by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Alea Iacta (GB) (Invincible Spirit)
15 runs · 8 courses · from Apr 2025
As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
New yardRan 13 days ago · 11th of 11Last raced off OR 69
KTB Profile
Criminal (GB) is a maiden who has placed six times from 15 starts. His best effort came when second of 10 at Salisbury in Jun 2026. Typically held up, he last ran at Wolverhampton (AW) in Oct 2026, finishing 11 of 11 in a Class 5 handicap off an official rating of 69. That was his first run for Fergal O'Brien.
Based on 15 archived runs · run-style from 8 commented runs · updated 19 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceTypically held upOR ↓ 12lb off peak
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating69↓ 12lb off peak
6969–81
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed106the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Lingfield (AW), 28 Apr 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 15 figures · best 114C · median 92
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 19 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
10
106A
89
7 · 106 / 92
Good
3
94A
88
1 · —
Firm
1
—
—
1 · —
Good to Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 19 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f
9
114C
92
4 · 114 / 100
1m – 1m1f
6
96A
90
5 · 96 / 86
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 15 runs · as at 13 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating84Athe best of the last 3 rated runs · Salisbury, 14 Jun 2026Official rating 69at the last run, 5 Oct 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 15 figures · best 88A · median 78
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 19 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
10
88A
70
7 · 88 / 70
Good
3
84A
82
1 · —
Firm
1
—
—
1 · —
Good to Soft
1
—
—
—
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 19 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f
9
88A
78
4 · 88 / 77.5
1m – 1m1f
6
82A
69
5 · 70 / 68
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 15 runs · as at 13 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs
Held up5 (63%)· 0 wins
Prominent3 (38%)· 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Sea The Moon (GER)
Progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 4,527 runs since Jan 2008 (500 horses).
Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.1% from 802.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
10
1
10%
−2.1
0 from 1
Good to Firm
404
51
12.6%
+0.5
—
Good
1,051
128
12.2%
+0.1
0 from 3
Good to Soft
619
85
13.7%
+1.6
0 from 1
Soft
860
102
11.9%
−0.2
—
Heavy
316
39
12.3%
+0.2
—
Standard (AW)
1,267
140
11%
−1.1
0 from 10
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Under 6f
64
9
14.1%
+2
—
6f – 7f
684
68
9.9%
−2.2
—
1m – 1m1f
1,017
97
9.5%
−2.6
0 from 6
1m2f – 1m4f
1,529
197
12.9%
+0.8
0 from 9
1m5f – 2m
802
121
15.1%
+3
—
2m1f – 2m4f
349
49
14%
+1.9
—
2m5f – 3m
73
5
6.8%
−5.3
—
Over 3m
9
0
0%
−12.1
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
H S Lester Memorial Challenge Cup 'Confined' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 10 ranSettled second early - pushed along with 2f left then stayed on through final furlong - unable to trouble easy winner finishing second
Set Your Limits With Unibet HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 11 ranFought for control early - travelled in the pack wide of centre with six furlongs left - eased across to the near side inside the final two furlongs but couldn't land a challenge - well held in 7th
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 10 ranDwelt start - held up in last place - made ground over 2f out - closed on front pair with a furlong left - looked poised to win inside final 110yds but couldn't find more close home - held for second by a short head
Follow attheraces On Instagram HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ranMissed the break - held up at the back and lost ground over a furlong out - finished with renewed effort in the closing stages to finish 8th
Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie HandicapClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ranSettled at the back of the field - pushed along inside the final furlong - made no impression on the finish - eventually well beaten in 11th
Bet Responsibly With SBK HandicapClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ranHeld up towards the back - wide on the turn approaching 2f out - lost touch inside final furlong and dropped away late
Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ranHeld up with eager attitude towards the pack's centre - moved into contention wide out inside final two furlongs - into third but unable to close final furlong
Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 9 ranSettled third early holding an eager pull - moved up to second entering the home bend - drifted off a true line approaching final furlong - driven and narrowing on leader over last 110 yards - gave everything but edged out of second near the line
Me2 Club Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ranHandy with the pace - pressed for effort and dropped back approaching 2f out - responded well inside final furlong to claim second near the line - unable to reel in winner
attheraces.com/marketmovers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ranSat close to the front pack wide - moved into second with 7f left - dropped that spot as straightened for home - faded in the final furlong to finish 4th beaten 5.75 lengths
Heineken Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10.5f · Good · 9 ranTook a strong hold early - sat close to the pace in 4th - nudged into 3rd over 2f out and held that spot into the straight - stayed on for 3rd at the line
Virgin Bet/EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 14 ranSettled in the pack early - asked for effort 3f out then drifted left approaching 2f out costing momentum - stayed on inside final furlong without threatening the front
Criminal (GB) has yet to win, from 15 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 6 times in total (40% of starts).
Who trains Criminal (GB)?
Criminal (GB) is trained by Fergal O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 5 October 2026.
Who is Criminal (GB)'s sire?
Criminal (GB) is by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Alea Iacta (GB), whose sire is Invincible Spirit.
What is Criminal (GB)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 69, from the run on 5 October 2026. The highest on record is 81.
What is Criminal (GB)'s sire's record?
Sea The Moon (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 4,527 runs since Jan 2008 (500 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.1% from 802.
Who are Criminal (GB)'s siblings?
Out of Alea Iacta (GB), Criminal (GB) has 5 other produce in our archive, 4 of them winners. Most wins: Aleas (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Listed (Aleas (GB)). The wins came over 7f–1m3f. As at Oct 2026.
Criminal (GB)·0–15·SR 0%
KTB
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