Fair Warning (GB)
Fair Warning (GB) is yet to win from 12 starts, though has placed 3 times. Best effort: 2nd of 14 at Kempton (AW) (Jan 2020).
- 0–12Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 3 (25%)Placed
- −12.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=12 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 56Highest OR
- 39dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 78
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 88B | 71 | — |
| Good | 2 | 80C | 67.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 88B | 65.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 83B | 72.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 78B | 74.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 12 figures from 12 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since Jan 2008 (351 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | +16.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 739 | 85 | 11.5% | +2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 932 | 78 | 8.4% | −1 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 501 | 42 | 8.4% | −1 | — |
| Soft | 568 | 44 | 7.7% | −1.7 | — |
| Heavy | 148 | 19 | 12.8% | +3.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,936 | 180 | 9.3% | −0.1 | 0 from 9 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 224 | 17 | 7.6% | −1.8 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,444 | 136 | 9.4% | 0 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,272 | 119 | 9.4% | 0 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,073 | 106 | 9.9% | +0.5 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 558 | 50 | 9% | −0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 206 | 20 | 9.7% | +0.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 65 | 6 | 9.2% | −0.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +1.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Krazy Paving (GB) (10 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m3f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Commonsensical (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krazy Paving (GB) | 65 | 10 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Commonsensical (GB) | 21 | 5 | 1m–1m3f | Class 4 |
| Havana Mariposa (GB) | 14 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Pearson | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Ray Dawson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dylan Hogan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Brett Doyle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jacob Clark | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2019 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul 20+28d | Ripon | Sharow Handicap | 10/11 | ¾ | 8-12 | 53 | 55C | 33C | Jacob Clark | 25/1 |
| 16 Jun 20+101d | Chelmsford City (AW) | tote.co.uk SCOOP6 On Saturday Handicap | 9/13 | ½ | 9-1 | 54 | 78B | 46A | Ray Dawson | 18/1 |
| 07 Mar 20+15d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Ministry Of Sound Classical Handicap | 6/10 | 1 | 8-11 | 55 | 71A | 43A | Laura Pearson | 6/1 |
| 21 Feb 20+31d | Lingfield (AW) | Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost Handicap | 3/11 | hd | 9-2 | 55 | 75A | 65A | Ray Dawson | 4/1 |
| 21 Jan 20+17d | Newcastle (AW) | Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Handicap | 3/7 | 1¾ | 8-12 | 56 | 63A | 56A | Laura Pearson | 5/2F |
| 04 Jan 20+29d | Kempton (AW) | 32Red.com Handicap | 2/14 | nk | 8-9 | 54 | 88B | 58A | Laura Pearson | 6/1 |
| 06 Dec 19+32d | Newcastle (AW) | Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Nursery | 2/8 | 2½ | 8-8 | 52 | 68A | 57A | Laura Pearson | 11/2 |
| 04 Nov 19+39d | Newcastle (AW) | Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Nursery | 6/13 | ½ | 8-3 | 54 | 83B | 49A | Laura Pearson | 18/1 |
| 26 Sep 19+41d | Southwell (AW) | Follow At The Races On Twitter Nursery | 7/10 | ¾ | 9-0 | 56 | 29C | 32C | Dylan Hogan | 10/1 |
| 16 Aug 19+71d | Newmarket | WSG Sports Signage British EBF Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10) | 8/13 | 2 | 8-10 | — | 80C | 54A | Dylan Hogan | 66/1 |
| 06 Jun 19+21d | Chelmsford City (AW) | 20 Free Bets At totesport.com Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10) | 14/14 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | 40C | 38C | Brett Doyle | 14/1 |
| 16 May 19 | Newmarket | Heath Court Hotel Employee Award Novice Auction Stakes (Plus 10) | 13/19 | 1½ | 8-13 | — | 65C | 52A | Brett Doyle | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fair Warning (GB) won?
- Fair Warning (GB) has yet to win, from 12 archived starts between 2019 and 2020. Placed 3 times in total (25% of starts).
- Who trained Fair Warning (GB)?
- Fair Warning (GB) was trained by Henry Spiller on the most recent run on record, at Ripon on 14 July 2020.
- Who is Fair Warning (GB)'s sire?
- Fair Warning (GB) is by Helmet (AUS) out of Critical Path (IRE), whose sire is Noverre.
- What is Fair Warning (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 53, from the run on 14 July 2020. The highest on record is 56.
- What is Fair Warning (GB)'s sire's record?
- Helmet (AUS)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since Jan 2008 (351 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
- Who are Fair Warning (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Critical Path (IRE), Fair Warning (GB) has 3 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Krazy Paving (GB) (10). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Commonsensical (GB)). The wins came over 6f–1m3f. As at Oct 2026.