What is Finley Marsh's strike rate?

Finley Marsh has won 254 of 2,172 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Finley Marsh do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 127 rides (15%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Finley Marsh ride most for?

Richard Hughes, with 783 rides since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 122 (15.6%).

Is Finley Marsh in form?

In the last 14 days: 38 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 7.9%. That is below the baseline of 11.7% since 2022.

What is Finley Marsh's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 2,161 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Finley Marsh

2,172 rides in the last 5 seasons · 918 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

254–2,172

Wins / Runs

11.7%

Strike rate

n=2,172

653 (30%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=2,161 · 0.89 incl. margin

−251.78

£1 level stake

n=2,172 at SP · −11.6%

£2.74m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.9%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 430 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.04). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (197 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,172 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 12.2% 35.8% when favourite Richard Hughes: 15.6% from 783 LTO winners: 20.8% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.8% (n=197, Fair A/E 1.09), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.7% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.82). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 3 from 38 rides in the last 14 days (7.9%, 3.8pts below the 11.7% baseline). Richard Hughes supplies 36% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.6% vs 11.7%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Firm going (24.5%, n=49). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 5.7% over 88 rides, 6pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Woodford Reserve Cardinal Conditions Stakes at Chelmsford City (AW) (Apr 2024, £51,540). The standout partner of the record: Blue Hero (CAN) — 7 wins from 28 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.1%−2.6

n=909 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −111.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.8%+9.1

n=197 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −38.53

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.2%+0.5

n=288 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +81.34

When favourite

35.8%

n=215 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −9.78

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.6%−6.1

n=18 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −16.09

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.8%−4.9

n=146 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −65.08

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.7%−6.0

n=35 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Firm going 24.5% vs 11.7% · n=49

On last-time-out winners 20.8% vs 11.7% · n=197

With debutants 5.9% vs 11.7% · n=135

With Jim & Suzi Best 4.5% vs 11.7% · n=44

In Class 2 5.7% vs 11.7% · n=88

With Richard Hughes 15.6% vs 11.7% · n=783

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,171 254 11.7% −250.78

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,192 154 12.9% +32.11

Good to Firm 330 33 10% −156.19

Good 327 28 8.6% −66.41

Good to Soft 129 12 9.3% −58.67

Soft 118 12 10.2% +12.00

Firm 49 12 24.5% −1.12

Heavy 27 3 11.1% −13.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 451 57 12.6% +20.26

Kempton (AW) 277 32 11.6% +66.85

Lingfield (AW) 199 25 12.6% −37.28

Bath 188 24 12.8% −11.12

Chelmsford City (AW) 127 19 15% −41.78

Southwell (AW) 118 15 12.7% +3.06

Chepstow 116 15 12.9% −0.24

Windsor 96 8 8.3% −52.46

Ffos Las 84 6 7.1% −61.81

Brighton 77 6 7.8% −52.94

Newbury 73 5 6.8% −33.50

Lingfield 35 3 8.6% −20.75

Goodwood 35 2 5.7% −12.50

Salisbury 32 3 9.4% −13.27

Chester 27 3 11.1% −10.67

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 848 107 12.6% +31.55

Class 5 619 73 11.8% −113.25

Class 4 464 47 10.1% −122.46

Class 3 118 20 16.9% +15.50

Class 2 88 5 5.7% −52.12

Class 1 35 2 5.7% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 246 84 34.1% 1.11 −13.45

2nd–3rd fav 531 95 17.9% 1.04 −71.33

4th–6th fav 680 55 8.1% 1.00 −126.00

7th+ in betting 715 20 2.8% 0.95 −41.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Thames Boatman (GB) 34 6 18 29 Sep 26

