Davy Russell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 18% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). First rides on a horse are a strength: 22% on the first captured pairing (107 rides). Rides mostly for Gordon Elliott — 96% of rides in the window.
It is weakest at Cheltenham (5.7% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. First rides on a horse have been a positive signal at 21.5% (n=107, Fair A/E 1.13), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 13.8% (n=109, Fair A/E 0.87). Gordon Elliott supplies 96% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (17.9%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (25%, n=32). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 11.1% over 54 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. 243 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Randox Health Grand National Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2019, £500,000). The standout partner of the record: Solwhit (FR) — 9 wins from 17 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 17.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 8,487 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 8,487 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 17 September 2023.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Davy Russell's strike rate?
- Davy Russell has won 54 of 301 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 17.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Davy Russell do best at?
- Fairyhouse by strike rate: 5 wins from 42 rides (11.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Davy Russell ride most for?
- Gordon Elliott, with 290 rides since 2022 — 96% of the total. That pairing has won 52 (17.9%).
- What is Davy Russell's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 301 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.