Conclusion (JPN)
Conclusion (JPN) is 2 from 9. Won last time out at Roscommon. Both wins came on good or faster ground (0 from 3 on softer). Each win came on a first visit to the course.
- 2–9Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 5 (55.6%)Placed
- +0.00£1 level staken=9 at SP
- 0.93Fair A/E n=9 · 0.79 incl. margin
- 89Highest OR
- 35dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 96
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 104C | 95 | — |
| Good | 2 | 78A | 78 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 67A | 67 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 96A | 78 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 104C | 67 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 67A | 67 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 9 figures from 9 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 18.4% of 511 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses).
Weakest on standard (aw) going: 10.1% from 109. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 24.8% from 113.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 1 | 100% | +81.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 80 | 18 | 22.5% | +4.1 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 131 | 22 | 16.8% | −1.6 | 1 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 69 | 15 | 21.7% | +3.3 | — |
| Soft | 94 | 20 | 21.3% | +2.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | +7.5 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 109 | 11 | 10.1% | −8.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −18.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 59 | 12 | 20.3% | +1.9 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 113 | 28 | 24.8% | +6.4 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 258 | 46 | 17.8% | −0.6 | 1 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 60 | 7 | 11.7% | −6.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | −12.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −18.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Picture Post (USA) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Chieftess (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Striking The Wind (USA) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Mayakoba (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.00 |
| Good | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopardstown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnacha O'Brien | 5 | 2 | 40% | +4.00 |
| Ryan Moore | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Michael Hussey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 4 | 2 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +2.00 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul 18+11d | Roscommon | Roscommon Herald Handicap | 1/5 | 9-12 | 87 | 104C | 92B | Donnacha O'Brien | 4/1 | |
| 28 Jun 18+12d | Tipperary | Follow TipperaryRaces On Twitter Rated Race | 3/4 | 3½ | 8-11 | 89 | 94C | 74B | Donnacha O'Brien | EvensF |
| 16 Jun 18+12d | Limerick | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden | 1/11 | 9-5 | 82 | 78A | 92A | Donnacha O'Brien | 3/1 | |
| 04 Jun 18+8d | Gowran Park | Ladies Day June 23rd (C & G) Maiden | 2/9 | 2½ | 9-5 | 82 | 96A | 88A | Donnacha O'Brien | 8/11F |
| 27 May 18+14d | Curragh | Airlie Stud Gallinule Stakes (group 3) | 10/10 | 27 | 9-3 | 82 | 30C | 65C | Ryan Moore | 6/1 |
| 13 May 18+29d | Leopardstown | Leopardstown Summer Pass Maiden | 2/11 | nse | 9-5 | — | 78A | 85A | Seamie Heffernan | 5/2F |
| 14 Apr 18+168d | Leopardstown | Leopardstown 'Summer Bundle' Maiden (Plus 10) | 4/11 | hd | 9-5 | — | 67A | 81A | Ryan Moore | 15/8F |
| 28 Oct 17+24d | Leopardstown | Tote Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10) | 2/9 | 1½ | 9-5 | — | 67A | 81A | Michael Hussey | 11/1 |
| 04 Oct 17 | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden (Plus 10) | 8/10 | nk | 9-5 | — | 67A | 69A | Donnacha O'Brien | 6/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Conclusion (JPN) won?
- Conclusion (JPN) won 2 of 9 archived starts between 2017 and 2018, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 5 times in total (55.6% of starts).
- Who trained Conclusion (JPN)?
- Conclusion (JPN) was trained by A P O'Brien on the most recent run on record, at Roscommon on 9 July 2018.
- Who is Conclusion (JPN)'s sire?
- Conclusion (JPN) is by Deep Impact (JPN) out of Cherokee (USA), whose sire is Storm Cat.
- What going does Conclusion (JPN) prefer?
- Conclusion (JPN) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 4 starts (25%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Conclusion (JPN)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 87, from the run on 9 July 2018. The highest on record is 89.
- What is Conclusion (JPN)'s sire's record?
- Deep Impact (JPN)'s progeny in our archive have won 18.4% of 511 runs since Jan 2008 (74 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on standard (aw) going: 10.1% from 109. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 24.8% from 113.
- Who are Conclusion (JPN)'s siblings?
- Out of Cherokee (USA), Conclusion (JPN) has 4 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.