Dylan Hogan
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 370 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (177 rides). The rider is in form now — 5 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
It is weakest at Newmarket (3.6% over 55 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.2% (n=177, Fair A/E 1.01), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.2% (n=138, Fair A/E 1.29). Right now the rider is firing: 5 winners from 20 rides in the last 14 days (25%, 14.4pts above the 10.6% baseline). Jack Jones supplies 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.1%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (16.9%, n=136). The standout partner of the record: Smokey Malone (GB) — 11 wins from 61 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Dec–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 3,129 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 3,129 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 April 2013 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 7 runs (won 4) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 30 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Dylan Hogan's strike rate?
- Dylan Hogan has won 197 of 1,856 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Dylan Hogan do best at?
- Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 18 wins from 118 rides (15.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Dylan Hogan ride most for?
- Jack Jones, with 289 rides since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (12.1%).
- Is Dylan Hogan in form?
- In the last 14 days: 20 rides, 5 winners, a strike rate of 25%. That is above the baseline of 10.6% since 2022.
- What is Dylan Hogan's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 1,848 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.