What is Peter Buchanan's strike rate?

Peter Buchanan has won 263 of 2,473 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Peter Buchanan do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 46 wins from 285 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Peter Buchanan ride most for?

Lucinda Russell, with 1,610 rides since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 198 (12.3%).

What is Peter Buchanan's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 2,467 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Peter Buchanan

2,473 rides in the lifetime window · 692 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2016 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

263–2,473

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=2,473

660 (27%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=2,467 · 0.87 incl. margin

−675.72

£1 level stake

n=2,473 at SP · −27.3%

£2.24m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 270 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (278 rides). Rode mostly for Lucinda Russell — 65% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,473 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired May–Jun 28% when favourite Lucinda Russell: 12.3% from 1,610 LTO winners: 19.8% Rode the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (16.1%, n=285) and Hexham (15.2%, n=244) — all clear of the rider's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at Doncaster (2.1% over 47 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.8% (n=278, Fair A/E 1.14), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5.8% (n=414, Fair A/E 1.12). Lucinda Russell supplied 65% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 0.96). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Handicap Chase at Haydock (Feb 2005, £69,600). The standout partner of the record was Bold Sir Brian (IRE) — 8 wins from 22 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%−3.6

n=633 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −251.31

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.8%+9.2

n=278 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +7.56

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10.6%+0.0

n=622 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −148.41

When favourite

28%

n=200 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −40.32

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−10.6

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.8%−4.8

n=414 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −133.87

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.1%−4.5

n=49 · A/E 0.88 · £1 +0.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19.8% vs 10.6% · n=278

At Doncaster 2.1% vs 10.6% · n=47

At Aintree 2.2% vs 10.6% · n=45

At Ayr 16.1% vs 10.6% · n=285

At Catterick 2.4% vs 10.6% · n=42

At Hexham 15.2% vs 10.6% · n=244

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,185 100 8.4% −420.48

Chase 1,154 153 13.3% −227.87

NH Flat 131 10 7.6% −24.37

Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 726 79 10.9% −159.02

Soft 627 88 14% −57.33

Good to Soft 578 43 7.4% −198.93

Heavy 379 41 10.8% −169.32

Good to Firm 159 12 7.5% −87.12

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Perth 333 28 8.4% −142.37

Kelso 299 33 11% −83.15

Ayr 285 46 16.1% −1.54

Hexham 244 37 15.2% −63.36

Newcastle 237 15 6.3% −130.87

Carlisle 223 23 10.3% −69.41

Musselburgh 180 20 11.1% −26.89

Wetherby 135 14 10.4% +11.88

Sedgefield 101 13 12.9% +1.43

Haydock 63 9 14.3% +19.83

Cartmel 57 5 8.8% −33.00

Market Rasen 50 8 16% −1.75

Doncaster 47 1 2.1% −43.50

Aintree 45 1 2.2% −42.12

Catterick 42 1 2.4% −30.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,254 133 10.6% −481.90

Class 5 460 51 11.1% −47.76

Class 3 452 52 11.5% −105.30

Class 2 125 12 9.6% −25.24

Class 1 86 7 8.1% −5.65

Class 6 86 7 8.1% −12.87

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 243 64 26.3% 0.91 −47.69

2nd–3rd fav 606 110 18.2% 1.07 −40.03

4th–6th fav 828 68 8.2% 1.02 −164.00

7th+ in betting 796 21 2.6% 0.83 −424.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.2% completed · 2,339 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,154 77.4% 47 25 183 2 4

Hurdle 1,185 86.8% 16 10 128 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prosecco (IRE) 36 6 14 7 Mar 15

Blenheim Brook (IRE) 29 6 13 18 Mar 15

Storm Prospect (GB) 24 3 6 19 Aug 11

Morning Time (IRE) 23 3 7 26 May 15

Bold Sir Brian (IRE) 22 8 11 12 Mar 16

Corkage (IRE) 21 4 7 17 Jul 10

Etxalar (FR) 20 4 10 8 Apr 14

Devotion To Duty (IRE) 20 3 9 25 Apr 13

Vallani (IRE) 20 1 8 16 Feb 12

Ormello (FR) 20 1 8 19 Nov 10

Quinder Spring (FR) 19 2 3 23 Apr 12

Duke of Malfi (GB) 19 5 7 4 Apr 11

The 60 most-raced of 692 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11101191512910691212

