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Jockey profile

M. P. Sheehy

979 rides in the last 5 seasons · 596 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 12 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
72–979
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=979
214 (22%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=977 · 0.76 incl. margin
−239.28
£1 level stake
n=979 at SP · −24.4%
£1.78m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 200 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). When claiming the record reads 11% (188 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 979 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Aug 37.9% when favourite Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 9.4% from 330 Claiming: 10.6% Rides the favourite in 6% of races
The read

It is weakest at Gowran Park (2% over 49 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 10.6% (n=188, Fair A/E 1.12), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=410, Fair A/E 0.72). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −105.60 to a £1 stake over 166 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplies 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.4% vs 7.4%, A/E 0.84). The rider also reads well in Class 4 (13.1%, n=61). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bet365 Cambridgeshire at Newmarket (Sep 2026, £103,080). Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.4%−1.0
n=565 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −132.26
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
9.1%+1.7
n=77 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −45.39
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.6%−0.8
n=166 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −105.60
When favourite
37.9%
n=58 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −4.64
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
10.6%+3.2
n=188 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −8.64
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.9%−3.5
n=410 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −126.76
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4.2%−3.2
n=95 · A/E 0.67 · £1 +10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With E Sheehy 0% vs 7.4% · n=33
In Class 4 13.1% vs 7.4% · n=61
With first-time headgear 2.3% vs 7.4% · n=87
At Gowran Park 2% vs 7.4% · n=49
At Naas 2.1% vs 7.4% · n=48
With C&D winners 11.9% vs 7.4% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 298 24 8.1% −53.46
Standard (AW) 260 21 8.1% −125.63
Soft 207 16 7.7% −18.92
Heavy 79 3 3.8% −49.50
Good to Soft 78 4 5.1% +19.82
Good to Firm 57 4 7% −11.59

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 224 16 7.1% −137.38
Curragh 111 6 5.4% −38.50
Gowran Park 49 1 2% −36.00
Leopardstown 49 4 8.2% +77.06
Naas 48 1 2.1% −39.50
Cork 39 1 2.6% −32.50
Killarney 31 3 9.7% +33.00
Navan 31 3 9.7% −1.00
Galway 29 0 0% −29.00
Fairyhouse 28 2 7.1% −9.50
Limerick 25 1 4% +4.00
Bellewstown 24 4 16.7% −16.18
Ayr 24 3 12.5% −9.62
Tramore 18 3 16.7% +5.75
Roscommon 17 1 5.9% −15.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 95 4 4.2% +10.00
Class 4 61 8 13.1% −14.06
Class 2 35 2 5.7% +4.50
Class 5 30 3 10% −12.00
Class 3 19 2 10.5% +3.00
Class 6 19 3 15.8% −5.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 64 23 35.9% 1.12 −5.64
2nd–3rd fav 142 22 15.5% 0.96 −30.64
4th–6th fav 285 15 5.3% 0.72 −65.00
7th+ in betting 488 12 2.5% 0.91 −138.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Vischio (IRE) 8 2 4 22 Oct 23
Cryptos Dream (IRE) 8 0 1 2 Dec 22
Roberto Caro (IRE) 7 0 0 22 Oct 26
Another Baar (GB) 7 0 0 19 Oct 26
Clash Of Hearts (IRE) 7 1 3 10 Oct 26
Okita Soushi (IRE) 7 2 3 20 Aug 23
River Rain (IRE) 7 0 4 26 Oct 22
Tall Story (IRE) 6 0 1 21 Apr 24
Nusret (GB) 6 2 2 24 Sep 23
Lumiere Rock (IRE) 6 1 4 6 May 23
Haziya (IRE) 6 1 3 16 Oct 22
Screen Siren (IRE) 6 1 2 24 Sep 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 596 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
89146491096823
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJoseph Patrick O'Brien
34% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.84
TrainerRWSR£1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 330 31 9.4% −43.87
Adrian Keatley 116 13 11.2% −40.56
Patrick Martin 41 5 12.2% +16.00
E Sheehy 33 0 0% −33.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
145
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£2.83m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 42 wins
Pierre Royal (IRE) — Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Sep 2026 · Class 2
£103,080
Max Mayhem (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Northfields' Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Sep 2021
£73,750
Federal (IRE) — Paddy Power Supporting Cancer Trials Ireland Irish Cambridgeshire (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Aug 2022
£59,000
Notable horses
Gee Rex (IRE) Pretty Smart (IRE) Designer Cailin (IRE) Screen Siren (IRE) Hodd's Girl (IRE) Vischio (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zoffany (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,776 runs since 2015 (799 horses).
Elzaam (AUS) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,528 runs since 2016 (374 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.9% from 326.
Churchill (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11% of 4,837 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,968 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Fastnet Rock (AUS) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,485 runs since 2013 (557 horses).
Mehmas (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,201 runs since 2020 (751 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,679 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,679 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 August 2019 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Doncaster Star Material (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 33/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Roberto Caro (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 6/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rapide Vega (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 9/2
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Another Baar (GB)T: Adrian Keatley William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 2/1F
19 Oct 26 Pontefract Tyrrhenian Thunder (GB)T: Adrian Keatley British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 11/2
16 Oct 26 Redcar Highfield Viking (GB)T: John & Sean Quinn racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 18 ran 16th 22/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Cowgirl (IRE)T: John & Sean Quinn Watch Live On Racing TV EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 6th 125/1
16 Oct 26 Redcar Gordons Girl (GB)T: David O'Meara Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 40/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Distillate (GB)T: Adrian McGuinness Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/4F
12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Logi Bear (IRE)T: John Butler Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 9/1
12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Goomah (IRE)T: John Butler Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 9/2
10 Oct 26 Newmarket Sax Appeal (GB)T: Charlie Johnston Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 18f · Good · 29 ran 28th 150/1
10 Oct 26 Newmarket Clash Of Hearts (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 6th 150/1
09 Oct 26 York Influencer Man (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Parsonage Hotel And Cloisters Spa Nursery Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 12/1
09 Oct 26 York Final Night (GB)T: John Butler William Hill Gold Weekend Autumn Mile Handicap StakesClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 2nd 40/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Aisling Oscar (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Download The At The Races App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 40/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jojo's Legacy (IRE)T: Adrian Keatley Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 25/1
05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kaaranah (IRE)T: John Butler attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/1
03 Oct 26 Redcar Elarak (GB)T: Charles Hills John Smith's Ebf Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 8th 5/1
02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Bouquet (GB)T: Philip Kirby Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 19 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is M. P. Sheehy's strike rate?
M. P. Sheehy has won 72 of 979 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M. P. Sheehy do best at?
Killarney by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 rides (9.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does M. P. Sheehy ride most for?
Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 330 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (9.4%).
Is M. P. Sheehy in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M. P. Sheehy's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 977 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).