What is Adam Kirby's strike rate?

Adam Kirby has won 37 of 422 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Adam Kirby do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Adam Kirby ride most for?

Clive Cox, with 142 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).

What is Adam Kirby's Fair A/E?

0.67, from 421 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Adam Kirby

422 rides in the last 5 seasons · 288 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 63 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

37–422

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=422

118 (28%)

Placed

0.67

Fair A/E

n=421 · 0.58 incl. margin

−249.09

£1 level stake

n=422 at SP · −59.0%

£1.00m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.67). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (65 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 422 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 27.8% when favourite Clive Cox: 11.3% from 142 LTO winners: 12.3% Rides the favourite in 13% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newbury (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.3% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.60), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=75, Fair A/E 0.20). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 8.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.64 and −136.53 to a £1 stake over 225 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Clive Cox supplies 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.3% vs 8.8%, A/E 0.77). The rider also reads well in Class 5 (14%, n=93). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3.8% over 52 rides, 5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.35 across 123 rides (4.1% strike, −92.55 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 89 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Cazoo Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2021, £637,988). The standout partner of the record: Unforgiving Minute (GB) — 14 wins from 27 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.4%−0.4

n=225 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −136.53

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.3%+3.5

n=65 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −44.09

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.7%−4.1

n=86 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −71.95

When favourite

27.8%

n=54 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −12.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.3%−7.5

n=75 · A/E 0.20 · £1 −72.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.9%−4.9

n=51 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −39.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newbury 0% vs 8.8% · n=35

In Class 5 14% vs 8.8% · n=93

On Good going 4.1% vs 8.8% · n=123

Off a 61-180-day break 3.8% vs 8.8% · n=52

In Class 1 3.9% vs 8.8% · n=51

In Group / Graded races 3.9% vs 8.8% · n=51

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 141 14 9.9% −92.45

Good 123 5 4.1% −92.55

Good to Firm 103 13 12.6% −36.96

Good to Soft 33 2 6.1% −18.00

Soft 17 2 11.8% −7.25

Firm 3 1 33.3% +0.12

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ascot 41 3 7.3% −27.38

Newbury 35 0 0% −35.00

Lingfield (AW) 34 4 11.8% −18.97

Wolverhampton (AW) 32 3 9.4% −23.27

Chelmsford City (AW) 32 2 6.3% −24.00

Newmarket 30 1 3.3% −24.50

Kempton (AW) 29 2 6.9% −23.84

Windsor 27 4 14.8% −15.25

Doncaster 24 2 8.3% −18.62

Sandown 20 2 10% −8.50

Leicester 18 2 11.1% −3.00

Haydock 17 3 17.6% +17.33

Newmarket 12 0 0% −12.00

York 11 0 0% −11.00

Southwell (AW) 10 2 20% −2.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 98 8 8.2% −48.88

Class 5 93 13 14% −37.20

Class 3 62 6 9.7% −41.59

Class 2 61 5 8.2% −40.92

Class 6 57 3 5.3% −41.50

Class 1 51 2 3.9% −39.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 61 17 27.9% 0.89 −11.92

2nd–3rd fav 124 16 12.9% 0.74 −47.17

4th–6th fav 120 3 2.5% 0.30 −92.00

7th+ in betting 117 1 0.9% 0.24 −98.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rohaan (IRE) 7 1 1 22 Jul 23

Positive (GB) 7 2 2 21 Jun 23

Lethal Nymph (GB) 7 1 2 15 Jun 23

Caragio (IRE) 6 1 3 11 Sep 26

Redemption Time (GB) 6 1 2 22 Apr 23

Intellogent (IRE) 5 0 2 18 Aug 23

Yarralumla (GB) 5 0 1 12 Nov 22

Ascot Adventure (GB) 5 1 2 14 Oct 22

River Nymph (GB) 4 0 1 13 May 23

Tis Marvellous (GB) 4 0 0 6 May 23

Aratus (IRE) 4 0 1 11 Oct 22

Diligent Harry (GB) 4 0 1 17 Sep 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 288 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

251761210892710425

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardClive Cox

34% of all rides
11.3% SR · A/E 0.77

TrainerRWSR£1

Clive Cox 142 16 11.3% −76.51

Jane Chapple-Hyam 38 4 10.5% −21.14

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,927

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£23.1m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 192 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Adayar (IRE) — Cazoo Derby (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Epsom Downs · Jun 2021 · Group 1

£637,988

My Dream Boat (IRE) — Prince Of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Ascot · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£425,325

Harry Angel (IRE) — Darley July Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) Newmarket · Jul 2017 · Group 1

£283,550

Notable horses

Unforgiving Minute (GB) Stand Guard (GB) Stotsfold (GB) Ocean Legend (IRE) Grendisar (IRE) Little Richard (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Lethal Force (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,270 runs since 2017 (268 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 359.

Mayson (GB) 15.4% · 2–13

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,395 runs since 2016 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Dubawi (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,996 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,244 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 13,929 · newest first

The latest 50 of 13,929 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 11 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Sep 26 Doncaster Caragio (IRE)T: Adam Kirby Betfred Leger Legends Classified StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 7/2J

14 Sep 25 Doncaster Moonjid (GB)T: Michael Appleby IPM Group Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 5/2F

18 Aug 23 Newmarket Intellogent (IRE)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam LB Group HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran RR 17/2

29 Jul 23 Ascot Point Lonsdale (IRE)T: A P O'Brien King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)Class 1 · 12f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 80/1

22 Jul 23 Newbury Rohaan (IRE)T: David Evans bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 5/1

15 Jul 23 Ascot Letmelivemylife (GB)T: Sean Curran Ascot Racecourse Supports Sebastian's Action Trust HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1

15 Jul 23 Ascot Rohaan (IRE)T: David Evans Ascot/1711 Learning To Work Bake-Off Competition Heritage HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 5/1

14 Jul 23 Ascot Wind Your Neck In (IRE)T: David Evans Signature Capital HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 12/1

14 Jul 23 Ascot Caragio (IRE)T: Roger Teal Close Brothers Property Division Handicap (Rnd)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 12/1

30 Jun 23 Newmarket Queen Of The Skies (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Alhabayeb Stands At Meelin Stud HandicapClass 3 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 12/1

30 Jun 23 Newmarket Giovanni Baglione (IRE)T: Joseph Parr Threat Bred At Ringfort Stud HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 18/1

24 Jun 23 Ascot Summerghand (IRE)T: David O'Meara Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 27 ran 12th 25/1

24 Jun 23 Ascot Rohaan (IRE)T: David Evans Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 15th 12/1

23 Jun 23 Newmarket Edge Of Ember (GB)T: Richard Hughes Winners Wear House Of Cavani HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 6th 15/2

22 Jun 23 Lingfield (AW) Gautrey (GB)T: Tony Carroll At The Races App Form Study HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1

22 Jun 23 Lingfield (AW) Deshi Girl (USA)T: Marco Botti Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 28/1

22 Jun 23 Lingfield (AW) Suanni (GB)T: Darryll Holland Royal Ascot Tips On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 15/2

22 Jun 23 Lingfield (AW) El Bodon (IRE)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Royal Ascot Form Study On attheraces.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 8/15F

21 Jun 23 Ascot Positive (GB)T: Clive Cox Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 30 ran 8th 50/1

19 Jun 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Star Angel (GB)T: George Boughey Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adam Kirby's strike rate?: Adam Kirby has won 37 of 422 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Adam Kirby do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Adam Kirby ride most for?: Clive Cox, with 142 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (11.3%).
What is Adam Kirby's Fair A/E?: 0.67, from 421 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.