What is Joe Leavy's strike rate?

Joe Leavy has won 173 of 1,652 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joe Leavy do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 8 wins from 45 rides (17.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Joe Leavy ride most for?

Richard Hannon, with 504 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (10.3%).

Is Joe Leavy in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Joe Leavy's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,642 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Joe Leavy

1,652 rides in the last 5 seasons · 844 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 6 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

173–1,652

Wins / Runs

10.5%

Strike rate

n=1,652

493 (30%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,642 · 0.83 incl. margin

−372.85

£1 level stake

n=1,652 at SP · −22.6%

£2.42m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 330 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.97). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (173 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,652 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 29.9% when favourite Richard Hannon: 10.3% from 504 LTO winners: 14.5% Claiming: 11.5% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ffos Las (19.4%, n=36) and Lingfield (17.8%, n=45) — all clear of the rider's 10.5% baseline. It is weakest at Salisbury (3.7% over 54 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.5% (n=173, Fair A/E 0.90), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=147, Fair A/E 0.97). Richard Hannon supplies 31% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 0.90). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 5% over 139 rides, 5.5pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record: Bungle Bay (IRE) — 6 wins from 29 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.6%−0.9

n=844 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −178.71

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.5%+4.0

n=173 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −62.75

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.3%−2.2

n=204 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −51.93

When favourite

29.9%

n=134 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −22.20

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.5%+1.0

n=786 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −122.70

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.4%−5.1

n=147 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −52.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.5

n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With James Evans 19.7% vs 10.5% · n=142

At Ffos Las 19.4% vs 10.5% · n=36

With Jonathan Portman 19.4% vs 10.5% · n=36

At Lingfield 17.8% vs 10.5% · n=45

In Class 2 5% vs 10.5% · n=139

At Salisbury 3.7% vs 10.5% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 737 76 10.3% −137.23

Good to Firm 291 29 10% −83.96

Good 276 31 11.2% −37.05

Good to Soft 145 15 10.3% −36.60

Soft 132 15 11.4% −41.67

Heavy 47 5 10.6% −28.87

Firm 24 2 8.3% −7.47

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 216 21 9.7% +10.81

Kempton (AW) 169 9 5.3% −108.12

Lingfield (AW) 125 19 15.2% −23.22

Southwell (AW) 123 13 10.6% −53.82

Bath 105 9 8.6% −48.72

Chelmsford City (AW) 79 11 13.9% +20.87

Brighton 74 12 16.2% +19.33

Newbury 70 5 7.1% −32.50

Chepstow 66 9 13.6% +9.07

Windsor 61 3 4.9% −29.50

Salisbury 54 2 3.7% −48.40

Goodwood 50 8 16% +3.26

Leicester 48 4 8.3% −22.00

Lingfield 45 8 17.8% +0.37

Ascot 40 3 7.5% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 560 61 10.9% −54.13

Class 5 435 52 12% −134.05

Class 4 381 46 12.1% −60.77

Class 2 139 7 5% −55.40

Class 3 120 7 5.8% −51.50

Class 1 17 0 0% −17.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 154 45 29.2% 0.96 −21.95

2nd–3rd fav 415 68 16.4% 0.99 −66.90

4th–6th fav 569 43 7.6% 0.94 −146.50

7th+ in betting 514 17 3.3% 1.00 −137.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bungle Bay (IRE) 29 6 16 28 Sep 26

Masqool (IRE) 23 5 11 7 Aug 25

Mintana (GB) 17 4 9 28 Sep 26

Ravenglass (IRE) 17 2 6 21 Aug 26

Mr Baloo (IRE) 16 5 9 29 Jun 26

Tyger Bay (GB) 14 4 8 5 Oct 26

Cayman Tai (IRE) 12 1 5 31 Aug 26

Landlordtothestars (IRE) 12 3 5 21 Jul 26

Mr Slicker (FR) 12 0 5 10 Mar 26

Slay Queen (IRE) 11 1 1 3 Oct 26

Dream Composer (FR) 11 2 4 4 Oct 25

Dillydingdillydong (GB) 11 0 2 2 Mar 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 844 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

191313391012131010107

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hannon

31% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 0.90

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hannon 504 52 10.3% −172.55

James Evans 142 28 19.7% +56.23

Roger Teal 78 7 9% −37.42

Brian Meehan 76 7 9.2% −23.18

Adrian Wintle 75 7 9.3% −15.67

Hugo Palmer 60 7 11.7% +6.12

Ian Williams 46 6 13% −4.88

Jonathan Portman 36 7 19.4% −4.49

Rachel Cook & John Bridger 30 2 6.7% +2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

173

Archived wins

£2.42m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 63 wins

Talis Evolvere (IRE) — BetMGM All-Weather Championships Mile Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£77,310

Dream Composer (FR) — Aston Martin 'Dash' Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Epsom Downs · Jun 2024 · Class 2

£50,960

Grey's Monument (GB) — Bet365 Handicap Ascot · Sep 2024 · Class 2

£41,232

Notable horses

Bungle Bay (IRE) Masqool (IRE) Mr Baloo (IRE) Mintana (GB) Tyger Bay (GB) Landlordtothestars (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 18.6% · 8–43

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,928 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Havana Grey (GB) 14% · 6–43

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,592 runs since 2022 (419 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 421.

Camacho (GB) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 3% · 1–33

Progeny have won 10% of 19,709 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 18.8% · 6–32

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,241 runs since 2018 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Dandy Man (IRE) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,968 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,657 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,657 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 October 2021 to 29 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Oct 26 Bath Lahina Bay (IRE)T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 16/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Barnsnape Boy (GB)T: Jim Boyle Bristol Motor Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 28/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Dancing Gold (IRE)T: Roger Teal David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 14/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Walcourt (IRE)T: Jim Boyle David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 11/2

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) The Bitter Moose (IRE)T: Patrick Chamings Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 5th 9/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Pilu (IRE)T: Roger Teal William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 15 ran 6th 11/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Hero (CAN)T: Adrian Wintle Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Blue Point Express (IRE)T: Adrian Wintle Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Signcastle City (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Djsn Ltd Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 13/2

19 Oct 26 Bath Wowaditaka (IRE)T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt Elite Racing Club Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 250/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Rollthedicebaby (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Mj Church Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/2

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Arc La Shari (GB)T: Ivan Furtado Winter Ladies Night Saturday 28th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 33/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fully Stocked (IRE)T: Jack Morland Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 10/11F

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Midsummer Storm (IRE)T: Kevin & Lauren Frost Saturday 24th October Gents Night Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 11/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Spoof (GB)T: Kevin & Lauren Frost Shape Engineering Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 33/1

16 Oct 26 Haydock Koodini (IRE)T: Hugo Palmer Vantage Consulting Powered By Requidex Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 22/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Legendsoftheland (IRE)T: Adrian Wintle Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/4F

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Certainty (GB)T: Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 250/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Golden Oasis (GB)T: Robert Edwards Every Race Live On Racing TV Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 13/2

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Freshie (GB)T: Roger Teal Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 4th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 2) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Joe Leavy's strike rate?: Joe Leavy has won 173 of 1,652 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.5% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joe Leavy do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 8 wins from 45 rides (17.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Joe Leavy ride most for?: Richard Hannon, with 504 rides since 2022 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (10.3%).
Is Joe Leavy in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Joe Leavy's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,642 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.