Ryan Moore
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 440 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 25% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 29% (588 rides). Rides mostly for A P O'Brien — 52% of rides in the window. The rider is quiet just now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.
The record is strongest at Chester (54.2%, n=48), Navan (52.4%, n=42) and Naas (38.8%, n=67) — all clear of the rider's 25% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (13.1% over 251 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 29.4% (n=588, Fair A/E 1.03), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 16% (n=438, Fair A/E 1.14). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 4 from 26 rides in the last 14 days (15.4%, 9.6pts below the 25% baseline). A P O'Brien supplies 52% of the rides and beats the rider's average (31.7% vs 25%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 14.4% over 376 rides, 10.6pts below the baseline. 836 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Chantilly (FR) (Oct 2016, £2,100,735). The standout partner of the record: Kyprios (IRE) — 15 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Jun.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 25% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 25% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 14,620 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 14,620 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2005 to 23 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Ryan Moore's strike rate?
- Ryan Moore has won 546 of 2,182 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 25% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Ryan Moore do best at?
- Chester by strike rate: 26 wins from 48 rides (54.2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Ryan Moore ride most for?
- A P O'Brien, with 1,124 rides since 2022 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 356 (31.7%).
- Is Ryan Moore in form?
- In the last 14 days: 26 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 15.4%. That is below the baseline of 25% since 2022.
- What is Ryan Moore's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 2,178 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.