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Jockey profile

Donagh Murphy

260 rides in the last 5 seasons · 153 individual horses
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 2 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2024→)
from 1 Jan 2022
24–260
Wins / Runs
9.2%
Strike rate
n=260
74 (29%)
Placed
0.88
Fair A/E
n=259 · 0.74 incl. margin
−111.34
£1 level stake
n=260 at SP · −42.8%
£226k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 260 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 30 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Richard Hughes: 7% from 57
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 9.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −95.00 to a £1 stake over 153 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Richard Hughes supplies 22% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (7% vs 9.2%, A/E 0.61). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (14.5%, n=55). The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.57 across 112 rides (6.3% strike, −75.09 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.2%+0.0
n=153 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −95.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
24.1%+14.9
n=29 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −6.30
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.3%−4.9
n=23 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −18.67
When favourite
33.3%
n=18 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −1.96
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
8.9%−0.3
n=247 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −105.55
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−9.2
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Jim Boyle 16.7% vs 9.2% · n=42
Off a 8-14-day break 14.5% vs 9.2% · n=55
Off a 15-30-day break 6.3% vs 9.2% · n=112
With C&D winners 6.5% vs 9.2% · n=62
With Richard Hughes 7% vs 9.2% · n=57
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 133 13 9.8% −61.80
Good to Firm 55 4 7.3% −27.25
Good 42 4 9.5% −7.17
Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −16.12
Soft 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Heavy 4 1 25% +0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 40 4 10% −6.00
Lingfield (AW) 36 4 11.1% −24.46
Kempton (AW) 19 2 10.5% −12.84
Southwell (AW) 18 3 16.7% +1.50
Brighton 16 4 25% +11.50
Epsom 12 2 16.7% +15.00
Windsor 11 0 0% −11.00
Dundalk (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Chepstow 9 1 11.1% −5.25
Lingfield 8 0 0% −8.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 6 1 16.7% −1.50
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Chester 6 0 0% −6.00
Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 108 12 11.1% −31.96
Class 5 78 8 10.3% −20.37
Class 4 46 4 8.7% −31.01
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 7 30.4% 1.05 −4.08
2nd–3rd fav 50 8 16% 0.88 −14.26
4th–6th fav 91 7 7.7% 0.86 −29.00
7th+ in betting 96 2 2.1% 0.59 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Play Me (GB) 19 3 9 27 Sep 26
Havana Club (GB) 6 1 3 13 Oct 26
Barnsnape Boy (GB) 6 1 1 6 Aug 26
Lazzar (IRE) 5 1 1 28 Oct 26
Voix De Bocelli (GB) 5 0 3 20 May 26
Bint Havana Gold (GB) 5 1 1 26 Mar 26
Roman Emperor (GB) 5 0 1 24 Jan 26
Doctor Grace (IRE) 5 0 0 18 Dec 24
Daisy Roots (GB) 4 0 2 28 Oct 26
Spirit Lead Me (IRE) 4 1 1 15 May 26
Knebworth (GB) 3 0 0 19 Oct 26
Russian Rumour (IRE) 3 1 1 7 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 153 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
2 from 6
Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
730710670101210018
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardRichard Hughes
22% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 0.61
TrainerRWSR£1
Richard Hughes 57 4 7% −30.34
Jim Boyle 42 7 16.7% +19.83
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
24
Archived wins
£226k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 17 wins
Marcellinus (GB) — Harry Bloom Memorial "Brighton Bullet" Handicap Stakes Brighton · Aug 2026 · Class 4
£10,468
Russian Rumour (IRE) — Safer Gambling With Betano Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Nottingham · May 2026 · Class 4
£7,328
Lazzar (IRE) — Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet Handicap (Div 1) Kempton (AW) · Mar 2026 · Class 4
£6,281
Notable horses
Play Me (GB) Tommy's Promise (GB) Havana Club (GB) Barnsnape Boy (GB) Bint Havana Gold (GB) Lazzar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Too Darn Hot (GB) 15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 14% of 2,346 runs since 2008 (321 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
Havana Gold (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,058 runs since 2008 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 117. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Iffraaj (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,973 runs since 2008 (1,092 horses).
Havana Grey (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,576 runs since 2008 (418 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.3% from 104. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 418.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,962 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 259.
Calyx (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,500 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8.9% from 168. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.9% from 111.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 260 · newest first

The latest 50 of 260 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 April 2024 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Daisy Roots (GB)T: Jim Boyle Set Your Limits With Unibet Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 22/1
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Lazzar (IRE)T: Charlie Wallis Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 5th 7/2
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Auradue (GB)T: Roy Bowring All-weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 9/1
26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fancy Dancer (GB)T: Hayley Burton All-Weather Championship Is Back Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 12/1
22 Oct 26 Newmarket Amused (IRE)T: Jim Boyle CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 13/2
19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Knebworth (GB)T: Richard Hughes Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 6/1
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Yes Waliim (IRE)T: Richard Hughes Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 7/2
15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Forever My Girl (IRE)T: Katy Price Free Bets On Attheraces.com Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 150/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Havana Club (GB)T: Adrian Wintle Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 11/1
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Darkest Red (GB)T: Jim Boyle Pro Shop At Caister Golf Club Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 3/1F
11 Oct 26 Goodwood Sudden Flight (GB)T: Richard Hughes Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 18/1
09 Oct 26 York Feel The Need (GB)T: Michael Herrington Pj Staffing Group Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 6th 12/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Rubellite (IRE)T: Stephen Hanlon Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 12/1
07 Oct 26 Nottingham Russian Rumour (IRE)T: Jonathan Portman Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 7th 28/1
06 Oct 26 Brighton True Impact (IRE)T: Jonathan Portman Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes(for Horses In Band D Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 200/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Ecclefechan (GB)T: John Ryan Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Aleppo Pepper (IRE)T: John Ryan White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 11/1
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Shopaholic (GB)T: Jack Jones Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 13/8
03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Roosike (IRE)T: Richard Hughes Bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 17/2
29 Sep 26 Bath Havana Club (GB)T: Adrian Wintle Ael Solutions Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Donagh Murphy's strike rate?
Donagh Murphy has won 24 of 260 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Donagh Murphy do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 rides (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Donagh Murphy ride most for?
Richard Hughes, with 57 rides since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7%).
Is Donagh Murphy in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Donagh Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 259 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 30 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).