What is David Bass's strike rate?

David Bass has won 134 of 1,065 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Bass do best at?

Ffos Las by strike rate: 7 wins from 37 rides (18.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Bass ride most for?

Kim Bailey, with 407 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 56 (13.8%).

Is David Bass in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is David Bass's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,064 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Bass

1,065 rides in the last 5 seasons · 437 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

134–1,065

Wins / Runs

12.6%

Strike rate

n=1,065

313 (29%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,064 · 0.84 incl. margin

−276.07

£1 level stake

n=1,065 at SP · −25.9%

£2.00m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 210 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (146 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,065 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 31.1% when favourite Kim Bailey: 13.8% from 407 LTO winners: 19.2% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.2% (n=146, Fair A/E 0.90), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 4.9% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.48). Kim Bailey supplies 38% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.8%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well beyond 3m (23%, n=74) and in Class 3 (19.6%, n=163). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 6% over 67 rides, 6.6pts below the baseline. 39 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Fleur De Lys Chase at Lingfield (Jan 2022, £79,725). The standout partner of the record: First Flow (IRE) — 12 wins from 26 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9%−3.6

n=376 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −133.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.2%+6.6

n=146 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −29.17

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.6%−1.0

n=310 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −118.02

When favourite

31.1%

n=106 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −32.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.3%−6.3

n=127 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −62.61

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.9%−7.7

n=41 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −33.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Beyond 3m 23% vs 12.6% · n=74

In Class 3 19.6% vs 12.6% · n=163

With Alastair Ralph 2.9% vs 12.6% · n=34

On last-time-out winners 19.2% vs 12.6% · n=146

In Group / Graded races 4.9% vs 12.6% · n=41

In Class 1 6% vs 12.6% · n=67

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 8.1% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 647 81 12.5% −188.97

Chase 303 40 13.2% −39.61

NH Flat 110 13 11.8% −42.49

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 424 48 11.3% −139.85

Good to Soft 286 34 11.9% −88.83

Soft 266 39 14.7% −20.55

Heavy 58 6 10.3% −16.63

Good to Firm 27 7 25.9% −6.21

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Huntingdon 66 6 9.1% −13.59

Uttoxeter 62 8 12.9% +10.50

Chepstow 58 5 8.6% −41.24

Worcester 58 8 13.8% +4.05

Warwick 55 8 14.5% −17.02

Ludlow 55 7 12.7% −32.33

Hereford 54 8 14.8% −0.50

Exeter 40 5 12.5% −14.31

Southwell 40 3 7.5% −17.50

Stratford 39 7 17.9% −9.30

Market Rasen 37 4 10.8% −13.97

Ffos Las 37 7 18.9% −6.49

Ascot 35 5 14.3% −17.12

Taunton 34 4 11.8% −14.62

Fontwell 34 5 14.7% −14.84

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 454 49 10.8% −171.71

Class 5 302 40 13.2% −43.13

Class 3 163 32 19.6% −10.95

Class 2 79 9 11.4% −4.88

Class 1 67 4 6% −45.40

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 132 37 28% 0.82 −46.78

2nd–3rd fav 312 62 19.9% 1.11 −5.29

4th–6th fav 384 28 7.3% 0.95 −122.00

7th+ in betting 237 7 3% 0.93 −102.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.6% completed · 950 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 303 70% 10 8 72 1 0

Hurdle 647 81.1% 6 5 110 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Shantou Express (IRE) 17 3 4 10 May 24

Alien Storm (IRE) 13 4 7 2 Nov 26

Samatian (IRE) 12 1 5 2 Feb 24

New Order (IRE) 11 3 6 24 Oct 26

Two For Gold (IRE) 11 2 5 7 Apr 24

Does He Know (GB) 10 3 3 27 Apr 24

Hot Fuss (IRE) 9 2 5 10 Apr 26

Bobhopeornohope (IRE) 9 1 3 22 Apr 24

Chianti Classico (IRE) 9 6 6 12 Apr 24

Destroytheevidence (GB) 9 3 6 22 Mar 24

Mr Grey Sky (IRE) 9 3 3 24 Feb 24

I Spy A Diva (GB) 9 3 7 29 May 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 437 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

