Erratic Path (IRE)
Erratic Path (IRE) is 1 from 7. Hasn't won since Sep 2017.
- 1–7Wins / Runs
- 14.3%Strike rate
- 2 (28.6%)Placed
- −1.00£1 level staken=7 at SP
- 0.98Fair A/E n=7 · 0.77 incl. margin
- 121dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 122
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 122B | 102.5 | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 112C | 95.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 7 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 5 figures from 7 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 7.6% of 3,122 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses).
Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.6% from 378.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −7.6 | — |
| Good to Firm | 116 | 9 | 7.8% | +0.2 | — |
| Good | 963 | 88 | 9.1% | +1.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 508 | 33 | 6.5% | −1.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 891 | 64 | 7.2% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 394 | 24 | 6.1% | −1.5 | 1 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 248 | 20 | 8.1% | +0.5 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 21 | 0 | 0% | −7.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 208 | 20 | 9.6% | +2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 315 | 28 | 8.9% | +1.3 | 1 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 303 | 15 | 5% | −2.6 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 980 | 71 | 7.2% | −0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 848 | 59 | 7% | −0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 378 | 40 | 10.6% | +3 | 0 from 1 |
| Over 3m | 69 | 5 | 7.2% | −0.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Unterberg (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m4f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unterberg (IRE) | 36 | 7 | 1m1f–1m4f | — |
| Elusive Heights (IRE) | 46 | 2 | 1m | — |
| Marmolata (IRE) | 11 | 1 | 7f | — |
| Elusive Path (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
| Elusive Peace (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Keane | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Davy Russell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Keith Donoghue | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Enright | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Flat | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May 19+14d | Ballinrobe | BetVictor Maiden Hurdle | 4/14 | 6 | 11-12 | 83B | 112A | Davy Russell | 5/2 |
| 13 May 19+136d | Roscommon | Follow Us On Facebook Maiden Hurdle | 4/8 | ½ | 11-12 | — | 107A | Keith Donoghue | 6/1 |
| 28 Dec 18+218d | Leopardstown | Sky Sports Racing Maiden Hurdle | PU/16 | — | 11-7 | — | — | Davy Russell | 10/1 |
| 24 May 18+250d | Tipperary | Restaurant Package At Tipperary Races Maiden Hurdle | 6/20 | 5 | 11-7 | 122B | 111A | Mark Enright | 5/2 |
| 16 Sep 17+59d | Gowran Park | Live Music After Racing Maiden | 1/17 | 9-5 | 82C | 105A | Colin Keane | 5/1 | |
| 19 Jul 17+46d | Killarney | Corcorans Furniture & Carpets Maiden | 8/10 | 4½ | 9-5 | 79C | 59C | Colin Keane | 4/1 |
| 03 Jun 17 | Navan | Barbecue And Evening Racing July 14th Maiden | 2/14 | 5½ | 9-5 | 112C | 77A | Colin Keane | 7/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Erratic Path (IRE) won?
- Erratic Path (IRE) won 1 of 7 archived starts between 2017 and 2019, a strike rate of 14.3%. Placed 2 times in total (28.6% of starts).
- Who trained Erratic Path (IRE)?
- Erratic Path (IRE) was trained by Gordon Elliott on the most recent run on record, at Ballinrobe on 27 May 2019.
- Who is Erratic Path (IRE)'s sire?
- Erratic Path (IRE) is by Elusive Pimpernel (USA) out of Berg Bahn (IRE), whose sire is Big Bad Bob.
- What is Erratic Path (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Elusive Pimpernel (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.6% of 3,122 runs since Jan 2008 (315 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.6% from 378.
- Who are Erratic Path (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Berg Bahn (IRE), Erratic Path (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Unterberg (IRE) (7). The wins came over 7f–1m4f. As at Oct 2026.