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Horse profile

Certainty (GB)

3yo filly · Trainer Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · Owner Strawberry Fields Stud
by Study Of Man (IRE) out of Yaqeen (GB) (Green Desert)
3 runs · 3 courses · from Sep 2025
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Ran 5 days ago · 13th of 14
KTB Profile

Certainty (GB) is yet to win from 3 starts. Best effort: 3rd of 5 at Windsor (Sep 2026).

Based on 3 archived runs · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 3 figures · best 59C · median 33
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 20 Oct 2025
Good to Soft259C462 · 59 / 46
Standard (AW)1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 20 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f259C462 · 59 / 46
6f – 7f1———

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 3 runs · as at 20 Oct 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 37C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Windsor, 14 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 3 figures · best 37C · median 33
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 20 Oct 2025
Good to Soft237C352 · 37 / 35
Standard (AW)1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 20 Oct 2025
1m – 1m1f237C352 · 37 / 35
6f – 7f1———

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 3 runs · as at 20 Oct 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Study Of Man (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 14.6% of 1,152 runs since Jan 2008 (147 horses).

Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.4% from 245.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm3266.7%+52.1—
Good to Firm1822815.4%+0.8—
Good2764315.6%+1—
Good to Soft1422215.5%+0.90 from 2
Soft1342317.2%+2.6—
Heavy4648.7%−5.9—
Standard (AW)3694612.5%−2.10 from 1
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f18316.7%+2.1—
6f – 7f245239.4%−5.20 from 1
1m – 1m1f3275115.6%+10 from 2
1m2f – 1m4f3985814.6%0—
1m5f – 2m1282519.5%+4.9—
2m1f – 2m4f30826.7%+12.1—
2m5f – 3m600%−14.6—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Yaqeen (GB) (Green Desert)

5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Sarookh (USA) (1 win).

The wins came over 6f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Sarookh (USA)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Sarookh (USA)316fClass 5
Tafawuk (USA)1111m2fClass 5
Istinfaar (USA)511m½fClass 5
Thakaa (USA)40——
Taraaneem (USA)30——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Nottingham 1 0 0% −1.00
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m – 1m1f 2 0 0% −2.00
6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Joe Leavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Alex Jary 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 2 0 0% −2.00
2025 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
14 Oct 26+30d Nottingham EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran Settled among the backmarkers - pushed along over 2f out without responding - always well adrift to finish 13th 13/14 1 9-2 59C33C Joe Leavy 250/1
14 Sep 26+375d Windsor Follow Matchbook On X Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 5 ran Sat in third - pressed for effort 3f out - dropped away rapidly inside the final furlong and unable to find more 3/5 23 8-13 33C37C Joe Leavy 300/1
04 Sep 25 Southwell (AW) Join Southwell Golf Club Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran Slow to break - held towards back of field - asked for effort at home turn but found nothing - finished well beaten in 11th 11/12 3¾ 8-11 27C27C Alex Jary 80/1

Quick answers

How many races has Certainty (GB) won?
Certainty (GB) has yet to win, from 3 archived starts between 2025 and 2026.
Who trains Certainty (GB)?
Certainty (GB) is trained by Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 October 2026.
Who is Certainty (GB)'s sire?
Certainty (GB) is by Study Of Man (IRE) out of Yaqeen (GB), whose sire is Green Desert.
What is Certainty (GB)'s sire's record?
Study Of Man (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.6% of 1,152 runs since Jan 2008 (147 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.5% from 128. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.4% from 245.
Who are Certainty (GB)'s siblings?
Out of Yaqeen (GB), Certainty (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Sarookh (USA) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Sarookh (USA)). The wins came over 6f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from September 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.