Blue Hero (CAN) 28 7 7 13 Sep 26

Diamondsinthesand (IRE) 27 2 12 6 Jun 26

Pessoa (GB) 22 5 13 5 Apr 26

Spirit Lead Me (IRE) 18 4 4 8 Oct 26

Dappled Light (GB) 18 4 9 29 Sep 26

Road To Wembley (GB) 18 4 8 23 Sep 25

Cinnodin (GB) 18 5 8 22 Jun 25

Thurso (GB) 17 4 7 12 May 26

Zero Carbon (FR) 17 5 9 3 Dec 25

Knebworth (GB) 16 4 8 14 Oct 26

Flatley (GB) 16 2 2 13 Dec 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 918 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

3 from 38 7.9% · −3.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days7.9%

5-season base11.7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

121414121391612111179

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hughes

36% of all rides
15.6% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hughes 783 122 15.6% −108.27

Adrian Wintle 443 50 11.3% −90.31

Mark Loughnane 77 7 9.1% −14.55

Jim & Suzi Best 44 2 4.5% −30.25

Grace Harris 41 4 9.8% −0.50

David Evans 39 7 17.9% +140.16

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

348

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.41m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 70 wins

Bracken's Laugh (IRE) — Woodford Reserve Cardinal Conditions Stakes (The Road To The Kentucky Derby) (GBB Race) Chelmsford City (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 2

£51,540

Fair Angellica (GB) — Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) Doncaster · Sep 2025 · Group 3

£48,204

Fair Angellica (GB) — British Stallion Studs EBF Cathedral Stakes (Listed) Salisbury · May 2025 · Listed

£28,355

Notable horses

Blue Hero (CAN) The Thames Boatman (GB) Pessoa (GB) Seaforth (IRE) Cinnodin (GB) Zero Carbon (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 13.4% · 11–82

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,911 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Havana Grey (GB) 18.8% · 12–64

Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,525 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10.3% from 406.

Ardad (IRE) 12.9% · 8–62

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,499 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 14% · 8–57

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,086 runs since 2008 (746 horses).

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 8.5% · 4–47

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,773 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Dark Angel (IRE) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,868 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,004 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,004 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 November 2016 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Captain Fox (IRE)T: Richard Hughes Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 11/4

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Heart of Glass (GB)T: Richard Spencer Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 25/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sinex (GB)T: Richard Hughes Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 16/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) The Third Star (GB)T: Owen Burrows Dance Through The Decades Christmas Parties Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 15/8F

15 Oct 26 Brighton Bated Breeze (IRE)T: Gary & Josh Moore Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 7/2

15 Oct 26 Brighton Sun Of Dolly (GB)T: John Gallagher Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 11th 15/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Kashel Spring (IRE)T: Gary Brown Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 8th 80/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Knebworth (GB)T: Richard Hughes Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 3rd 20/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Marengo Storm (GB)T: Richard Hughes Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 2nd 9/2

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Hexagonal (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Nezeeh (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 200/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) My A'ali Baba (GB)T: David Evans Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 4th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sailor Batt (IRE)T: David & Nicola Barron Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 4/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) The Caribbean (IRE)T: Thomas Faulkner Cavani Champion Style Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 17/2

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Gut Reaction (FR)T: Oliver Cole Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Racecourse Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 22/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) I'm Workin On It (GB)T: Rod Millman Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Renascent (IRE)T: Richard Hughes Juddmonte EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 6th 50/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Boy Basilica (FR)T: Richard Hughes Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 3/1

10 Oct 26 York Mohaaraj (GB)T: Richard Hughes Sky Bet Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 14th 22/1

10 Oct 26 York All In You (FR)T: Warren Greatrex Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Finley Marsh's strike rate?: Finley Marsh has won 254 of 2,172 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 11.7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Finley Marsh do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 19 wins from 127 rides (15%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Finley Marsh ride most for?: Richard Hughes, with 783 rides since 2022 — 36% of the total. That pairing has won 122 (15.6%).
Is Finley Marsh in form?: In the last 14 days: 38 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 7.9%. That is below the baseline of 11.7% since 2022.
What is Finley Marsh's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 2,161 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.