Critical Risk (IRE)
Critical Risk (IRE) is 2 from 8, both wins coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since May 2015. Each win came on a first visit to the course. Last raced off a career-high mark of 88.
- 2–8Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 5 (62.5%)Placed
- +3.50£1 level staken=8 at SP
- 1.05Fair A/E n=8 · 0.90 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 70dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 12,788 runs since Jan 2008 (1,019 horses).
Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 82 | 9 | 11% | −2.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,937 | 250 | 12.9% | −0.7 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 2,836 | 385 | 13.6% | 0 | — |
| Good to Soft | 1,604 | 200 | 12.5% | −1.1 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 2,071 | 282 | 13.6% | 0 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 702 | 97 | 13.8% | +0.2 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3,556 | 514 | 14.5% | +0.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,164 | 134 | 11.5% | −2.1 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4,406 | 594 | 13.5% | −0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3,131 | 495 | 15.8% | +2.2 | 2 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,468 | 340 | 13.8% | +0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,094 | 119 | 10.9% | −2.7 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 397 | 45 | 11.3% | −2.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 108 | 8 | 7.4% | −6.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 20 | 2 | 10% | −3.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Threat Assessed (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m1½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Threat Assessed (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threat Assessed (IRE) | 7 | 2 | 1m–1m1f | Class 3 |
| Faradays Spark (IRE) | 12 | 2 | 7f | Class 6 |
| Pedantic (GB) | 15 | 1 | 1m1½f | — |
| Fiamette (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Best Bid (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +4.50 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +7.50 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.50 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 2 | 67% | +8.50 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Kirby | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jimmy Fortune | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.50 |
| Sean Levey | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Richard Hughes | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +6.50 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 · 5 runs | |||||||||
| 03 Oct 15+17d | Newmarket | Racing Fx Currency Conversion Handicap | 6/8 | 2¼ | 9-3 | 88 | 77A | Adam Kirby | 85/40F |
| 16 Sep 15+18d | Yarmouth | Parklands Leisure Holiday Caravan Distributors Handicap (For The Golden Jubilee Trophy) | 3/10 | 1¼ | 9-4 | 88 | 87A | Adam Kirby | 2/1F |
| 29 Aug 15+100d | Windsor | World Famous Genting Casinos Handicap | 2/7 | 1 | 9-5 | 84 | 88A | Adam Kirby | 15/8F |
| 21 May 15+10d | Sandown | ApolloBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap | 1/10 | 9-0 | 72 | 90A | Richard Hughes | 3/1F | |
| 11 May 15+296d | Doncaster | Cash Out On The Betdaq+ App Handicap (Str) | 1/8 | 8-13 | 72 | 91A | Jimmy Fortune | 13/2 | |
| 2014 · 3 runs | |||||||||
| 19 Jul 14+30d | Haydock | British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes | 6/10 | ½ | 9-5 | — | 78A | Sean Levey | 7/1 |
| 19 Jun 14+17d | Leicester | Dingley Maiden Stakes | 2/8 | 1¼ | 9-5 | — | 87A | Sean Levey | 4/6F |
| 02 Jun 14 | Leicester | Pytchley Maiden Stakes | 3/7 | ½ | 9-5 | — | 72A | Jimmy Fortune | 8/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Critical Risk won?
- Critical Risk (IRE) won 2 of 8 archived starts between 2014 and 2015, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 5 times in total (62.5% of starts).
- Who trained Critical Risk?
- Critical Risk (IRE) was trained by Luca Cumani on the most recent run on record, at Newmarket on 3 October 2015.
- Who is Critical Risk's sire?
- Critical Risk (IRE) is by Pivotal (GB) out of High Reserve (GB), whose sire is Dr Fong.
- What going does Critical Risk prefer?
- Critical Risk (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Critical Risk's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 88, from the run on 3 October 2015. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Critical Risk's sire's record?
- Pivotal (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.6% of 12,788 runs since Jan 2008 (1,019 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.
- Who are Critical Risk's siblings?
- Out of High Reserve (GB), Critical Risk (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Threat Assessed (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Threat Assessed (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m1½f. As at Oct 2026.