Carnival Spirit (IRE)
Carnival Spirit is a filly by Lope Y Fernandez out of Country Carnival who is yet to win from eight starts. She has raced five times on turf and three times on all-weather without placing. Typically held up, she was held in her last run at Dundalk in Nov 2025 when finishing 11 of 14 in a nursery handicap off an official rating of 40. She has raced over under 6f, 6f to 7f and 1m to 1m1f.
- 0–8Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 0 (0%)Placed
- −8.00£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=8 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 45Highest OR
- 15dBetween runs (median)
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 69
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 59C | 56 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 69B | 54 | 3 runs · 69 / 54 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 8 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 57C | 47 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 69B | 59 | 2 runs · 69 / 50 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs since Jun 2025
- Held up 3 (38%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 3 (38%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (13%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.7% of 728 runs since Mar 2025 (103 horses).
Weakest on good going: 7.1% from 168. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.1% from 135. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 7.6% from 105.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −10.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 152 | 20 | 13.2% | +2.5 | — |
| Good | 168 | 12 | 7.1% | −3.6 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 67 | 11 | 16.4% | +5.7 | — |
| Soft | 63 | 4 | 6.3% | −4.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | −4.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 257 | 30 | 11.7% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 105 | 8 | 7.6% | −3.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 6f – 7f | 418 | 41 | 9.8% | −0.9 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 135 | 19 | 14.1% | +3.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 66 | 9 | 13.6% | +2.9 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +89.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2025 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Pageant Girl (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 6f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Pageant Girl (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pageant Girl (IRE) | 8 | 1 | 6f | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aileen O'Sullivan | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Wayne Hassett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wesley Joyce | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mikey Sheehy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Nov 25+9d | Dundalk (AW) | Floodlit Fridays At Dundalk Stadium Nursery Handicap (0-60) Slow to break - held towards rear throughout - no impact on finish - well held in 11th | 11/14 | ½ | 8-4 | 40 | 69B | 33A | Wayne Hassett | 66/1 |
| 19 Nov 25+5d | Dundalk (AW) | Irishinjuredjockeys.com Nursery Handicap (0-60) Settled midfield early - saddle shifted before dropping away and pulled back in the straight - finished well beaten in 13th | 13/14 | 18 | 8-0 | 40 | 31C | 10C | Aileen O'Sullivan | 40/1 |
| 14 Nov 25+46d | Dundalk (AW) | View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Nursery Handicap Contested front spot early while pulling hard - lost command after 2f - pushed along in 4th with 2f left - unable to find more finished 7th | 7/12 | 3½ | 8-4 | 40 | 54A | 38A | Wesley Joyce | 100/1 |
| 29 Sep 25+34d | Down Royal | Molson Coors Beverage Company Nursery Handicap Sat handy on the inside - 5th at halfway - driven over a furlong out but couldn't threaten and faded to finish 12th | 12/12 | 1¾ | 8-0 | 43 | 39A | 16A | Aileen O'Sullivan | 100/1 |
| 26 Aug 25+10d | Bellewstown | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Slow to break - held up at the rear throughout - no impression made - finished well beaten in 12th | 12/13 | 2¼ | 8-5 | 45 | 57C | 12C | Aileen O'Sullivan | 400/1 |
| 16 Aug 25+42d | Curragh | Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden Sat close to the pace - third at halfway - driven with 2f left then dropped away late | 17/19 | ½ | 8-8 | — | 59C | 32A | Aileen O'Sullivan | 300/1 |
| 05 Jul 25+15d | Naas | EMS Copiers Irish EBF Fillies Maiden Sat close to the pace on the far flank early - driven approaching 2f out with nothing forthcoming - urged again but couldn't quicken - well held at the finish | 13/15 | 3¼ | 8-9 | — | 31C | 19C | Aileen O'Sullivan | 300/1 |
| 20 Jun 25 | Down Royal | Harvertech Maiden Held up at the back throughout - driven with no response 2f out - held on final furlong to finish 10th | 10/11 | 4½ | 9-2 | — | 55A | 35A | Mikey Sheehy | 150/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Carnival Spirit won?
- Carnival Spirit (IRE) has yet to win, from 8 archived starts in 2025.
- Who trains Carnival Spirit?
- Carnival Spirit (IRE) is trained by S Michael Millar, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 28 November 2025.
- Who is Carnival Spirit's sire?
- Carnival Spirit (IRE) is by Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) out of Country Carnival (IRE), whose sire is Mayson.
- What is Carnival Spirit's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 40, from the run on 28 November 2025. The highest on record is 45.
- What is Carnival Spirit's sire's record?
- Lope Y Fernandez (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.7% of 728 runs since Mar 2025 (103 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on good going: 7.1% from 168. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 14.1% from 135. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 7.6% from 105.
- Who are Carnival Spirit's siblings?
- Out of Country Carnival (IRE), Carnival Spirit (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Pageant Girl (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Pageant Girl (IRE)). The wins came over 6f. As at Nov 2026.