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardLucinda Russell

65% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 0.96

TrainerRWSR£1

Lucinda Russell 1,610 198 12.3% −347.90

S R B Crawford 117 13 11.1% −21.60

N W Alexander 66 6 9.1% −31.12

Tim Walford 57 5 8.8% −17.00

James Turner 33 3 9.1% −7.00

Sandy Thomson 31 3 9.7% +4.91

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

351

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.06m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 47 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Forest Gunner (GB) — Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Haydock · Feb 2005 · Class 1

£69,600

Silver By Nature (GB) — Blue Square Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) Haydock · Feb 2010 · Class 1

£57,010

Silver By Nature (GB) — totesport.com Grand National Trial (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Haydock · Feb 2011 · Class 1

£43,511

Notable horses

Bold Sir Brian (IRE) Catch The Perk (IRE) Green Flag (IRE) Prosecco (IRE) See You There (IRE) Master Sebastian (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 18.9% · 17–90

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Silver Patriarch (IRE) 14.1% · 10–71

Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.

Presenting (GB) 11.3% · 6–53

Progeny have won 11% of 20,049 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Beneficial (GB) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Minster Son (IRE) 17.5% · 7–40

Progeny have won 7.7% of 662 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 102.

Perpendicular (GB) 16.7% · 6–36

Progeny have won 10.4% of 154 runs since 2008 (21 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,643 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,643 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 7 September 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Sep 16 Doncaster Janaab (IRE)T: Tim Easterby Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

22 Apr 16 Perth River Dun (GB)T: S R B Crawford GS Group Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/2

22 Apr 16 Perth Settledoutofcourt (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Deeside Timberframe Highland National Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 30.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 12/1

22 Apr 16 Perth The Cobbler Swayne (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell McCarthy & Stone Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 15/8F

18 Apr 16 Hexham Miss Mix (GB)T: Iain Jardine Thornton Firkin Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Heavy · 6 ran PU 50/1

18 Apr 16 Hexham Mumgos Debut (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Ramside Event Catering Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

16 Apr 16 Ayr One For Arthur (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Weatherbys Private Bank Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

12 Apr 16 Exeter Alpha Victor (IRE)T: William Kinsey Exeter Audi Stayers Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 30.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 9/1

11 Apr 16 Kelso Westend Theatre (IRE)T: Jane Walton Andersons Butchers & Lyntoun Taxis East Lothian Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 4/1

11 Apr 16 Kelso Fiddlers Reel (GB)T: Jane Clark Eildon Hill Stables Handicap Chase (For The Haddington Jubilee Cup)Class 3 · 26f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 5/1

11 Apr 16 Kelso Kai Broon (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Manners Fw Award Le Garcon D'or Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 9/1

11 Apr 16 Kelso Nettlebush (IRE)T: Benjamin Arthey Duncan Sinclair Memorial Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 40/1

08 Apr 16 Aintree Sky Khan (GB)T: Lucinda Russell Alder Hey Children's Charity Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 20f · Soft · 22 ran 4th 25/1

03 Apr 16 Carlisle Wildest Dreams (IRE)T: Jane Walton Apollobet Bet Through Your Mobile Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 40/1

02 Apr 16 Kelso The Compeller (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell G & H Ancrum Celebration Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 12/1

02 Apr 16 Kelso Have You Had Yours (IRE)T: Jane Walton Ashleybank Investments Reg & Betty Tweedie Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran PU 8/1

02 Apr 16 Kelso Superior Command (IRE)T: Lucinda Russell Belhaven Best Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 11/4

29 Mar 16 Hexham Breakdown Cover (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Follow Hexham On Twitter Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 18/1

29 Mar 16 Hexham Billy Billy (IRE)T: S R B Crawford Lwc Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 6 ran PU 9/4

29 Mar 16 Hexham Westend Theatre (IRE)T: Jane Walton Hexham Bookmakers Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Peter Buchanan's strike rate?: Peter Buchanan has won 263 of 2,473 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Peter Buchanan do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 46 wins from 285 rides (16.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Peter Buchanan ride most for?: Lucinda Russell, with 1,610 rides since 2008 — 65% of the total. That pairing has won 198 (12.3%).
What is Peter Buchanan's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 2,467 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.