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Horse profile

Coincidenza (IRE)

2yo filly · Trainer Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · Owner Medallion Racing 2020 LLC & Barry Fowler & Reeves Thoroughbred Racing & Steven I Weston
by Ten Sovereigns (IRE) out of On My Way (GB) (Oasis Dream)
1 run · 1 course · from Aug 2026
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Beaten favourite LTO Last run 16 Aug 2026 · 9th of 18
KTB Profile

Coincidenza is a lightly raced filly by Ten Sovereigns out of an Oasis Dream mare whose two previous foals to race have failed to win. She made her debut in the Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden at the Curragh in Aug 2026 where she finished 9 of 18 on good ground over 6f-7f and was the beaten favourite. Her sire's progeny have recorded a 16.9% strike rate with their runners under 6f since Jan 2008.

Based on 1 archived run · run-style from 1 commented run since Aug 2026 · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed — no A or B graded figure in the last 3 runs; the figures below carry grade C

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 65A the best of the last 1 rated run · Curragh (IRE), 16 Aug 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 1 figure · too few for a breakdown

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 1 figure from 1 run · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire

Progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 1,600 runs since Apr 2023 (243 horses).

Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm2150%+39.1—
Good to Firm209209.6%−1.3—
Good4044210.4%−0.50 from 1
Good to Soft158159.5%−1.4—
Soft2212410.9%0—
Heavy4149.8%−1.1—
Standard (AW)5656812%+1.1—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f1592717%+6.1—
6f – 7f84410011.8%+0.90 from 1
1m – 1m1f401369%−1.9—
1m2f – 1m4f149117.4%−3.5—
1m5f – 2m2800%−10.9—
2m1f – 2m4f1700%−10.9—
2m5f – 3m200%−10.9—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2023 · as at 31 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
On My Way (GB) (Oasis Dream)

2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Coincidenza (IRE)10——
Mini Cotai (IRE)170——

Too few runs for meaningful splits. The full record is below.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt SpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 1 run
16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden 6f · Good · 18 ran Sat close to pace early - second at halfway - driven with two out but couldn't threaten and faded from a furlong out to finish ninth 9/18 2¾ 9-1 76C65A Oisin Murphy 15/8F

Quick answers

How many races has Coincidenza won?
Coincidenza (IRE) has yet to win, from 1 archived start in 2026.
Who trains Coincidenza?
Coincidenza (IRE) is trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 16 August 2026.
Who is Coincidenza's sire?
Coincidenza (IRE) is by Ten Sovereigns (IRE) out of On My Way (GB), whose sire is Oasis Dream.
What is Coincidenza's sire's record?
Ten Sovereigns (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.9% of 1,600 runs since Apr 2023 (243 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17% from 159. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.4% from 149.
Who are Coincidenza's siblings?
Out of On My Way (GB), Coincidenza (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from August 2026. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.