A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating111↓ 33lb off peak
111105–144
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating118Cthe best of the last 3 rated runs · Perth, 22 Apr 2005Official rating 111at the last run, 6 Mar 2009
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Jumps 6 figures · best 121C · median 116
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
Good
4
121C
111.5
—
Good to Soft
2
118C
117.5
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 27 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f
3
121C
115
—
2m5f – 3m
1
—
—
—
Over 3m
1
—
—
—
1m5f – 2m
1
—
—
—
Of 16 runs looked at, 10 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (7) · no runner of known ability in the race — the level cannot be solved (3).
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 6 figures from 16 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Carroll House (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 6.2% of 1,033 runs since Jan 2008 (133 horses).
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
13
1
7.7%
+1.5
—
Good to Firm
113
7
6.2%
0
—
Good
293
15
5.1%
−1.1
3 from 8
Good to Soft
109
4
3.7%
−2.5
2 from 5
Soft
282
21
7.4%
+1.2
1 from 3
Heavy
218
16
7.3%
+1.1
—
Standard (AW)
5
0
0%
−6.2
—
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
1m2f – 1m4f
10
1
10%
+3.8
—
1m5f – 2m
236
14
5.9%
−0.3
0 from 1
2m1f – 2m4f
398
26
6.5%
+0.3
3 from 5
2m5f – 3m
328
22
6.7%
+0.5
2 from 7
Over 3m
61
1
1.6%
−4.6
1 from 3
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Shabra Princess (GB) (Buckskin)
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Our Vic (IRE) (8 wins).
The wins came over 2m4f–3m1f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (Our Vic (IRE)).
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Commercial Flyer (IRE) won 6 of 16 archived starts between 2005 and 2009, a strike rate of 37.5%. Placed 7 times in total (43.8% of starts).
Who trained Commercial Flyer?
Commercial Flyer (IRE) was trained by Christine Kerr on the most recent run on record, at Ayr on 6 March 2009.
Who is Commercial Flyer's sire?
Commercial Flyer (IRE) is by Carroll House (IRE) out of Shabra Princess (GB), whose sire is Buckskin.
What going does Commercial Flyer prefer?
Commercial Flyer (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Commercial Flyer's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 111, from the run on 6 March 2009. The highest on record is 144.
What is Commercial Flyer's sire's record?
Carroll House (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.2% of 1,033 runs since Jan 2008 (133 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Commercial Flyer's siblings?
Out of Shabra Princess (GB), Commercial Flyer (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Our Vic (IRE) (8). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (Our Vic (IRE)). The wins came over 2m4f–3m1f. As at Oct 2026.
Commercial Flyer (IRE)·6–16·SR 37.5%
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