5 from 14

Only 14 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

91213101381018416219

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKim Bailey

38% of all rides
13.8% SR · A/E 0.94

TrainerRWSR£1

Kim Bailey 407 56 13.8% −63.85

Charlie Longsdon 132 17 12.9% −35.67

Henry Daly 100 16 16% −3.05

Max Comley 94 12 12.8% −53.59

Hughie Morrison 47 7 14.9% −12.68

Alastair Ralph 34 1 2.9% −27.50

Lawney Hill 30 6 20% +9.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

630

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.19m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 64 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Two For Gold (IRE) — Fleur De Lys Chase (GBB Race) Lingfield · Jan 2022 · Class 2

£79,725

Willoughby Court (IRE) — Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2017 · Grade 1

£71,188

Chianti Classico (IRE) — Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2024 · Class 1

£70,338

Notable horses

First Flow (IRE) Two For Gold (IRE) Does He Know (GB) Rocky's Treasure (IRE) Imperial Aura (IRE) Chianti Classico (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 7.4% · 5–68

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,006 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Kayf Tara (GB) 13.2% · 5–38

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,760 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Shantou (USA) 24.3% · 9–37

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,841 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Telescope (IRE) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,918 runs since 2019 (298 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 106. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13% from 285.

Mahler (GB) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,888 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,054 runs since 2011 (707 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,299 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,299 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 October 2006 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Persian Diva (GB)T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 14th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Minniemum (GB)T: Henry Daly Matchbook Loves Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 5 ran 5th 12/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Fleu Du Glaye (IRE)T: Henry Daly Matchbook Signup Get 20% Back On Losses Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 10/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell I Love You Sivola (FR)T: Max Comley My Laces Cost More Than Your Shoes Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 1st 5/4F

03 Nov 26 Warwick I Love You Sivola (FR)T: Max Comley Alder Demain & Akers Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 3 ran 1st 8/11F

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Alien Storm (IRE)T: Charlie Longsdon Kalm Club Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 6/1

01 Nov 26 Carlisle Ocean Master (IRE)T: Charlie Longsdon Pricedup Now With Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 5/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Seven Airs (IRE)T: Lawney Hill 1st Class Logistics Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 3 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 50/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Jour D'Evasion (FR)T: Henry Daly Sodexo Live! Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 11 ran F 10/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Media Mogul (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe Grundon Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 9/4F

29 Oct 26 Stratford Fancymeetinguhere (GB)T: Ed de Giles Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Sandscape (GB)T: Henry Daly Halo Leisure More Than Just A Gym Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 7/4F

26 Oct 26 Hereford Miss Pretty (GB)T: Max Comley BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 9 ran PU 14/1

26 Oct 26 Hereford Houndswood Willow (IRE)T: Tom Dascombe Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 3/1

25 Oct 26 Market Rasen See Blue (IRE)T: Max Comley Book Boxing Day At Market Rasen Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 15/2

24 Oct 26 Kelso New Order (IRE)T: Charlie Longsdon Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (gbb Race)Class 2 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 2/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester King Berry (IRE)T: Max Comley CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 9/2

18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Mysterland (FR)T: Charlie Longsdon Mw Civils & Groundworks Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Roaring Home (GB)T: Henry Daly Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Glenmuick (GB)T: Charlie Longsdon Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 3 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is David Bass's strike rate?: David Bass has won 134 of 1,065 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Bass do best at?: Ffos Las by strike rate: 7 wins from 37 rides (18.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Bass ride most for?: Kim Bailey, with 407 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 56 (13.8%).
Is David Bass in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 14 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Bass's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,064 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.