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Jockey profile

Alex Jary

1,053 rides in the last 5 seasons · 382 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2022
77–1,053
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=1,053
235 (22%)
Placed
0.99
Fair A/E
n=1,047 · 0.84 incl. margin
−338.18
£1 level stake
n=1,053 at SP · −32.1%
£833k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (96 rides). Rides mostly for Nigel Tinkler — 50% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,053 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 24.4% when favourite Nigel Tinkler: 9.1% from 529 LTO winners: 14.6% Claiming: 7.6% Rides the favourite in 4% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Redcar (13.6%, n=81), clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 14.6% (n=96, Fair A/E 1.10), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=119, Fair A/E 1.05). Nigel Tinkler supplies 50% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.6%, n=90) and at trips under 6f (11.9%, n=328). The standout partner of the record: Paddy's Day (IRE) — 7 wins from 33 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.3%−1.0
n=380 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −161.97
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.6%+7.3
n=96 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −17.87
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.2%−3.1
n=119 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −37.50
When favourite
24.4%
n=45 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −5.70
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.6%+0.3
n=966 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −278.43
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.2%−1.1
n=130 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −19.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 15.6% vs 7.3% · n=90
On last-time-out winners 14.6% vs 7.3% · n=96
At Redcar 13.6% vs 7.3% · n=81
At trips under 6f 11.9% vs 7.3% · n=328
With first-time headgear 0% vs 7.3% · n=33
With debutants 0% vs 7.3% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 478 31 6.5% −167.47
Good 234 21 9% −51.09
Good to Firm 191 11 5.8% −104.15
Good to Soft 64 7 10.9% +32.70
Soft 64 7 10.9% −26.17
Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 281 19 6.8% −77.75
Southwell (AW) 118 5 4.2% −52.30
Redcar 81 11 13.6% +58.16
Wolverhampton (AW) 66 5 7.6% −41.42
Doncaster 58 4 6.9% −21.40
Beverley 51 3 5.9% −28.75
Thirsk 46 3 6.5% −12.75
Ripon 45 6 13.3% −17.25
Nottingham 38 3 7.9% −14.17
Catterick 35 2 5.7% −10.00
York 32 1 3.1% −19.00
Hamilton 29 2 6.9% −16.25
Musselburgh 24 0 0% −24.00
Carlisle 23 2 8.7% −13.00
Ayr 20 3 15% −6.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 540 39 7.2% −184.24
Class 5 279 21 7.5% −79.69
Class 4 149 8 5.4% −74.25
Class 3 49 6 12.2% +14.50
Class 2 35 3 8.6% −13.50
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 57 13 22.8% 1.01 −10.45
2nd–3rd fav 145 20 13.8% 0.89 −44.73
4th–6th fav 319 26 8.2% 1.00 −80.00
7th+ in betting 532 18 3.4% 1.13 −203.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Paddy's Day (IRE) 33 7 13 30 Oct 26
Muker (IRE) 31 5 10 3 Sep 26
Another Investment (IRE) 19 1 4 17 Oct 26
Andalprofit (IRE) 18 2 2 31 Jul 26
Sergeant Mayer (IRE) 16 3 9 4 Nov 26
Never Dark (GB) 16 2 4 28 Sep 26
Jeany May (GB) 15 1 4 7 May 26
Athollblair Boy (IRE) 15 0 2 2 May 25
Whiskey Pete (IRE) 14 0 2 12 Oct 26
Desert Master (GB) 14 2 4 20 Aug 26
High Security (GB) 14 2 6 13 Jun 23
Profit Street (IRE) 12 0 4 10 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 382 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 9
Only 9 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
51565976974814
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardNigel Tinkler
50% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 1.08
TrainerRWSR£1
Nigel Tinkler 529 48 9.1% −68.84
Antony Brittain 92 7 7.6% −13.67
Seb Spencer 39 5 12.8% +2.00
Lisa Williamson 33 3 9.1% +4.50
Stella Barclay 33 3 9.1% −19.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
81
Archived wins
£858k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 27 wins
Paddy's Day (IRE) — Paul Darling Gosforth Park Cup Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Jun 2025 · Class 2
£30,924
Never Dark (GB) — cavani.co.uk The Dapper Dash For Cash Handicap Haydock · Sep 2023 · Class 2
£30,924
Paddy's Day (IRE) — BetUK: It's Where The UK Bets Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Mar 2025 · Class 2
£13,190
Notable horses
Paddy's Day (IRE) Muker (IRE) Sergeant Mayer (IRE) Basholo (IRE) Promise Time (GB) Azuinthejungle (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mehmas (IRE) 11.9% · 7–59
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,239 runs since 2020 (755 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 6.4% · 3–47
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,989 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.
Awtaad (IRE) 8.9% · 4–45
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,889 runs since 2020 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6% from 117.
Profitable (IRE) 4.4% · 2–45
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,449 runs since 2021 (358 horses).
Soldier's Call (GB) 10.8% · 4–37
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,130 runs since 2023 (218 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 200. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4% from 248.
Starspangledbanner (AUS) 20.6% · 7–34
Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,230 runs since 2014 (664 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.6% from 1,199.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,106 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,106 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 November 2019 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Penny Mountain (IRE)T: Gary Rutherford Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 50/1
06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Duran (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 8/1
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Sergeant Mayer (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Ladies Day 8th May On Sale Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 22/1
02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Imola (IRE)T: Joey Ramsden Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 20/1
30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Paddy's Day (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 16/1
30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Believeinmenow (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 15/2
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Silky Lass (GB)T: Joey Ramsden Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 66/1
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Crystal Dagger (GB)T: Joey Ramsden AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 80/1
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dream Of Albion (IRE)T: Joey Ramsden AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 150/1
28 Oct 26 Nottingham Edgewater Drive (IRE)T: Wilf Storey Halloween Spooktacular Fireworks 31st Oct Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 11/1
27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) El Ghuwah (IRE)T: Joey Ramsden Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 14/1
27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Forever Noah (GB)T: Joey Ramsden AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 50/1
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kipp Kelly (GB)T: Derek Shaw All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 20/1
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Bishop's Glory (IRE)T: Joey Ramsden All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 28/1
24 Oct 26 Doncaster Magic Boy (GER)T: Nigel Tinkler Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 28/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Imola (IRE)T: Joey Ramsden All-Weather Championship Is Back Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 16/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Popular Dream (GB)T: Derek Shaw Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 6/1
20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Speeding Bullet (IRE)T: Paul Midgley Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 17/2
20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Maximum Velocity (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler All-Weather Championships Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1
17 Oct 26 Catterick Another Investment (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 0) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alex Jary's strike rate?
Alex Jary has won 77 of 1,053 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alex Jary do best at?
Redcar by strike rate: 11 wins from 81 rides (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alex Jary ride most for?
Nigel Tinkler, with 529 rides since 2022 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (9.1%).
Is Alex Jary in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 9 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alex Jary's Fair A/E?
0.99, from 1,047 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).