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Horse profile

Chanceitlucky (IRE)

7yo gelding · Trainer Adrian Murray · Owner Neil Rawle
8 runs · 6 courses · from Jul 2025
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out Won at Fairyhouse (IRE) Last run 5 Oct 2026 · 1st of 14 Last raced off OR 81
KTB Profile

Chanceitlucky is a gelding by Yorgunnabelucky out of Seedless. He has one win from eight starts on turf, with the success coming in the Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle over 2m5f – 3m on good ground in Oct 2026 when he led. He won last time out at Fairyhouse off an official rating of 81. His last run, at Fairyhouse in Oct 2026, was off an official rating of 81.

Based on 8 archived runs · run-style from 8 commented runs since Jul 2025 · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Wins on good or faster

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 117 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Fairyhouse (IRE), 5 Oct 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 8 figures · best 117B · median 70.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Good4117B90.53 runs · 117 / 113
Good to Soft280C53.5—
Heavy1——1 run · —
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
2m5f – 3m4117B893 runs · 117 / 113
2m1f – 2m4f380C68—
1m5f – 2m1——1 run · —

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 13 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 104A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Fairyhouse (IRE), 5 Oct 2026 Official rating 81 at the last run, 5 Oct 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 8 figures · best 104A · median 92
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
Good4104A963 runs · 104 / 99
Good to Soft294C90.5—
Heavy1——1 run · —
Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 4 Nov 2025
2m5f – 3m4104A943 runs · 104 / 99
2m1f – 2m4f394C93—
1m5f – 2m1——1 run · —

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 8 figures from 8 runs · as at 13 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 8 analysed runs since Jul 2025

  • Mid-division 3 (38%) · 0 wins
  • Prominent 3 (38%) · 0 wins
  • Led 2 (25%) · 1 win

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 1,082 runs since Jun 2016 (97 horses).

Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.4% from 257.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm200%−11.2—
Good to Firm7345.5%−5.7—
Good3554412.4%+1.21 from 4
Good to Soft2182310.6%−0.60 from 2
Soft2082311.1%−0.10 from 1
Heavy911314.3%+3.10 from 1
Standard (AW)1351410.4%−0.8—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f500%−11.2—
6f – 7f6857.4%−3.8—
1m – 1m1f5723.5%−7.7—
1m2f – 1m4f1271612.6%+1.4—
1m5f – 2m3664111.2%00 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f2573714.4%+3.20 from 3
2m5f – 3m165169.7%−1.51 from 4
Over 3m37410.8%−0.4—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2016 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam

1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Artichoke Heart (GB)130——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 4 1 25% +4.50
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Ballinrobe (IRE) 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse (IRE) 1 1 100% +7.50
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m5f – 3m 4 1 25% +4.50
2m1f – 2m4f 3 0 0% −3.00
1m5f – 2m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Eoin G Kelly 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean Flanagan 2 0 0% −2.00
Kevin Healy 1 1 100% +7.50
Donagh Meyler 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 5 1 20% +3.50
Tongue tie 3 0 0% −3.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 3 1 33% +5.50
2025 5 0 0% −5.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 3 runs
05 Oct 26+42d Fairyhouse (IRE) Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle 3m · Good · 14 ran Went to front and duelled for command - overtaken approaching 4 out and dropped to 3rd - rallied before the straight - back in front approaching 2 out - four lengths up over the last - kept on strongly and shaded effort late - won 1/14 10-2 81117B104A Kevin Healy 15/2
24 Aug 26+14d Ballinrobe (IRE) Jerry McDonnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle 2m6½f · Good · 16 ran Held up in the pack - lost touch before 2 out - well beaten at the finish 12/16 49 10-11 8265C73C Sean Flanagan 9/2
10 Aug 26+267d Ballinrobe (IRE) Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle 2m6½f · Good · 16 ran Shared the front spot early - moved clear from second before being overtaken late - had nothing more to give and dropped away on the run to the line 5/16 5½ 10-12 82113B99A Donagh Meyler 20/1
2025 · 5 runs
16 Nov 25+33d Navan Gaeil Colmcille GAA Kells 'Day At The Races' Handicap Hurdle (0-100) 2m · Heavy · 24 ran Sat close to the pace early - hampered at the first before dropping to 8th and pushed along 2 out - unable to close and well held late 6/24 5 10-13 8573B91A Sean Flanagan 25/1
14 Oct 25+24d Punchestown Play Final One Standing By William Hill Maiden Hurdle 2m4f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran Held handy early - hit the 8th - pressed for effort in 3rd with 3 to go - couldn't land a blow on the pace - drifted left at the last in 4th and held on for no more 4/14 2½ 11-5 —80C94C Eoin G Kelly 250/1
20 Sep 25+42d Navan Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle 2m5f · Yielding · 14 ran Settled around midfield - pushed along turning for home - dropped away steadily - finished well beaten in 13th 13/14 16 11-5 —56C89C Eoin G Kelly 200/1
09 Aug 25+33d Kilbeggan Bernard Kenny Maiden Hurdle 2m3f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran Sat close to pace early - lost fluency in 2nd - slipped back to 6th by halfway - driven from three out but faded with no response late 9/10 nk 10-11 —27C87C Eoin G Kelly 100/1
07 Jul 25 Roscommon Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle 2m4½f · Good · 14 ran Held up early - stayed off the pace throughout - no impression made - finished well beaten in 11th 11/14 5½ 11-0 —68C93C Eoin G Kelly 66/1

Quick answers

How many races has Chanceitlucky won?
Chanceitlucky (IRE) won 1 of 8 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 1 time in total (12.5% of starts).
Who trains Chanceitlucky?
Chanceitlucky (IRE) is trained by Adrian Murray, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 October 2026.
Who is Chanceitlucky's sire?
Chanceitlucky (IRE) is by Yorgunnabelucky (USA) out of Seedless (GB), whose sire is Mtoto.
What going does Chanceitlucky prefer?
Chanceitlucky (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Chanceitlucky's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 81, from the run on 5 October 2026. The highest on record is 85.
What is Chanceitlucky's sire's record?
Yorgunnabelucky (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.2% of 1,082 runs since Jun 2016 (97 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.4% from 257.
Who are Chanceitlucky's siblings?
Out of Seedless (GB), Chanceitlucky (IRE) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from July 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.