+9.9

n=23 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +17.03

Debutants · first career start

8.2%−8.0

n=646 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −267.14

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.9%−5.3

n=275 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −45.44

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.3%−6.9

n=43 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −24.89

When favourite

35.7%

n=907 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −127.11

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.7%−4.5

n=420 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −111.46

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.9%−2.3

n=718 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −91.99

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Colin Keane 31.3% vs 16.2% · n=67

With William Cox 0% vs 16.2% · n=37

At Newcastle (AW) 26.8% vs 16.2% · n=205

With debutants 8.2% vs 16.2% · n=646

With William Buick 26.4% vs 16.2% · n=87

With Harry Davies 8.8% vs 16.2% · n=137

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,066 819 16.2% −871.15

NH Flat 8 1 12.5% −5.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,725 296 17.2% −386.89

Good 1,192 185 15.5% −180.45

Good to Firm 1,079 179 16.6% −131.24

Good to Soft 522 81 15.5% −59.15

Soft 415 55 13.3% −108.27

Heavy 132 21 15.9% −10.98

Firm 10 3 30% −0.17

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 597 93 15.6% −168.62

Ascot 334 38 11.4% −20.55

Newmarket 302 38 12.6% −78.15

Goodwood 296 43 14.5% −72.75

Southwell (AW) 284 42 14.8% −81.14

Lingfield (AW) 274 58 21.2% −22.39

Newbury 258 36 14% −31.83

York 241 45 18.7% +42.65

Chester 236 53 22.5% +38.83

Wolverhampton (AW) 226 36 15.9% −96.62

Newcastle (AW) 205 55 26.8% +54.07

Sandown 178 21 11.8% −72.92

Doncaster 165 27 16.4% −12.69

Windsor 154 25 16.2% −47.83

Salisbury 143 28 19.6% −10.14

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,257 228 18.1% −198.09

Class 5 1,233 226 18.3% −213.92

Class 2 1,073 153 14.3% −141.37

Class 1 718 100 13.9% −91.99

Class 3 616 86 14% −211.31

Class 6 172 27 15.7% −14.47

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,001 352 35.2% 1.02 −110.50

2nd–3rd fav 1,624 320 19.7% 1.09 −38.38

4th–6th fav 1,583 125 7.9% 0.98 −302.67

7th+ in betting 866 23 2.7% 0.75 −425.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

King's Lynn (GB) 40 2 15 18 Nov 25

Teumessias Fox (IRE) 38 5 8 20 Oct 26

Grenham Bay (IRE) 38 5 14 12 Sep 25

Spirit Mixer (GB) 34 7 11 24 Sep 26

Coltrane (IRE) 26 7 14 4 Oct 25

Flora Of Bermuda (IRE) 25 5 14 9 Oct 26

Lieber Power (GB) 22 4 9 20 Sep 25

Fivethousandtoone (IRE)then Tim Easterby 22 3 7 21 Sep 24

See The Fire (GB) 21 5 10 17 Oct 26

Berkshire Sundance (IRE) 21 7 9 10 Oct 26

Purosangue (GB)then Robert Cowell 21 2 9 4 Oct 25

Notre Belle Bete (GB)from D J Bunyan 21 4 10 20 Nov 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 789 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (2) and Tim Easterby (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

7 from 62 11.3% · −4.9pts vs baseline

Last 14 days11.3%

5-season base16.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

2226251615161915171288

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderOisin Murphy

24% of all rides
20.4% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Oisin Murphy 1,239 253 20.4% −112.18

David Probert 904 128 14.2% −178.66

Jason Watson 435 72 16.6% −56.20

Callum Hutchinson 430 68 15.8% −93.89

P J McDonald 349 67 19.2% −17.02

Rob Hornby 309 35 11.3% −91.04

Hayley Turner 149 17 11.4% −42.38

Harry Davies 137 12 8.8% −65.20

William Carver 134 13 9.7% −44.35

William Buick 87 23 26.4% +15.61

Joshua Bryan 86 10 11.6% −47.78

Colin Keane 67 21 31.3% +8.53

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,367

Archived wins

237

Pattern / graded wins

£61.4m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 192 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Kalpana (GB) — King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jul 2026 · Group 1

£1,134,200

Item (GB) — Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2026 · Group 1

£850,650

Alcohol Free (IRE) — Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Goodwood · Jul 2021 · Group 1

£567,100

Notable horses

Dungannon (GB) Coltrane (IRE) Intransigent (GB) Highland Colori (IRE) Spirit Mixer (GB) Hatton Flight (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 14.4% · 29–201

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,878 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Frankel (GB) 21.1% · 37–175

Progeny have won 18% of 7,499 runs since 2008 (875 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.3% from 324. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.4% from 267.

Kingman (GB) 18.7% · 31–166

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,471 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 17.2% · 27–157

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,152 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

No Nay Never (USA) 17.9% · 26–145

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,310 runs since 2008 (705 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 612. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Sea The Stars (IRE) 19.8% · 26–131

Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,937 runs since 2008 (1,110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 16,158 · newest first

The latest 50 of 16,158 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Teumessias Fox (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Empress Jingu (GB)J: P. J. McDonald AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 3 ran 2nd 5/2

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Moonlight Warrior (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald bettingsites.co.uk Find Your New Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 11/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Silent Strike (IRE)J: Jack Doughty Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blue Corn (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Mubasimah (IRE)J: Jason Watson British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 16/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Chapron (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 5/2

17 Oct 26 Ascot Mister Winston (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 19th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot See The Fire (GB)J: Rob Hornby Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 11th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Kalpana (GB)J: Colin Keane Qatar Racing British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 7th 1/1F

17 Oct 26 Ascot Marvelman (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 15th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Mount Atlas (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Qatar Racing British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 1)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 1st 33/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Arthurian (GB)J: Oisin Murphy British Stallion Studs Future Stayers EBF Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 8f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 2/7F

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Naval Cop (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 13/2

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Noble Archer (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 33/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Magic Trip (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 100/30

15 Oct 26 Brighton Cosmic Girl (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 4th 15/8F

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Thunder Goddess (GB)J: Jason Watson Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 11/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Berkshire Whisper (IRE)J: Jason Watson Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 7th 13/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Assiri Heights (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 5th 11/4

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Balding's strike rate?: Andrew Balding has won 820 of 5,075 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.2% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Balding do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 55 wins from 205 runners (26.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andrew Balding?: Oisin Murphy, with 1,239 runners since 2022 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 253 (20.4%).
Is Andrew Balding in form?: In the last 14 days: 62 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 11.3%. That is below the baseline of 16.2% since 2022.
What is Andrew Balding's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 5,045 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.