Fatal Flaw (IRE)
Fatal Flaw is a gelding who has won one of five starts on turf. The win came at Punchestown in Jun 2024 in the Northway Personnel Flat Race over 2m1f – 2m4f on good going. He has finished in the first three on four of his five runs overall. His last run, at Galway in Oct 2025, saw him finish third of nine in the Connollys RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle.
- 1–5Wins / Runs
- 20%Strike rate
- 4 (80%)Placed
- +1.00£1 level staken=5 at SP
- 1.21Fair A/E n=5 · 0.97 incl. margin
- 223dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 113
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 81A | 69.5 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2 | 113B | 85.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
Of 5 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 3 figures from 5 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 2,680 runs since Jan 2008 (265 horses).
Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 380.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | +34.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 193 | 18 | 9.3% | −0.6 | — |
| Good | 722 | 87 | 12% | +2.1 | 1 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 392 | 34 | 8.7% | −1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 637 | 59 | 9.3% | −0.6 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 266 | 28 | 10.5% | +0.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 460 | 35 | 7.6% | −2.3 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | +13 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 240 | 25 | 10.4% | +0.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 380 | 26 | 6.8% | −3.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 586 | 59 | 10.1% | +0.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 708 | 78 | 11% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 518 | 51 | 9.8% | −0.1 | 1 from 4 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 204 | 17 | 8.3% | −1.6 | — |
| Over 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +1.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them Top Of The Bill (IRE) (7 wins).
The wins came over 1m–3m1½f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Top Of The Bill (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top Of The Bill (IRE) | 26 | 7 | 2m7f–3m1½f | Class 2 |
| Chatez (IRE) | 30 | 7 | 1m–2m½f | Class 2 |
| Master Red (IRE) | 11 | 4 | 1m4½f–2m1f | Class 4 |
| Call Of The Wild (IRE) | 12 | 3 | 2m–2m½f | Class 4 |
| Kilwaughter (IRE) | 8 | 2 | 2m1f–2m4½f | Class 3 |
| My Inheritance (IRE) | 5 | 2 | 1m4½f–1m6f | Class 6 |
| Rock On Rio (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinrobe | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.00 |
| Downpatrick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr Derek O'Connor | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| Mr A P Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr D G Lavery | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 4 | 1 | 25% | +2.00 |
| None | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +3.00 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Flat | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 25+459d | Galway | Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Settled early but scrappy over first two fences - up to 4th by halfway - moved into 3rd approaching 3 out - pressed into 2nd before 2 out - couldn't dent advantage held by rival up front - ragged again at the last - held on for 3rd without finding more | 3/9 | 4¾ | 11-1 | 81A | 118A | Mr A P Ryan | 5/2 |
| 23 Jul 24+45d | Ballinrobe | West 'Howaya' Maiden Hurdle | 2/14 | 10 | 11-12 | 113B | 133A | Mr Derek O'Connor | 2/1 |
| 08 Jun 24+32d | Punchestown | Northway Personnel (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 1/20 | 12-0 | — | 90B | Mr Derek O'Connor | 5/1 | |
| 07 May 24+354d | Ballinrobe | Harrington Concrete & Quarries Flat Race | 2/16 | 2½ | 12-0 | 58B | 128A | Mr Derek O'Connor | 7/1 |
| 19 May 23 | Downpatrick | Frank & Brian Fitzsimmons Memorial Flat Race | 10/13 | 3½ | 12-0 | — | 66C | Mr D G Lavery | 7/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Fatal Flaw (IRE) won?
- Fatal Flaw (IRE) won 1 of 5 archived starts between 2023 and 2025, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 4 times in total (80% of starts).
- Who trains Fatal Flaw (IRE)?
- Fatal Flaw (IRE) is trained by Jonathan Sweeney, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 25 October 2025.
- Who is Fatal Flaw (IRE)'s sire?
- Fatal Flaw (IRE) is by Pour Moi (IRE) out of Glory Days (GER), whose sire is Tiger Hill.
- What is Fatal Flaw (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Pour Moi (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 2,680 runs since Jan 2008 (265 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 380.
- Who are Fatal Flaw (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Glory Days (GER), Fatal Flaw (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Top Of The Bill (IRE) (7). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Top Of The Bill (IRE)). The wins came over 1m–3m1½f. As at Oct 2026.