What is Brett Doyle's strike rate?

Brett Doyle has won 41 of 504 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Brett Doyle do best at?

Yarmouth by strike rate: 6 wins from 48 rides (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Brett Doyle ride most for?

John Ryan, with 98 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (12.2%).

What is Brett Doyle's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 504 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Brett Doyle

504 rides in the lifetime window · 278 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2020 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

41–504

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=504

118 (23%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=504 · 0.88 incl. margin

−129.60

£1 level stake

n=504 at SP · −25.7%

£350k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (40 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 504 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 13.3% John Ryan: 12.2% from 98 LTO winners: 17.5%

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.26), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=81, Fair A/E 0.00). John Ryan supplied 19% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.2% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.50) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a break of 180+ days (16.7%, n=30) and off a 0-7-day break (15.6%, n=32). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 33 rides, 8.1pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Ocean Tempest (GB) — 5 wins from 10 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.8%−1.3

n=278 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −53.14

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.5%+9.4

n=40 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −1.09

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

13.3%+5.2

n=75 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −10.60

When favourite

42.9%

n=21 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −0.81

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−8.1

n=81 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −81.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.1

n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.5% vs 8.1% · n=40

Off a break of 180+ days 16.7% vs 8.1% · n=30

On Good to Soft going 0% vs 8.1% · n=33

Off a 0-7-day break 15.6% vs 8.1% · n=32

On Soft going 14.6% vs 8.1% · n=41

With Charlie Appleby 13.8% vs 8.1% · n=58

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 204 15 7.4% −70.00

Good to Firm 141 12 8.5% −4.81

Good 62 6 9.7% −34.85

Soft 41 6 14.6% +0.06

Good to Soft 33 0 0% −33.00

Heavy 18 2 11.1% +18.00

Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 67 5 7.5% −18.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 60 5 8.3% −24.00

Yarmouth 48 6 12.5% +53.50

Newmarket 43 2 4.7% +0.00

Lingfield (AW) 35 2 5.7% −9.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 35 2 5.7% −16.00

Newmarket 34 4 11.8% −13.42

Windsor 25 1 4% −18.50

Brighton 17 1 5.9% −15.09

Lingfield 17 2 11.8% −3.75

Sandown 15 0 0% −15.00

Ascot 13 0 0% −13.00

Leicester 12 0 0% −12.00

Doncaster 10 2 20% −6.87

Nottingham 9 2 22.2% +7.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 170 18 10.6% −55.39

Class 6 141 13 9.2% +34.79

Class 4 106 6 5.7% −71.50

Class 3 30 3 10% −14.50

Class 1 29 0 0% −29.00

Class 2 25 1 4% +9.00

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 28 10 35.7% 1.08 −4.93

2nd–3rd fav 80 14 17.5% 1.07 −11.67

4th–6th fav 155 13 8.4% 1.22 −11.00

7th+ in betting 241 4 1.7% 0.59 −102.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ocean Applause (GB) 11 1 3 18 Sep 13

Mitigator (GB) 10 2 2 14 Oct 19

Spenny's Lass (GB) 10 1 3 2 Aug 19

Ocean Tempest (GB) 10 5 7 28 Sep 13

Chateau Peapod (GB) 9 0 4 19 Nov 19

Thecornishcowboy (GB) 9 2 5 22 Jun 13

Masters Blazing (GB) 7 1 1 22 Sep 12

Cafe Sydney (IRE) 6 2 2 5 Oct 20

Lequinto (IRE) 5 2 3 5 Oct 20

Sir I'll Chance It (IRE) 5 0 1 30 Sep 20

Sir Magnum (GB) 5 0 1 14 Jul 20

Ananya (GB) 5 1 2 11 Oct 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 278 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0·10897126970·

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Ryan

19% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.50

TrainerRWSR£1

John Ryan 98 12 12.2% +18.75

Tony Carroll 94 5 5.3% −61.09

Clive Brittain 62 4 6.5% −26.50

Charlie Appleby 58 8 13.8% −37.14

Jane Chapple-Hyam 42 4 9.5% −7.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£706k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 34 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sentry Duty (FR) — betdirect.com Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · May 2007 · Class 2

£24,928

Ocean Tempest (GB) — Innospec Handicap Chester · Sep 2013 · Class 3

£16,173

Ocean Tempest (GB) — 32red Casino Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2012 · Class 2

£12,450

Notable horses

Ocean Tempest (GB) Siraj (GB) Hurricane Spirit (IRE) Mitigator (GB) Thecornishcowboy (GB) Mon Petite Amour (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dubawi (IRE) 8% · 2–25

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,957 runs since 2008 (1,526 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Shamardal (USA) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,412 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Bated Breath (GB) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,156 runs since 2008 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 850.

Royal Applause (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Coach House (IRE) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,478 runs since 2008 (145 horses).

Delegator (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 10.8% of 1,872 runs since 2008 (109 horses). Weakest on Good going: 7.7% from 260. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.4% from 180.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,033 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,033 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 June 2005 to 20 October 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 20 Kempton (AW) Teddy B (GB)T: Tony Carroll Unibet Casino Deposit 10 Get 40 Bonus NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 14th 50/1

19 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Song Of Beauty (FR)T: Tony Carroll Grand Theatre Novice StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 100/1

19 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Windsorlot (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Racegoers Club HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 50/1

17 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Knockabout Queen (GB)T: Tony Carroll Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 12/1

17 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Scrafton (GB)T: Tony Carroll Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 50/1

17 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Castlebar (IRE)T: Charlie Appleby Visit attheraces.com Novice StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 14/1

13 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Light Up Our Stars (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Free Daily Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 25/1

12 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Pour La Victoire (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Grand Theatre Wolverhampton Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 10/1

12 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Vape (GB)T: Tony Carroll Grand Theatre Wolverhampton Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 2nd 10/1

05 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Cafe Sydney (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 9/1

05 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Lequinto (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 9/2

03 Oct 20 Newmarket Lynns Boy (GB)T: Stuart Williams 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction StakesClass 2 · 6f · Soft · 27 ran 9th 200/1

30 Sep 20 Kempton (AW) Sir I'll Chance It (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 10th 28/1

28 Sep 20 Bath Mister Dependable (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Visit attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Firm · 7 ran 4th 5/1

28 Sep 20 Bath Teddy B (GB)T: Tony Carroll visitbath.co.uk NurseryClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 15 ran 10th 7/1

21 Sep 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Vape (GB)T: Tony Carroll Visit attheraces.com HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 25/1

19 Sep 20 Newmarket Sayyida (GB)T: Charlie Appleby Close Brothers Motor Finance EBF Stallions Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 7/2

15 Sep 20 Kempton (AW) Song Of Beauty (FR)T: Tony Carroll Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 6th 33/1

15 Sep 20 Kempton (AW) Winnetka (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 4th 4/1

10 Sep 20 Chepstow Vape (GB)T: Tony Carroll bet365 HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 6th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brett Doyle's strike rate?: Brett Doyle has won 41 of 504 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Brett Doyle do best at?: Yarmouth by strike rate: 6 wins from 48 rides (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Brett Doyle ride most for?: John Ryan, with 98 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (12.2%).
What is Brett Doyle's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 504 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.