Skip to content
Horse profile

Bright Forecast (IRE)

5yo gelding (at last run, Mar 2019) · Last trainer Ben Pauling · Last owner The Aldaniti Partnership
by Arcadio (GER) out of Check The Forecast (IRE) (Shernazar)
4 runs · 4 courses · from Nov 2018
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 13 Mar 2019 — 2,778 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Mar 2019 · 3rd of 16 2 wins · Leicester & Newbury Last raced off OR 139
KTB Profile

Bright Forecast (IRE) is 2 from 4, both wins coming at Class 3 level. Hasn't won since Dec 2018. Each win came on a first visit to the course.

Based on 4 archived runs · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance All wins at Class 3

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 132 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Cheltenham, 13 Mar 2019

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 132B · median 113
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Soft2132B111.5—
Good to Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m3130A96—
2m5f – 3m1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 149A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Leicester, 28 Dec 2018 Official rating 139 at the last run, 13 Mar 2019

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 4 figures · best 149A · median 145
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
Soft2148A145—
Good to Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 21 Oct 2025
1m5f – 2m3149A142—
2m5f – 3m1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 4 figures from 4 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Arcadio (GER)

Progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since Jan 2008 (375 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm6369.5%+0.3—
Good1,47916411.1%+1.91 from 1
Good to Soft789688.6%−0.60 from 1
Soft1,153938.1%−1.11 from 2
Heavy431317.2%−2—
Standard (AW)6234.8%−4.4—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f200%−9.2—
6f – 7f600%−9.2—
1m – 1m1f600%−9.2—
1m2f – 1m4f2813.6%−5.6—
1m5f – 2m1,4621459.9%+0.72 from 3
2m1f – 2m4f1,4991369.1%−0.1—
2m5f – 3m815708.6%−0.60 from 1
Over 3m159138.2%−1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Check The Forecast (IRE) (Shernazar)

4 siblings in the archive, 4 winners — best of them Cerendipity (IRE) (4 wins).

The wins came over 1m7f–3m; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Cerendipity (IRE)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Cerendipity (IRE)2841m7f–2m7½fClass 3
Another Rebel (IRE)2032m½f–2m6f—
Bitsandpieces (IRE)1722m–3m—
Sizing Killarney (IRE)112m—

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Soft 2 1 50% +19.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00
Good 1 1 100% +1.38

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 2 2 100% +21.38

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 1 100% +1.38
Newbury 1 1 100% +20.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m5f – 2m 3 2 67% +20.38
2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Nico de Boinville 3 2 67% +20.38
David Bass 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2019 2 0 0% −2.00
2018 2 2 100% +21.38

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
13 Mar 19+53d Cheltenham Ballymore Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (Registered As The Baring Bingham) Class 1 · 21f · Soft · 16 ran 3/16 2¼ 11-7 139132B148A Nico de Boinville 25/1
19 Jan 19+22d Haydock Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) Class 1 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2/6 2½ 11-4 139130A136B David Bass 2/1
28 Dec 18+28d Leicester Tap 'n' Shower Novices' Hurdle Class 3 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 1/11 11-4 —96B149A Nico de Boinville 11/8F
30 Nov 18 Newbury Ladbrokes 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Class 3 · 16.5f · Soft · 20 ran 1/20 11-0 —91B142A Nico de Boinville 20/1

Quick answers

How many races has Bright Forecast (IRE) won?
Bright Forecast (IRE) won 2 of 4 archived starts between 2018 and 2019, a strike rate of 50%. Placed 4 times in total (100% of starts).
Who trained Bright Forecast (IRE)?
Bright Forecast (IRE) was trained by Ben Pauling on the most recent run on record, at Cheltenham on 13 March 2019.
Who is Bright Forecast (IRE)'s sire?
Bright Forecast (IRE) is by Arcadio (GER) out of Check The Forecast (IRE), whose sire is Shernazar.
What is Bright Forecast (IRE)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 139, from the run on 13 March 2019. That is also the highest on record.
What is Bright Forecast (IRE)'s sire's record?
Arcadio (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since Jan 2008 (375 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Bright Forecast (IRE)'s siblings?
Out of Check The Forecast (IRE), Bright Forecast (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Cerendipity (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Cerendipity (IRE)). The wins came over 1m7f–3m. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from November 2018. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.